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Brief Analysis
Assessing U.S. Progress in the Iran War
While the United States and Israel are winning based on measures like the degradation of Iran’s naval force and missiles, a broader victory will require securing domestic support and avoiding the maximalism that has hindered past American military efforts.
Mar 6, 2026
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Great Power Spillover from the Iran War: Implications for China, Russia, Turkey, and Europe
Washington Institute experts explain what U.S. officials and military planners should be on the lookout for as great power competitors and close allies outside the region consider their responses to the crisis.
Mar 6, 2026
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Grant Rumley
Henry Tugendhat
Anna Borshchevskaya
Soner Cagaptay
Souhire Medini
Brief Analysis
What Kind of Supreme Leader Would Mojtaba Khamenei Be?
Given his strong ties to the IRGC, Khamenei’s son might pursue extreme strategic options.
Mar 5, 2026
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Patrick Clawson
Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
In the Middle East, Chaos Is Putin’s New Ally
Putin has been using his position in the region to chip away at Russia’s isolation during the Ukraine war, and another Middle East regime change won’t do much to change that strategy.
Mar 5, 2026
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Video
Brief Analysis
Energy and Shipping Risks in the Iran War
Join us for an expert webcast examining the Iran conflict's current and potential impacts on global commerce and energy. Watch live starting at 1:00 p.m. EDT (1700 GMT) on Monday, March 9, 2026.
March 9, 2026, startnig at 1:00 p.m. EDT (1700 GMT)
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Lauren Holtmeier
Matt Smith
Richard Nephew
Tomer Raanan
Articles & Testimony
The Abiding Question of the Iranian Bomb
The nuclear program is still the paramount threat, and both of the main options for permanently ending it are unpalatable—but Washington needs a plan nevertheless.
Mar 5, 2026
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Richard Nephew
Brief Analysis
The Wartime Role of Iran’s “Axis”: Countering Proxy and Terrorist Threats
Washington Institute fellows assess how Hezbollah, the Houthis, Iraq’s Hashd, and other Iranian proxies and allies are responding to the war, as well as how the Trump administration and partner governments might counter the risk of terrorist attacks given Tehran’s long track record of foreign plots.
Mar 5, 2026
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Assaf Orion
Hanin Ghaddar
Michael Knights
April Longley Alley
Michael Jacobson
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
America and Israel’s War to Remake the Middle East
Much more so than even last year’s war, the two allies are equal military partners in the current fight, but the growing gaps between their publics could impede cooperation on the next set of major policy issues in the region.
Mar 4, 2026
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Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Another Lebanon Campaign: A Path Toward Peace?
The renewed conflict offers an opportunity to eradicate Hezbollah’s capabilities, potentially clearing the way for breakthrough diplomacy with Israel.
Mar 4, 2026
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Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
The Confusion in Washington Spreads from the Top Down
There is the fog of war, and then there is the Trump administration.
Mar 3, 2026
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
War Comes to the Gulf
With Iran seemingly intent on continuing its strikes against Gulf targets and regional leaders mulling whether and how to respond, what can policymakers and military planners expect to see next in terms of likely target sets, risks to civilian areas, concerns over air defense munition supplies, and potential repercussions for energy and commercial shipping interests?
Mar 3, 2026
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Elizabeth Dent
Michael Eisenstadt
Noam Raydan
April Longley Alley
Articles & Testimony
The Long, Sad History of U.S. Regime Change Promises
From FDR to the Bushes, Washington’s pledges to bring “freedom” to the Middle East have ended badly.
Mar 2, 2026
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Robert Satloff
Video
Brief Analysis
The U.S. and Israel Strike Iran
Read or watch urgent insights into America’s objectives in Iran and the policies that would best advance U.S. security, help the Iranian people, and improve the prospects for long-term regional stability.
Mar 2, 2026
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Holly Dagres
Dennis Ross
Dana Stroul
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Epic Fury and Roaring Lion: From War Scenarios to Pressing Postwar Questions in Iran
Washington Institute experts assess the immediate implications of U.S.-Israeli military strikes on Iran, including the regime’s future after major leadership losses, reactions inside Iran and Lebanon, the fallout for the Gulf states, the contours of potential diplomacy once the fighting stops, and more.
Mar 1, 2026
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Assaf Orion
Michael Eisenstadt
Holly Dagres
Patrick Clawson
Hanin Ghaddar
April Longley Alley
Richard Nephew
Articles & Testimony
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei: An Obituary
Holly Dagres reflects on the rise and fall of Iran’s late leader, who maintained brutal theocratic rule at home and an anti-Western “axis of resistance” in the Middle East for decades.
Feb 28, 2026
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Holly Dagres
Articles & Testimony
On the Paris Conference to Support the Lebanese Army
The international community has held nearly a dozen donor conferences to support Lebanon’s insolvent military and economy, but they all failed, largely because the country has not made the hard decisions necessary to help itself.
Feb 27, 2026
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah Is Winning the Race to Rearm in Lebanon
To gauge the true effectiveness of the LAF's disarmament effort, one must go beyond the number of patrols, raids, and seized weapons and take a hard look at what it has done—and not done—to search private property, target underground facilities, stop cross-border smuggling from Syria, and transparently dispose of armaments.
Feb 26, 2026
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Annexation by Design: How Israel’s New West Bank Policies Are Reshaping the Conflict and Testing U.S. Strategy
In addition to weakening the Palestinian Authority, reducing the feasibility of a two‑state solution, and heightening the risk of escalation, continued implementation of Israel’s latest West Bank decisions could undermine Saudi normalization and other major Trump administration goals for stabilizing the Middle East.
Feb 26, 2026
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Neomi Neumann
Articles & Testimony
From SNAFU to FUBAR in Northeast Syria
Some 20,000 Islamic State-affiliated individuals are now unaccounted for, and no one has a plan for what to do about this mix of committed radicals, at-risk victims, and other escapees.
Feb 25, 2026
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Devorah Margolin
Joana Cook
Brief Analysis
Trump’s Best Options on Iran: Limited Strikes and Continued Military, Economic, and Diplomatic Pressure
Rather than choose between a narrow nuclear deal and open-ended war, the United States should conduct limited military strikes against Iran’s missile program and security services and double down on a pressure strategy that was working.
Feb 25, 2026
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Michael Singh
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