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Brief Analysis
The Status of Syria’s Transition After Two Months
While the new government’s relative stability is a success, more details are needed on developing and implementing a national dialogue, a new constitution, and inclusivity measures.
Feb 12, 2025
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Lebanon’s New Government May Walk a Thin Line Between Promises and Compromises
The new cabinet appointments appeared to sideline Hezbollah’s camp, but the group retained control over the crucial Finance Ministry and may find other ways of interfering with security decisions, the reconstruction process, and the next elections.
Feb 12, 2025
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Trump Gives a Green Light to Resume Fighting in Gaza—But Does Netanyahu Want to Do It Now?
A hostage ultimatum from Washington seemed to provide Netanyahu with the freedom of action he wanted, but Israeli domestic realities may not allow him to break the ceasefire just yet.
Feb 11, 2025
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Fatemiyoun/Zainabiyoun Influx: Iraq’s Intensified Hosting of Two U.S.-Designated Terrorist Groups
New data shows that Iran-backed Afghan and Pakistani terrorists are arriving at a broadening range of Iraqi military bases.
Feb 11, 2025
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Sary Mumayiz
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Ukraine Can Help Dismantle Russia’s Influence in the Middle East
With strategic Western support on grain deliveries, embassy staffing, counter-messaging, and other initiatives, Ukraine can contribute much to rolling back Moscow’s malign influence in the region.
Feb 11, 2025
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
The Paris Conference on Syria: Coordination and a Roadmap Are Needed
To set up a future where U.S. forces and constant U.S. attention are no longer needed in Syria, Washington must be involved now, and smart transatlantic engagement could facilitate this goal.
Feb 11, 2025
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Devorah Margolin
Souhire Medini
Brief Analysis
King Abdullah Must Show Trump Practical Arab Ideas for Gaza
Although the president should avoid cornering such an important ally on an issue as risky as Palestinian relocation, the king will need to present his own concrete ideas about postwar Gaza in order to avoid a confrontation with Washington.
Feb 10, 2025
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Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
How Trump, Arab Leaders, and Israel Can Close the Gaps on Gaza
Despite its risks for regional stability and U.S. policy, the president’s Gaza proposal has put this issue at the top of the priority list.
Feb 7, 2025
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Dennis Ross
Dana Stroul
Video
Brief Analysis
Next Steps in Lebanon: From Ceasefire Extensions to Government Formation
How will the unsettled political dynamics in Lebanon affect the ongoing implementation of the Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire? Join us for a series of expert conversations featuring Lebanese, Israeli, and other international observers. Watch live starting at 11:00 a.m. EST (1600 GMT) on Thursday, February 13, 2025.
February 13, 2025, starting at 11:00 a.m. EST (1600 GMT)
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Fadi Daoud
Makram Rabah
Efraim Defrin
Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
Criticizing Trump Isn’t Enough. Arab Leaders Need a Counterproposal
Moving forward with an alternative Gaza plan may not be the president’s first choice, but he could at least take credit for getting Arab states to take action.
Feb 6, 2025
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Dennis Ross
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Sudani Brings Advisors to London Who Support Terrorism and Call for Attacks on U.S.-Led Coalition Forces
Figures linked to Asaib Ahl al-Haq and Kataib Hezbollah were among the Iraqi prime minister's recent UK delegation.
Feb 6, 2025
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Ameer al-Kaabi
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Militia Spotlight
Video
Articles & Testimony
The Syria Breakdown, Episode Four: Revolutionary Rebuilding and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)
What are the risks and potential rewards for Washington and its partners working with the new government of Syria, which is led by members of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)?
Feb 6, 2025
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Aaron Y. Zelin
In-Depth Reports
Building on Momentum in U.S.-Turkey Relations
The two leaders can use their personal rapport to solve bilateral and regional problems, but they will also face tough challenges in matters such as the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and dealings with China.
Feb 5, 2025
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Soner Cagaptay
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Transition Notes 2025
Brief Analysis
Trump’s Foreign Assistance Review Prioritizes Funding Over Policy
Cutting aid programs is not inherently wrong—but making those cuts before assessing their specific impact on regional allies and American lives could be disastrous for U.S. policy in the Middle East.
Feb 5, 2025
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Ben Fishman
Video
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu Visits Washington: Implications for Regional Diplomacy and Security
Israeli and U.S. experts discuss the agenda for the prime minister’s latest U.S. trip and the regional fallout from President Trump’s highly controversial ideas on “relocating” Gaza’s population.
Feb 5, 2025
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Mira Resnick
Amos Harel
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
How Hezbollah Ends: A Better Lebanon Is Possible
Weakening Hezbollah permanently will be difficult, but for once the goal is attainable—if Beirut has the courage to keep the group out of Lebanon’s coffers and make the army do its job.
Feb 4, 2025
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Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
A Trumpian Middle East Goal: 5 Arab-Israeli Peace Agreements
The current set of potential obstacles is much less formidable than what Washington faced just six months ago, and translating possibility into reality begins with the Trump-Netanyahu meeting.
Feb 3, 2025
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Path to a Transformed Middle East: How to Keep the Peace in Gaza While Countering Iran
Very close allied coordination will be needed to strike the right balance between pursuing viable nuclear diplomacy and giving Israel the weapons and support it needs to use force against Iran if necessary.
Feb 3, 2025
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
From October 7 to the Gaza Ceasefire: A Changed Middle East Awaits the Trump Administration
Important strategic changes abound in the region, but policymakers should take care not to underestimate the persistence of old challenges or the potential emergence of new threats.
Jan 31, 2025
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Neomi Neumann
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Reconsidering Cairo's Approach to the Sudanese Civil War
Since the outbreak of the crisis in Sudan in April 2023 between the country's warring generals, Cairo has faced a dilemma regarding how to approach the war on its southern borders.
Jan 30, 2025
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Mohamed Maher
Mohamed Farid
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