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North Africa

Policy Analysis on North Africa

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Tunisian demonstrators outside the general union building (UGTT), June 2022
Brief Analysis
Did the EU Bail Out Tunisia’s Kais Saied?
Washington may be tempted to defer Tunisia’s problems to Europe, but a new MOU risks perpetuating the country’s economic crisis and worsening the plight of migrants.
Jul 26, 2023
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  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Ben Fishman
Sadiq al-Gharyani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Could Libya Become Africa’s Afghanistan?
As political figures vie for influence in Libya, Islamist groups have been empowered to crack down on religious freedoms, women, and minority groups across the country.
Jul 26, 2023
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  • Khalil El Hasse
Abdul Fattah al Sisi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt Has Not Revealed Any Workable Plan for Sudan
Despite numerous conferences and promises, Sudan's regional neighbors have done little to defuse the current conflict.
Jul 21, 2023
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  • Mon’im Omer
The logo of the Russian mercinary force The Wagner Group on an office door in Moscow - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Wagner vs. Russia’s Defense Ministry in the Middle East
Russia’s domestic military crisis could hold significant consequences for its regional operations, from heightening the risk of clashes with U.S. forces in Syria to putting a public face on its destabilizing activities in Libya.
Jun 29, 2023
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Ben Fishman
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Global Ambitions and Tunisia’s Crisis Could Spur Algeria to Rethink Its Non-Intervention Policy
By involving Algiers in enhanced multilateral efforts, Washington can nudge it toward more effective strategies abroad while simultaneously improving Tunisia’s political and economic situation.
Jun 27, 2023
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  • Sabina Henneberg
Photo showing fighters from the Somali terrorist group al-Shabab.
Brief Analysis
More Emirati Military Involvement in Somalia Could Help Curb al-Shabab
The United Arab Emirates has much to offer if it chooses deeper military involvement in the fight against al-Shabab, but it would need to coordinate closely with other actors, especially the United States, to optimize its contribution.
Jun 27, 2023
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  • Ido Levy
Egypt Sudan Border
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt’s Approach to Conflict in Sudan: A Simmering Crisis
With no end in sight, the Sudan conflict will put significant pressure on Egypt's economic, political, and security infrastructure.
Jun 23, 2023
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  • Anthony Skinner
Articles & Testimony
Perpetual Deadlock Is Limiting Libya’s Potential
Oil is flowing and warring factions are not actively warring, but this illusion of stability can disappear at any time unless further steps are taken to produce a legitimate government.
Jun 17, 2023
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  • Ben Fishman
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Regional Geopolitics and the Second Negev Summit
After months of delay, U.S. and Israeli government officials reportedly suggested that the second Negev Summit will proceed on June 25.
Jun 13, 2023
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  • Nashat Shawamreh
Tunisian police guard the site of a terrorist attack - soucre: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
All Quiet on the North African Jihadi Front
Dwindling terrorist activity in the region stands in sharp contrast to sub-Saharan Africa, but changing local dynamics and other factors could revive the threat quickly.
Jun 6, 2023
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
US Foreign Policy in Tunisia: Dilemmas and Prospects
By standing up for human rights and taking concrete steps to support a receptive Tunisian public, Washington can help overcome its reputation for putting security and economic interests ahead of democratic ideals.
Jun 1, 2023
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  • Sabina Henneberg
A bread seller in Cairo walks past a sign promoting President Sisi - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Bread in Egypt: Politics, Social Unrest, and State Stability
The global rise in wheat prices since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has renewed questions about Egypt’s bread subsidies and the government’s broader legitimacy.
May 31, 2023
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  • Aaron Rock-Singer
Illustration of the Algerian and Russian flags
Brief Analysis
Algeria-Russia Relations After the Ukraine Invasion
The North African country has maintained a close rapport with its traditional security partner, but a perpetual desire for balance and autonomy could offer opportunities for Western countries, including the United States.
May 18, 2023
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  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Grant Rumley
  • Erik Yavorsky
Tunisia's King Mohammed VI addresses the Tunisian parliament
Articles & Testimony
Tunisia Can “Bounce Back” from Authoritarianism with Proper Support
Other countries that have restored democratic norms in recent years have seen progress in five distinct areas.
May 16, 2023
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  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Sarah Yerkes
A bread seller in Cairo walks past a sign promoting President Sisi - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Is Egypt Headed Toward Collapse?
The country has been described as “too big to fail,” but further deterioration is possible amid mounting debt, major inflation, and delayed military divestment.
May 5, 2023
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
How the United States Can—and Should—Continue to Support Tunisia
Washington may be tempted to give up after the country’s democratic backsliding; instead, it should take targeted, supportive actions that have worked in other cases.
May 4, 2023
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  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Sarah Yerkes
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Political Rights and Civil Liberties in the Middle East: Trends in Freedom House Data Since 2010
The organization’s latest report showed persistent backsliding last year and since the Arab Spring, along with dramatic drops in a handful of countries and warnings of further drops next year.
Apr 27, 2023
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  • Camille Jablonski
A Sudanese protester against military rule
Brief Analysis
The Fighting in Sudan Threatens Peace Efforts with Israel
Even if another civil war is averted, the delay in signing a peace agreement has provided room for the rise of political factions that oppose further relations with Israel.
Apr 21, 2023
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Photo of Israelis in Tel Aviv protesting proposed judiciary changes, February 2023.
Brief Analysis
Regional Reactions to Israel’s Protests
Many Middle Eastern outlets have used the crisis to reinforce their inflammatory rhetoric, but some have provided nuanced analysis through the lenses of democratic principles and Arab-Israel peace.
Apr 12, 2023
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  • Frances McDonough
Brief Analysis
China’s Presence in Tunisia: How Far Has It Come, and Where Is It Headed?
Tunisia’s structural roadblocks, public skepticism, and ongoing domestic crises have combined to limit its relationship with China, leaving Beijing unable to jumpstart its typical large-scale projects and investments.
Apr 6, 2023
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  • Louis Dugit-Gros
  • Sabina Henneberg

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Robert Satloff - source: The Washington Institute
Robert Satloff
Robert Satloff is the Segal Executive Director of The Washington Institute, a post he assumed in January 1993.
Ben Fishman
Ben Fishman
Ben Fishman is the Steven D. Levy Senior Fellow in the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on North Africa.
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