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Brief Analysis
Breaking the Deadlock in Sudan
Decisive U.S. leadership is essential to resolve worsening differences between fellow Quad members, neutralize spoilers, and ensure that Sudanese civilians—not just armed factions—shape their country’s future.
Jan 28, 2026
◆
Donald Booth
Areig Elhag
Brief Analysis
Egypt’s Tightrope Walk Between Saudi Arabia and the UAE
Cairo will not be able to stand completely above Gulf rivalries, but tactful U.S. diplomacy on economics and regional security issues can help give Egyptian leaders enough space to continue their balancing strategy.
Jan 23, 2026
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Haisam Hassanein
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
After Ukraine:
Prospects for a Russian Resurgence in the Middle East
Moscow has cultivated ties with U.S. adversaries and allies alike, and Washington must respond by advancing a holistic policy that empowers Ukrainian commercial interests and addresses deficits in sanctions policy.
Jan 23, 2026
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Matt Tavares
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s New Middle East Strategy
Moscow has certainly not left the Middle East playing field, and many countries will continue expanding their Russian ties unless Washington convinces them there are better options.
Jan 22, 2026
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Matt Tavares
Brief Analysis
Caught in the Crossfire: Islamic State Detention Sites at Risk
With rival forces openly warring in northeast Syria, the long-deferred challenges of identifying, securing, and repatriating IS detainees have come to a head, forcing Washington to prioritize several urgent actions and put more pressure on its partners.
Jan 22, 2026
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Devorah Margolin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Pakistan Steps In: Sudan and the Transformation of Regional Security
A $1.5 billion Pakistani arms deal with Sudan signals a regional shift from diplomacy toward military escalation, which may prolong the war in Sudan.
Jan 22, 2026
◆
Areig Elhag
Brief Analysis
Kurdish Collapse in Northeast Syria? Key Things to Watch
Washington Institute experts assess the immediate fallout of the Syrian government’s advance into SDF-held parts of the northeast, including mutual disinformation campaigns, implications for the Islamic State threat, the terms of new agreements with the Kurds, and the calculus of outside actors like the United States, Israel, and Turkey.
Jan 21, 2026
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Andrew J. Tabler
James Jeffrey
Devorah Margolin
Aaron Y. Zelin
Soner Cagaptay
Zohar Palti
Assaf Orion
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kazakhstan and the Abraham Accords in the Critical Minerals Hedging Game
Kazakhstan's entry into the Abraham Accords may be designed to facilitate new critical minerals supply chains, reducing signatories' dependence on China.
Jan 20, 2026
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Shivane Anand
Nava Goldstein
Articles & Testimony
Sudan Stands Between War and an Imposed Peace
Three possible scenarios have emerged for the war-torn country in 2026, but current realities suggest that a ceasefire and formal transition to civilian governance is the least likely.
Jan 20, 2026
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Areig Elhag
Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Recognizing Somaliland: Israel’s Return to the Red Sea
Israel’s agreement with Somaliland will boost its security in the Red Sea Basin and may encourage the United States and other countries to follow suit, though political obstacles and complications abound.
Jan 16, 2026
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Ehud Yaari
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran Endgame? Protests, Repression, and the Trump Administration
Three experts discuss the rapidly changing situation in Iran, including the status of opposition elements on the ground, the U.S. interests at play in the crisis, and Washington’s policy options for bolstering both.
Jan 16, 2026
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Holly Dagres
Michael Eisenstadt
Richard Nephew
Brief Analysis
As Hezbollah Nervously Watches Iran, Washington Should Double Down on Disarmament
The possibility that its Iranian patron may be toppled is stoking Hezbollah’s existential fears, giving U.S. officials an opening to step up the pressure on Beirut, accelerate the disarmament process, and stave off looming Israeli escalation.
Jan 16, 2026
◆
Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The SDF’s Approach to Integration Talks in Syria and the Risk of Expanded Conflict
Recent clashes between Damascus and the Kurdish forces in Aleppo highlight the risk that stalling integration talks may trigger broader violence.
Jan 15, 2026
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Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Video
Brief Analysis
Crisis Diplomacy in the Middle East: Insights from the Bush, Obama, Trump, and Biden Teams
Watch video or read a summary of a special book launch event featuring a former secretary of defense and other veteran officials discussing the lessons learned from decades of American diplomacy and military efforts in the Middle East.
Jan 15, 2026
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Lloyd J. Austin III
James Jeffrey
Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Why the United States Must Maintain Its International Counterterrorism Leadership Role
With revised U.S. and UN strategy documents in the works, the Trump administration needs to reaffirm America's role in shaping the counterterrorism agenda—and multilateral organizations are indispensable to this effort.
Jan 14, 2026
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Michael Jacobson
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Regime Has Already Lost Its Most Potent Weapon
As protests grow, regime leaders have no clear options for scaring Iranians off the streets, intimidating foreign powers, or escaping their wider strategic crisis.
Jan 14, 2026
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Iran 1978: Hindsight Is a Wonderful Thing
Firsthand recollections of how the Islamic Revolution progressed on the ground raise questions about the current protest movement’s prospects for success.
Jan 13, 2026
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran at a Watershed Moment? The Case for Meaningful U.S. Action
Acting now offers the best chance to halt atrocities and shape a peaceful transition, while waiting would only ensure that the next phase of the crisis is bloodier for Iranians, more dangerous for the region, and more difficult to influence.
Jan 13, 2026
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Farzin Nadimi
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Teetering. The West Isn’t Prepared.
To avoid being caught flat-footed, Western governments must begin policy planning for the destabilizing waves that could accompany regime collapse while urgently restoring support for programs focused on internet freedom, human rights, and similar areas.
Jan 10, 2026
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Holly Dagres
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran-Linked Tanker Delivers Russian Crude to Syria: Assessing the Risks
The incident points to the myriad ways that U.S. adversaries might exploit Moscow’s efforts to claim a permanent stake in Syria’s needy postwar energy sector.
Jan 9, 2026
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Noam Raydan
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