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Articles & Testimony
Five Years After Saied’s Power Grab, Tunisia Is Isolated and Unmoored
Even as the country's president shuns outside support, Western actors can use creative methods to engage reformers, support the Tunisian economy, and prevent instability.
Jul 27, 2026
◆
Sabina Henneberg
Sarah Yerkes
Brief Analysis
Russia Is Not Leaving Syria
While it no longer enjoys primacy in Damascus, the Kremlin has proven itself able to adapt to the new reality, and Washington must play the long game in response.
Jul 27, 2026
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Lindsey Graham’s Last Gift to the U.S.-Israel Alliance
A White House meeting facilitated by the senator’s funeral could let Trump and Netanyahu avoid the appearance of a wartime rift.
Jul 25, 2026
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Changing Iran’s Coercive Calculus Requires More Than Massing U.S. Forces
Regardless of where the current round of escalation goes, Tehran will continue using ceasefires, front-loaded sanctions waivers, and tit-for-tat attack cycles as opportunities to reconstitute its forces until Washington imposes hard, verifiable limits on its fastest-recovering asymmetric capabilities.
Jul 24, 2026
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Farzin Nadimi
Video
Brief Analysis
Palestinian Elections: Renewal or More of the Same?
Former officials and advisors discuss the newly announced Palestinian legislative elections in light of Hamas’s leadership change, Israel’s political imperatives, growing violence in the West Bank, and the prospects for jump-starting the Trump administration’s stalled transition plan in Gaza.
Jul 24, 2026
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Neomi Neumann
Ibrahim Dalalsha
Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
How to Isolate Tehran
To reopen the Strait of Hormuz after the latest dip in the Iran roller coaster, the Trump administration will need to marry renewed blockade efforts with a more collective-minded diplomatic approach.
Jul 17, 2026
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Previewing the Trump-Aoun Meeting: A Make-or-Break Moment for the Israel-Lebanon Agreement
Circumstances are ripe for a successful visit, but both presidents are looking for more than bonhomie—Aoun needs practical U.S. commitments of operational and financial support, while Trump needs additional evidence of Beirut’s seriousness on disarming Hezbollah.
Jul 16, 2026
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Yemen’s Truce at Risk
High-profile funeral events in Iran provided an opportunity for the Houthis to pressure Saudi Arabia, and for Tehran to demonstrate support to its partner and signal it has cards to play at another maritime chokepoint.
Jul 16, 2026
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April Longley Alley
Articles & Testimony
Operationalizing the Trilateral Framework Agreement
The framework's success will largely depend on the creation of a U.S.-led, third-party verification system to avoid the shortcomings experienced with previous agreements, bolstered by effective intelligence support and international financing.
Jul 15, 2026
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Hizballah’s Deep State: The Real Challenge of Disarmament in Lebanon
As long as the group’s economic, political, and institutional ecosystem remains intact, officials will need to pair disarmament efforts with a sustained strategy to target financial networks, political influence, and judicial infiltration.
Jul 15, 2026
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Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Mr. Al-Zaidi Goes to Washington
Despite significant progress, Iraq still has a long way to go to meet the Trump administration’s expectations for reining in Iranian influence.
Jul 13, 2026
◆
David Schenker
Video
Brief Analysis
Russia, the Iran War, and the Middle East
Former senior U.S. defense officials join a Russia expert to discuss how the Iran crisis is shaping Moscow’s military, political, and economic ambitions in the region.
Jul 10, 2026
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Keith Kellogg
Anna Borshchevskaya
Matthew Tavares
Articles & Testimony
A Ceasefire Won’t End Iran’s Terror War on Europe
Even if Washington resumes negotiations, Tehran will keep sending its proxies to commit attacks, buy weapons, and establish sham charities on the continent, so European governments must crack down harder.
Jul 9, 2026
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Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Visit Can Help Shape the Future Fight Against the Islamic State
Despite other pressing priorities and the imminent end of the coalition mission, Zaidi’s trip is a vital opportunity to make sure Baghdad has the targeted assistance it needs to keep IS from resurging at a time of great domestic and regional turbulence.
Jul 8, 2026
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Devorah Margolin
Gabriel Wein
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
After War, a Crackdown in Iran's Sistan-Baluchestan Province
Recent crackdowns against Iran's Baloch minority over tensions around mining in the province suggest that the rift between the regime and many Baloch is deepening in the post-war period.
Jul 8, 2026
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Samand Muhammadshahi
Brief Analysis
$300 Billion for Iran? Don’t Expect Much Impact
The heftiest portion of the theoretical financial windfall discussed in the U.S.-Iran agreement is unlikely to materialize, let alone have a big economic or political impact inside the Islamic Republic.
Jul 7, 2026
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
The Phosphate Pivot: Why Morocco and Tunisia Matter to U.S. Food Security
The Maghreb can help counter China’s growing pressure on “critical” fertilizer supply chains, particularly if Washington focuses on mutually beneficial economic partnerships rather than democratic conditionality alone.
Summer 2026
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Ghazi Ben Ahmed
Sabina Henneberg
Mohsine El Ahmadi
Brief Analysis
Europe’s Offer to Help Strengthen Lebanon’s Sovereignty: Ensuring U.S. Coordination
As UN peacekeepers prepare to depart, an EU mission could help boost Washington’s efforts in Lebanon—provided Europeans can closely coordinate their proposals with the future UN presence and the U.S. focus on sovereignty and disarmament.
Jul 2, 2026
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Souhire Medini
Articles & Testimony
Abolishing Lebanon’s ‘Anti-Normalization’ Laws: A Prerequisite for Peace
Recent Lebanese media engagement with Israelis is a welcome sign, but U.S. mediators should let this organic trend gain momentum for the time being rather than pressuring Beirut to make immediate legislative changes.
Jul 1, 2026
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
How Morocco’s Religious Rehabilitation Model Could Help Gaza
Although local religious and social differences would present some obstacles, the proven exportability of Rabat’s deradicalization machinery and the kingdom’s good working relations with the Israeli government make it an intriguing candidate for inclusion in the wider Gaza stabilization effort.
Jul 1, 2026
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Salma Annasse
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