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Proliferation

Policy Analysis on Proliferation

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Video
Brief Analysis
Presidential Transition Event:
Thinking About the Next Phase of Iran Nuclear Diplomacy
Three veteran policy practitioners examine the challenges that the Biden administration will face as it considers whether and how to reenter the Iran nuclear agreement.
January 6, 2021
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Suzanne Maloney
  • Meghan O'Sullivan
How Biden’s Iran Policy Can Have a Chance to Succeed
No sanctions relief should be granted without nuclear concessions, and a “less for less” deal may be the best way of reaching a viable compromise in the near term.
Dec 26, 2020
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, gestures while speaking
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Lays Out a Framework for Avenging Soleimani and Reentering Talks
In addition to hinting at when (and who) Iran might strike, the Supreme Leader left the door open for eventual talks with the Biden administration, despite throwing water on President Rouhani’s enthusiasm.
Dec 18, 2020
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
To Secure an Iran Nuclear Deal, Include the Mideast’s Powers
For two decades and running, diplomatic efforts have noticeably omitted the regional states most directly in the line of Tehran’s fire, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE.
Dec 15, 2020
◆
  • Jay Solomon
Brief Analysis
Iran Vies for More Influence in Iraq at a Budget Price
Tehran aims to earn hard currency for its relatively cheap military hardware, ideally boosting its leverage in Baghdad at a fraction of the cost that the United States has been spending there.
Dec 3, 2020
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran’s New Nuclear Law: Negotiating Tactic, Domestic Political Tool, or Both?
The seemingly provocative legislation is as much theater as reality given the parliament’s relatively small role in foreign policy.
Dec 3, 2020
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivers public remarks.
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Speech Sets the Boundaries of Engagement with the West
In his first major address since Joe Biden’s election, the Supreme Leader downplayed the prospect of negotiating an end to U.S. sanctions, instead urging Iranian officials to focus on increasing the country’s self-reliance and solving its deep economic problems.
Nov 30, 2020
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
Who Killed Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, Iran's Nuclear Chief? Israel Is the Likely Suspect
The operation’s professionalism and complexity suggest the involvement of Israeli personnel; either way, an Iranian security clampdown is inevitable.
Nov 27, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Latest Iran Nuclear Inspection Report Reveals Multiple Concerns
Headlines about increased stockpiles of enriched uranium are only half the story.
Nov 16, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah’s Secrets Explode—and Are Covered Up—Again
Hezbollah leaders are still trying to conceal their strategy of hiding military assets in civilian areas, but each self-explosion and Israeli exposure reveals more about the group's political plight, its persistent quest for precision missiles, and its skill with information operations.
Oct 8, 2020
◆
  • Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
Flare-Up in Nagorno-Karabakh: The Iranian Dimension
New hostilities between Armenia and Azerbaijan are forcing Tehran to balance domestic demographic concerns and its desire to expand military ties with Yerevan.
Oct 6, 2020
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Peace for Warplanes?
How domestic and foreign disputes over the potential sale of F-35 jets to the UAE could complicate the country's normalization deal with Israel.
Aug 31, 2020
◆
  • Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
Iran Flaunts New Missile and Jet Engine Technology
Although many of the recently unveiled systems are foreign copies or have unproven capabilities, they show a substantial indigenous development capacity that will only accelerate once the UN ban on weapons sales is lifted—even if past sanctions snap back into action.
Aug 28, 2020
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Saudi-Pakistan Rift Develops Over India
Growing tensions between the two allies have both Islamic and nuclear angles.
Aug 21, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Cautious Response to Washington’s Snapback Threat
Instead of playing hardball, the entire regime is seemingly embracing the more prudent approach of disregarding the U.S. threat and exploiting the resultant diplomatic clash for political gains.
Aug 21, 2020
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
Is China Helping Saudi Arabia to Build a Nuclear Bomb?
Riyadh has now ticked the first two boxes on the enrichment checklist and might already be working on the others.
Aug 5, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Mapping Hezbollah's Worldwide Activities
Three current and former U.S. officials discuss a powerful new interactive tool and its implications for mobilizing international pressure on Hezbollah and its enablers.
Aug 5, 2020
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Kash Patel
  • Juan Zarate
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran-Syria Air Defense Pact Could Disrupt Allied Operations
Despite domestic challenges, major technical hurdles, and ongoing Israeli military interdiction, Iran still aims to transfer potent air defense systems to fellow ‘axis of resistance’ members and interconnect them.
Jul 24, 2020
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Iranian rockets and flag
Brief Analysis
If the Arms Ban Ends: Implications for Iran’s Military Capabilities
Discussions about lifting the ban tend to focus on major weapons systems Tehran might acquire abroad, yet the most important long-term impact may be on its ability to upgrade existing capabilities and strengthen domestic arms production.
Jul 23, 2020
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Will Iran ‘Go Nuclear’ Over Its Latest Nuke Site Setback?
Even if the regime’s prospects of obtaining enough high-enriched uranium for a weapon have been greatly delayed, the potential repercussions do not end there.
Jul 6, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is Morningstar senior fellow and director of research at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Henry Rome
Henry Rome
Henry Rome is a Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, specializing in Iran sanctions, economic, and nuclear issues.
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