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Iraq

Policy Analysis on Iraq

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A Taliban fighter at a police station in Kabul
Articles & Testimony
How Not to Repeat My History with the Taliban
To avoid the worst outcomes, Washington needs to assiduously enforce any deals with the new Afghan leadership, cooperate effectively with other world powers, and explain to a domestic audience how the withdrawal will facilitate a focus on different priorities.
Sep 2, 2021
◆
  • David Pollock
Militia demolish hoardings at July 14 monument, May 26, 2021
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Badr Organization
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Badr is the wellspring of many of today's muqawama armed groups and still operates under the indirect and sometimes direct control of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
Sep 2, 2021
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Crispin Smith
  • Hamdi Malik
Qais al-Khazali, al-Iraqiya TV, November 19, 2020
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: The Iraqi Radio and Television Union
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
An Iraqi offshoot of the Islamic Radio and Television Union which functions as an umbrella media organization providing support to Iraqi "resistance" media outlets.
Sep 2, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
Photo showing 1983 terrorist attack at U.S. Marine barracks in Beirut, Lebanon.
Articles & Testimony
Stop the Doomsaying, U.S. Credibility Will Weather Afghanistan
Regional mistakes and setbacks stretching back to the Carter administration did not stop countries from relying on Washington, and the Kabul crisis will be no different in the end.
Aug 29, 2021
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Photo showing Taliban fighters outside Kabul Airport, August 2021.
Video
Brief Analysis
From Afghanistan to the Middle East: Implications of the U.S. Withdrawal and Taliban Victory
Three Institute scholars discuss the fallout from Kabul, with special focus on the consequences for global jihadism, Iranian policy, and regional responses.
Aug 26, 2021
◆
  • Kathryn Wheelbarger
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Patrick Clawson
Militia with 23mm driving west outside IZ, May 26, 2021
Articles & Testimony
After Afghanistan, Iraqis Fear They Could Be Next
Similarities between the two cases include heavy patronage politics and militia intimidation, but Baghdad has advantages that could help it avoid Kabul’s fate.
Aug 19, 2021
◆
  • Bilal Wahab
Vice President Joe Biden arrives in Saudi Arabia
Articles & Testimony
Biden Needs a Middle East Strategy to Avoid New Crises
To dispel confusion among America’s partners and better counter its adversaries, the administration will have to do a better job of integrating its country-specific strategies into an overarching approach for accomplishing larger goals.
Aug 10, 2021
◆
  • Kenneth Pollack
  • Dennis Ross
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Do Aircraft Carriers Deter Iran?
There are more effective, less costly, and more sustainable ways to deter Tehran and shape its behavior than back-to-back deployments of carrier strike groups to the Gulf.
Aug 6, 2021
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Henry Mihm
An Iraqi member of a Shia PMF militia
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Struggle to Show Cohesion on "Withdrawal" of U.S. Forces
Militia Spotlight
A pan-Shia forum and Lebanese Hezbollah prodded the Tansiqiya to grudgingly paper over cracks in solidarity among resistance groups.
Aug 3, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
​​​​​​​Figure 1: Al-Etejah TV’s show on the arrest of Qasim Muslih, May 27, 2021
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Al-Etejah Satellite Television
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
A closer look at the "resistance" television channel owned and operated by U.S.-designated terrorist movement Kataib Hezbollah.
Aug 1, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
Kataib Hezbollah Logo
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Muqawama Are Focusing Attack Claims on U.S. Bases in Syria
Militia Spotlight
Iraqi militias have said more about attacking such bases in the past six weeks than they did in preceding years.
Jul 28, 2021
◆
  • Crispin Smith
  • Hamdi Malik
Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba logo
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Al-Nujaba Satellite Television        
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
A U.S.-sanctioned "resistance" channel owned and operated by U.S.-designated terrorist movement Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba.
Jul 22, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
Sahab drone at Camp Ashraf, June 26, 2021
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Drones of Kataib Hezbollah's Jazira Command
Militia Spotlight
KH-commanded militia units appear to have exclusive control over Iranian-provided drones, highlighting the group's links to Tehran and its involvement in recent UAV operations.
Jul 20, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
  • Michael Knights
President Joe Biden speaks on the phone in the Oval Office of the White House
Video
Brief Analysis
A Strategy for Iraq: Guidelines for the Biden Administration
A senior State Department official, a Baghdad bureau chief, and an Iraqi scholar explore the opportunities and increasingly desperate dangers facing U.S. policy toward the country.
Jul 16, 2021
◆
  • Bilal Wahab
  • Joey Hood
  • Jane Arraf
Brief Analysis
Managing Middle East Defense Partnerships Amid Great Power Competition
The U.S. government can counter the narrative of withdrawal by disassociating its regional commitment from the number of “boots on the ground,” building longer-term security cooperation plans, and clarifying its CAATSA sanctions policy.
Jul 13, 2021
◆
  • Grant Rumley
  • Kathryn Wheelbarger
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Are the Muqawama Signaling De-Escalation?
Militia Spotlight
Although attacks on U.S. sites have surged, Iraqi militias appear to be laying the groundwork for de-escalation.
Jul 9, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
Militia demolish hoardings at July 14 monument, May 26, 2021
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Liwa Thar Muhandis
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
This older facade brand has been brought out of retirement during the summer surge of Iraqi militia attacks on U.S. targets.
Jul 8, 2021
◆
  • Crispin Smith
Iranian military leaders inspect drones.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militias Parade Under the PMF Banner (Part 2): Ground Combat Systems
Militia Spotlight
Tehran has bolstered the ground combat capabilities of its proxy militias within the PMF, though the equipment rarely sees combat employment.
Jul 3, 2021
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
  • Michael Knights
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militias Parade Under the PMF Banner (Part 1): Drone Systems
Militia Spotlight
Drone systems paraded in Camp Ashraf were a show of strength, including the debut of new types of Iranian-provided airframes and control vehicles.
Jul 3, 2021
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Biden Wants to Leave the Middle East, But He’s in a Vicious Bombing Cycle in Iraq
Caught between aggressive Tehran-backed militias and a skeptical Congress, the administration needs a better approach.
Jul 2, 2021
◆
  • Michael Knights

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