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Video
Brief Analysis
Back to Bombs or Driving to a Deal? Assessing the U.S.-Iran State of Play
Three experts discuss the fallout from the latest military strikes, along with the potential contours and implications of a newly announced agreement to halt the fighting and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Jun 12, 2026
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Dana Stroul
Robert Satloff
Michael Singh
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Tracking the Islamic State: Activity Trends, African Shifts, and U.S. Dormancy
As a landmark tool for tracking the group’s activity hits another sobering milestone, U.S. officials cannot let regional crises completely overshadow important shifts in jihadist threats around the world.
Jun 11, 2026
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Iran War's Pressure on the Egyptian Pound: Fragile Stability and Expected Shocks
The Egyptian pound is weathering significant challenges to its stability as the Iran war continues to impact oil markets and Egypt's revenue streams, raising concerns about the longterm impact of continued conflict.
Jun 10, 2026
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Heba El Koudsy
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Pipeline Dream Meets Hard Realities
Asian market realities and the ongoing risks to energy investments inside Syria may put a damper on any large-scale infrastructure plans, though Damascus can better its prospects through further stabilization and reform efforts.
Jun 10, 2026
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
How the Looming Houthi Threat Could Turn the Iran War
The Yemeni group has mostly stayed on the sidelines so far, but Washington should not mistake restraint for passivity.
Jun 9, 2026
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April Longley Alley
Brief Analysis
Rethinking Foreign Assistance Cuts That Endanger U.S. Interests
Despite President Trump’s transformative goals in the Middle East and the ongoing need for American help in weathering multiple regional crises, the new budget request doubles down on a range of problematic funding cuts.
Jun 8, 2026
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Alina Romanowski
Ben Fishman
Michael Jacobson
Articles & Testimony
A Deal Could Leave Iran Fatally Weakened
The Trump administration won’t achieve all of its war goals, but it could still notch a strategic win with time.
Jun 8, 2026
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Next Internet Blackout Is Inevitable
Flipping the kill switch is a potent exercise of authoritarian control, but expediting countermeasures like D2C can help prevent regimes from using this tactic in the future.
Jun 5, 2026
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Holly Dagres
Brief Analysis
Countering Iran’s Latest “Smart Control” Gambit in the Strait of Hormuz
Tehran is hoping that its Persian Gulf Strait Authority will establish “facts on the ground” and give it leverage at the negotiating table, so Washington and its partners need to respond right away with a suite of military, economic, and diplomatic countermeasures.
Jun 3, 2026
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Protest Wave: A Governance Stress Test
Washington should treat the recent public discontent not as a sign that Syria’s transition is failing, but as an opportunity to help ensure that Damascus does not repeat the mistakes of previous governments.
Jun 3, 2026
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Video
Brief Analysis
Israel-Lebanon Talks, Round 4: The Pentagon Takes a Seat
U.S. and Israeli experts discuss the potential obstacles to progress in upcoming rounds of negotiations, and explain why keeping the Lebanon track separate from the Iran talks would be wise.
May 29, 2026
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David Schenker
Assaf Orion
Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Beyond Disarmament: How the IRGC Keeps Hezbollah in Power Despite Its Military Losses
Although disarming the group is still crucial, negotiators need to realize that they will never really break Hezbollah’s hold on Lebanon so long as it retains Iranian support and key political allies and government posts in Beirut.
May 29, 2026
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Tempering U.S. Expectations About Iraq’s New Government
Tehran seems just as enthusiastic about the new prime minister as Washington—a telling sign that the militia-dominated status quo in Baghdad will be difficult and slow to change, if it changes at all.
May 28, 2026
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The Politics Blocking Syria’s Energy Recovery
Washington’s message to Syrian officials should be simple: foreign energy capital is unlikely to flow quickly as long as the outside world sees their government as an opaque regime with unclear authority, factional infighting, uncertain legal protections, and unresolved military tensions with powerful neighbors.
May 27, 2026
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Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Limited Role in the Iran War
Power parity informs the view from Ankara, which has a strong interest in preventing Iran from going nuclear or alternatively falling into chaos—even as the war’s outcome will be largely outside Turkish control.
May 26, 2026
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Is Iran America’s Suez Crisis? Not to Xi Jinping
Some may read Xi’s approach as a strategy to make America expend its strength far from Chinese shores, but Beijing increasingly looks more like a regional power than a global superpower.
May 26, 2026
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Drone Strategy (Part 1): Wartime Performance and Adaptations
The war has shown that Iran’s one-way attack drones are highly adaptable tools of coercion and military effect, able to continue imposing costs across the Gulf region and beyond even after heavy losses.
May 22, 2026
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Drone Strategy (Part 2): Preventing Postwar Rebuilding and Advancements
Tehran’s drone ecosystem has been hit hard, but not at its roots—with help from Russia and China, the regime could restore many of the program’s capabilities within months while steadily working toward more dangerous next-generation models.
May 22, 2026
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Syria’s New Government Appointments: More Continuity Than Change
The years that President Sharaa’s circle spent managing Idlib province now look less like improvised wartime governance and more like a deliberate long-term project to build the cadres of a future state.
May 22, 2026
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Shifting from Diplomatic Urgency to Strategic Patience on Iran
For decades, Tehran has repeatedly exploited Western diplomatic urgency to extract concessions, buy time, and refill its coffers; the answer is to turn time itself against the increasingly vulnerable regime.
May 19, 2026
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Zohar Palti
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