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  • Policy Analysis

Proliferation

Policy Analysis on Proliferation

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Brief Analysis
How Much Would Iran Gain Financially from Returning to the JCPOA?
A closer look at what funds would actually be accessible and what impact they would have on Iran’s economy.
Mar 16, 2022
◆
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Patrick Clawson
Russian President Vladimir Putin meets with Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed in 2018 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Putin’s War Has Middle Eastern Countries Hedging Their Bets
Facing greater regional demands and limited resources, Washington will have to be more judicious in its obligations and more consistent in following through, lest its assurances fail to assure.
Mar 4, 2022
◆
  • David Schenker
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Game of Drones
After decades of steady development, Tehran now uses drones to complement its missiles and support the broader effort to bring the entire Middle East within its range.
Mar 2, 2022
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Biden Trump Obama Iran
In-Depth Reports
Three Presidents, Three Flawed Iran Policies, and the Path Ahead
News reports of a nearing breakthrough in the Iran nuclear talks will trigger sighs of relief, but the deal will likely prove disappointing on many fronts.
Feb 25, 2022
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, speaking
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Breaks His Silence on the Nuclear Negotiations
After months of publicly ignoring the issue, the Supreme Leader reminded negotiators to follow his guidelines but refrained from explicitly supporting or rejecting the state of play in Vienna.
Feb 17, 2022
◆
  • Omer Carmi
In Iranian general unveils a new solid-fuel "Khaybar Sheikan" missile
Brief Analysis
Iran Takes Next Steps on Rocket Technology
Solid-propellant motors represent the future for the Islamic Republic, promising much longer ranges and orbit reach for its space and ballistic missile programs.
Feb 11, 2022
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran Is Preparing Its Public, But Not (Yet) for Nuclear Compromise
Despite its iron grip at home, the regime generally seeks to build domestic support for its policies—so what outcome has it been prepping the public for during the nuclear talks?
Feb 3, 2022
◆
  • Jason Brodsky
  • Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Will the Ukraine Standoff Affect the Iran Nuclear Talks?
Some Western policymakers seem to believe that Russia can be helpful on Iran even as it threatens to attack Ukraine, but they’re missing the bigger picture.
Jan 11, 2022
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Iranian Air Force Su-24 landing
Brief Analysis
Fighter Aircraft Could Give Iran a Nuclear Delivery Option
Newly disclosed interviews indicate that a key Pakistani source of Iran’s nuclear know-how also figured out how to equip F-16s with nukes.
Dec 20, 2021
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Next Budget Assumes No Nuclear Deal
The government seems to believe the economy will grow significantly even without sanctions relief or increased oil revenue.
Dec 14, 2021
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Ballistic Missile Arsenal Is Still Growing in Size, Reach, and Accuracy
Tehran has doubled down on the strategic importance of missile systems that can threaten U.S. forces and allies, even as its defensive justifications for such an arsenal ring more hollow than ever.
Dec 13, 2021
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Nukes: This Time the Wolf Is Here
Given the regime’s considerable technical progress, even a good deal would only buy time rather than resolving the long-term nuclear threat.
Dec 10, 2021
◆
  • David Pollock
Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivers public remarks.
Articles & Testimony
Tehran Won’t Tolerate a Reset with Washington—But Will Take a Deal
As the previous nuclear agreement showed, U.S. officials don’t need to change the regime’s mind about America’s supposedly nefarious intentions in order to cut a deal.
Dec 6, 2021
◆
  • Amir Toumaj
U.S. and Iranian flags
Articles & Testimony
Why Israel (Sort of) Misses the Iran Deal
Given the nuclear program’s advancement under the U.S. maximum pressure policy, a raft of Israeli officials now say the JCPOA was better than nothing—but rejoining it will be difficult.
Dec 6, 2021
◆
  • Neri Zilber
U.S. and Iranian flags
Video
Brief Analysis
How Tehran Views Washington
Researchers discuss Iran’s mindset toward the Biden administration and the country’s prospects for internal change as nuclear talks resume in Vienna.
Dec 1, 2021
◆
  • Amir Toumaj
  • Sanam Vakil
Iranian and international negotiators participate in nuclear talks in Vienna, 2021.
Brief Analysis
Reading Through Iran’s Nuclear Demands
Tehran has maintained its stringent line of insisting that Washington lift all sanctions, verify their removal, and provide future guarantees before it will lift a finger on resuming compliance with the JCPOA.
Nov 24, 2021
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
Biden Needs a Plan B for Yemen If Houthis Win
Ending the war under the current circumstances will generate new problems unless further steps are taken to interdict weapons smuggling and bolster security in Saudi Arabia and the Red Sea.
Nov 4, 2021
◆
  • David Schenker
USAF ground crew directs a B-1 Lancer bomber
Articles & Testimony
The Threat of War Is the Only Way to Achieve Peace with Iran
Tehran no longer takes Washington seriously, so the Biden administration needs to put the prospect of military escalation back on the table if it hopes to make progress on the nuclear issue.
Oct 27, 2021
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  • Dennis Ross
U.S. and Iranian flags
Articles & Testimony
A Plan B for Iran
Tehran has seemingly concluded that sanctions relief is no longer worth compromising for, so Washington needs to change that calculus by credibly sharpening the consequences.
Oct 25, 2021
◆
  • Michael Singh
Anti air
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militias Show Off Iranian Anti-Air Missile
Iran-backed resistance groups are seemingly staging missile "discoveries" as a way of warning off coalition air forces.
Oct 21, 2021
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is Morningstar senior fellow and director of research at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Henry Rome
Henry Rome
Henry Rome is a Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, specializing in Iran sanctions, economic, and nuclear issues.
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