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Middle East

Policy Analysis on Middle East

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al-Sahaba Mosque, Darnah, Libya
In-Depth Reports
'A Caliphate That Gathered' Addressing the Challenge of Jihadist Foreign Fighter Hubs
By devoting resources to areas of concentrated recruitment, the Biden administration can reduce the scope of future Middle East conflicts along with the likelihood that U.S. troops will once again be drawn into them.
Apr 15, 2021
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  • Nate Rosenblatt
Kokuka Courageous tanker, Gulf of Oman
In-Depth Reports
Deterring Iran in the Gray Zone Insights from Four Decades of Conflict
The United States has repeatedly failed to understand the unique requirements of gray zone deterrence. A U.S. strategy would not only facilitate more successful diplomacy with Tehran but also enhance efforts to counter other actors such as China and Russia.
Apr 14, 2021
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Satellite map of wider Rea Sea with country names
In-Depth Reports
The Case for a Holistic U.S. Policy Toward the Emerging Red Sea Region
Transition 2021
To promote stability and other U.S. interests, Washington must reshape its approach to this increasingly complex staging ground for global competition.
Apr 1, 2021
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  • Elana DeLozier
Soldiers in Africa, in Syria/Iraq, sensors, pen, other technology
In-Depth Reports
Rethinking U.S. Efforts on Counterterrorism: Toward a Sustainable Plan Two Decades After 9/11
Transition 2021
The shift away from a U.S.-led military posture will require that Washington repair its damaged credibility with allies abroad. A major task at home will be disentangling counterterrorism budgets from the military budgets on which they have long been grafted.
Mar 8, 2021
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  • Matthew Levitt
MbS, King Salman, Saudi map, fighter jet
In-Depth Reports
Defining a Mature, Balanced Relationship with Saudi Arabia An Urgent Task for the Biden Administration
Transition 2021
A revamped approach to the alliance should stay focused on shared goals, from ensuring a stable oil market to promoting a more tolerant version of Islam at home and abroad.
Feb 22, 2021
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  • Dennis Ross
  • Robert Satloff
Map of Israeli bilateral relationships with Arab states
In-Depth Reports
Building Bridges for Peace: U.S. Policy Toward Arab States, Palestinians, and Israel
Transition 2021
The Biden administration can succeed by strengthening and expanding Israeli normalization with Arab states and pursuing gradualism on the Palestinian issue.
Jan 26, 2021
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  • David Makovsky
Women with hands on hearts, Gilroy, California, vigil
In-Depth Reports
Counterterrorism Under the Trump Administration A Fractured Response to a Diversified Threat
The administration's achievements were counterbalanced by a striking lack of alignment among three U.S. national security strategies and the discouraging rapid rise of far-right extremism at home.
Jan 7, 2021
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  • Matthew Levitt
Iran warhead on Iran map
In-Depth Reports
The Coming Iran Nuclear Talks: Openings and Obstacles
Transition 2021
A reimagined approach to Iran nuclear talks could extend the country’s breakout time, preserve U.S. negotiating leverage, and strengthen American alliances in Europe and across the Middle East.
Jan 5, 2021
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  • Dennis Ross
HSI
Brief Analysis
The Counterterrorism Role of Homeland Security Investigations
Join a live webcast with a senior HSI official, a little-known agency with many unique authorities that is instrumental in solving numerous terrorism cases every year.
Nov 30, 2020
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  • Louis Rodi
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Needs Europe to End the ‘Forever Wars’ in the Middle East
The election and other factors provide an opportunity to design a humbler but smarter transatlantic approach to the Middle East.
Nov 6, 2020
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  • Charles Thépaut
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
A New West in the Middle East: Toward a Humbler, More Effective Model of Transatlantic Cooperation
U.S.-European cooperation in the Middle East may not rank high in American voters’ minds, but the issue will demand close policy attention in the months ahead. If Joe Biden defeats Donald Trump, European leaders should not allow their undoubted relief to lapse into complacency. And if Trump prevails, they should
Oct 27, 2020
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  • Charles Thépaut
Articles & Testimony
Bandar Speaks Out: The Changing Landscape in the Mideast
Palestinian leaders previously never had to acknowledge their mistakes or account for missed opportunities, preventing them from learning critical lessons and adjusting their behavior.
Oct 19, 2020
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Risks of the Palestinian Authority’s Outreach to Qatar and Turkey
Recent gestures, which have included reconciliation talks with Hamas, could strengthen the PA’s Gaza-based rival, further strain relations with its traditional Arab allies, and spur elections with destabilizing results.
Oct 13, 2020
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Bahrain Move Toward Israel Risks Domestic Reaction
The announcement of a peace deal between Israel and Bahrain suggests that the Gulf island kingdom has reassessed the danger of opposition from both its majority Shia population and its Sunni community.
Sep 11, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Qatar Strategic Dialogue Offers Opening to End Gulf Rift
The Washington meeting between the United States and Qatar, overlapping with the Israel-UAE signing ceremony on normalization, creates a unique opportunity to resolve the dispute between U.S. allies.
Sep 11, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Ghost of Annexation Past
King Abdullah's 1950 annexation of “Arab Palestine” shows that a bold leader can play his advantages well, redraw the map, gain some recognition, and still leave only regrets.
Jun 25, 2020
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  • Martin Kramer
In-Depth Reports
Wrestling with Annexation: The Elusive Search for a Policy Rationale
As soon as next month, Israel’s new government could approve plans to annex a substantial portion of the West Bank. The trigger for this comes from Washington—a shift by the Trump administration to recognize Israel’s new self-declared borders. But that still doesn’t explain why. What might Israel gain by discarding
Jun 11, 2020
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  • Robert Satloff
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Avoiding an Epic Mistake: The Case for Continuing the U.S. Mission in Sinai
For almost four decades, the Multinational Force & Observers has protected Israel-Egypt peace and anchored stability in the Sinai Peninsula, but a new Pentagon initiative could end the American contribution by late next year. Defense Secretary Mark Esper has indicated that all military endeavors must now fall within a National
May 27, 2020
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  • Assaf Orion
  • Denis Thompson
Articles & Testimony
Baghdadi Is Dead but His Legend Lives On
The Islamic State no longer governs territory, but aspiring jihadists can now point to a caliphate project achieved in their lifetime, a long-held yearning of the international movement.
Oct 29, 2019
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
After Baghdadi: How the Islamic State Rebounds
The back-to-back deaths of the IS leader and allegedly one of his likely successors mark a significant counterterrorism accomplishment, but neither high-profile deaths nor the territorial loss of the so-called caliphate will translate into the organization’s defeat.
Oct 28, 2019
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  • Katherine Bauer
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Aaron Y. Zelin

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