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Brief Analysis
Delisting Hayat Tahrir al-Sham: Implications for U.S. Counterterrorism and Syria Policy
Although skepticism is understandable given the background of those now leading Syria’s government and security forces, removing the FTO designation is an unprecedented counterterrorism decision with numerous potential benefits and ripple effects.
Jul 10, 2025
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Leveraging Iran’s Defeat to Strengthen U.S.-Iraq Security Relations
Tehran’s Iraqi proxies mostly sat out the twelve-day war, but this pragmatic restraint will not forestall growing U.S.-Iran competition over Iraq’s airspace, economic partnerships, and other sectors.
Jul 10, 2025
◆
Michael Knights
Video
Brief Analysis
Pursuing Israel-Syria Detente Post-Assad
Watch an expert conversation examining the prospects of cooperation between Israel and the new Syrian government.
Jul 10, 2025
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Rime Allaf
Ehud Yaari
Aaron Y. Zelin
Andrew J. Tabler
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Israeli Strike Kills Head of Security for Iraqi Militia KSS
Haider al-Musawi may have been (unsuccessfully) securing the move of a senior Lebanese Hezbollah operative through Iraq into Iran.
Jul 9, 2025
◆
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Now Is Not the Time to Ease Up on Hezbollah—or Beirut
After giving Lebanese officials a much-needed ultimatum for disarming Hezbollah and implementing financial reforms, Washington is now in danger of letting them once again punt these all-important tasks.
Jul 9, 2025
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
How Turkey Views the Iran-Israel Confrontation
Despite long opposing Tehran’s nuclear ambitions, Ankara has a strong national security interest in avoiding moves that result in either direct Turkish hostilities with Iran or the collapse of the Islamic Republic.
Jul 8, 2025
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How Iran’s Turn to Nationalism Affects U.S. Policy
The Supreme Leader and his domestic echo chambers have shown a remarkable shift in emphasis from religious authority to full-throated pre-revolutionary nationalism, and Washington should adjust its messaging accordingly.
Jul 8, 2025
◆
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Netanyahu’s Legacy Won’t Be Made on the Battlefield Alone
The prime minister has shown historic military resolve, but political courage must come next.
Jul 6, 2025
◆
Dennis Ross
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran on Day 13: Gauging Regime Choices and Public Attitudes After the War
Two human rights experts discuss the chances that Iran’s domestic crackdown will escalate under the ceasefire, while a former CIA manager explains why the clock is rapidly ticking away on key elements needed to effectively monitor the damaged nuclear program.
Jul 3, 2025
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Holly Dagres
Roya Boroumand
Norman Roule
Brief Analysis
Here’s How State Department Cuts Would Impede U.S. Policy in the Middle East
The Trump administration’s budget cuts, intended to make America “safer, stronger, and more prosperous,” could wind up harming U.S. interests in the region while strengthening Russian and Chinese media warfare.
Jul 3, 2025
◆
Ben Fishman
Elizabeth Surman
Brief Analysis
An Opportunity Not to Be Missed: Agenda for the Trump-Netanyahu Meeting
The two leaders should focus on articulating a vision for a diplomatic agreement with Iran, sketching a common roadmap on Gaza, setting the stage for further Arab-Israeli normalization, and updating the parameters of bilateral strategic cooperation for a new regional reality.
Jul 3, 2025
◆
Dana Stroul
Robert Satloff
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Caution and Fear of a Crackdown: Iranian Kurdish Opposition Responses to the Israel-Iran Conflict
Iranian Kurdish opposition groups remain committed to regime change in Iran, but external and internal factors contributed to the caution with which they approached the recent conflict.
Jul 2, 2025
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Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Brief Analysis
To Resolve Sudan’s Conflict, Merge the Jeddah and Quad Tracks
The best way to bolster the Trump administration’s new “Quad” initiative is by combining it with a previous Saudi-American platform that already has significant buy-in from the warring parties.
Jul 2, 2025
◆
Areig Elhag
Brief Analysis
Accelerating Israeli-Palestinian Diplomacy After the Iran War
Although international frustrations over the Gaza war were briefly placed on the back burner during the Iran crisis, they are boiling over once again and may spoil Washington’s postwar plans if left untended.
Jul 2, 2025
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Video
Brief Analysis
After the "Hammer": Postwar Opportunities and Risks for U.S. Policy in the Middle East
The objectives of Operation Midnight Hammer aligned with the broader U.S. goals of curbing Iranian threats and stabilizing the Middle East—but military force alone will not produce those outcomes.
Jul 1, 2025
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Robert Satloff
Mona Yacoubian
Richard Nephew
Brief Analysis
Iran Talks Are Still Necessary—Here’s What They Should Focus On
From insisting on zero enrichment to making the ceasefire conditional, officials should ensure that any post-conflict negotiations with Tehran fully address U.S. policy imperatives, including the need to prevent reconstitution of the nuclear program.
Jul 1, 2025
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Why Putin Won’t Come to Iran’s Rescue Against Israel
Although Tehran’s current vulnerability presents important opportunities to counter Russia’s strategic ambitions, Moscow has long retained its influence in the region by purposefully avoiding overcommitment to any one partner.
Jun 28, 2025
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Back to the Table? Recommendations for Negotiations with Iran
A compilation of views on the next round of prospective talks with Iran, sanctions relief options, military and technical considerations, the international role, and more.
Jun 27, 2025
◆
Dennis Ross
Richard Nephew
Farzin Nadimi
Patrick Clawson
Michael Singh
Grant Rumley
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Redefining and Strengthening the U.S.-Iraq Relationship Through Energy and Security
Iraq is more stable than it has been in decades but still faces enormous security and energy challenges, including the risk of spillover from Iran-Israel hostilities, dependence on unreliable Iranian gas amid untapped domestic opportunities, an untested Syrian government, and the unrelenting Islamic State threat.
Jun 27, 2025
◆
Noam Raydan
Devorah Margolin
Video
Brief Analysis
Energy and Economic Implications of the Iran-Israel Conflict
Three experts explore the war’s impact on global energy markets, Iran-Gulf relations, President Trump’s oil price calculations, and more.
Jun 27, 2025
◆
Homayoun Falakshahi
Jennifer Gnana
Gregory Brew
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