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North Africa

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Brief Analysis
What to Expect (or Not) from the Arab League Summit
Participants will probably issue potent-sounding statements on Iran, oil production, and other key issues, but their rhetoric is unlikely to result in any substantive policy shifts or internal dispute resolution.
Oct 24, 2022
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  • Sabina Henneberg
  • David Schenker
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Will Haftar’s Heir Be an Ally of the Russians or the Americans?
As Libya's political dynamics continue to change, Washington's next moves are more important than ever.
Oct 21, 2022
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  • Khalil El Hasse
Brief Analysis
The UN Resolution Against Russia’s Ukraine Annexations: How Did the Middle East Vote?
Most of the region supported the measure, with one nay vote, a pair of notable changes since the March resolution, and several strong statements in support of territorial integrity.
Oct 18, 2022
Articles & Testimony
Ten Years After Benghazi: Getting Past Groundhog Day
Of all the conflict-riven countries in the Middle East, Libya still has the greatest potential for resolution in a way that could benefit the wider region, Europe, and the United States.
October-November 2022
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  • Ben Fishman
Currency exchange prices on display
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
SDR Allocations in the Middle East: Helpful, but No Silver Bullet
Various governments have made good use of last year’s unprecedented IMF allocation, but the Ukraine war, ongoing debt issues, and other economic problems are a reminder that the region cannot sidestep deeper reforms indefinitely.
Sep 20, 2022
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  • Jonah Shrock
Fair-Observer-Arab-NATO-Middle-East-politics-Iran-news-GCC-news
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Middle East NATO: From Fiction to Fact
In light of increased regional tensions, the idea of a Middle East NATO is becoming more and more realistic, this time with the possibility of Israeli-Arab cooperation.
Sep 14, 2022
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  • Mohamed Chtatou
A Western Sahara flag flying in the Sahara - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Will the Western Sahara Crisis Tear the Maghreb Apart?
Although the threat of a more serious armed conflict is not acute, the region's worsening diplomatic strife could have far-reaching economic consequences.
Sep 13, 2022
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  • Sabina Henneberg
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Algeria’s Foreign Policy: Facing a Crossroads
The ongoing war in Ukraine, with its recrystallization of allegiances, can provide Algeria the opportunity to return from a shift towards Russia and China back to a more balanced relationship with great powers.
Aug 9, 2022
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  • Vasilis Petropoulos
President Kais Saied of Tunisia casts a vote in the July 2022 constitutional referendum.
Brief Analysis
How to Engage with Tunisia’s New Constitutional Republic
Although anti-democratic measures continue to mount, now is not the time for cutting assistance, but rather for bolstering the country’s imperiled private sector, robust civil society, and compromised judiciary.
Aug 8, 2022
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  • Sabina Henneberg
Tunisia timeline thumbnail image
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Timeline of Tunisia's Constitutional Crisis and the U.S. Response
An infographic illustrating President Saied's controversial political moves since summer 2021 and the steps U.S. officials have taken to discourage authoritarian backsliding.
Jul 20, 2022
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  • Ben Fishman
  • Kyle Robertson
Articles & Testimony
Libya Could Make or Break Biden’s Middle East Oil Diplomacy
Increased Saudi production will mean little if Libyan production remains unreliable, so it's time to play hardball with Haftar.
Jul 10, 2022
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  • Ben Fishman
A Panamanian-flagged oil tanker in the Persian Gulf - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Reflagging Ships Could Be the Answer to Russia's Blockade of Black Sea Ports
Such an option could limit the risk of escalation, pressure Russia, and help avert a humanitarian crisis in the Middle East.
Jun 2, 2022
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Garrett I. Campbell
Articles & Testimony
The Impact of Russia’s Ukraine Invasion in the Middle East and North Africa
A former Pentagon advisor testifies on how the war might affect Moscow's ability to sell arms to MENA governments and project power in the region.
May 18, 2022
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  • Grant Rumley
A supporter of Tunisia's Islamist Ennahda Party protests against the Tunisian president's 2022 coup - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Promoting Stability and Reform in Tunisia
A frozen democratic transition and widening economic uncertainty mark the ongoing national crisis, so Washington will need to make careful use of sticks and carrots in supporting open governance.
May 3, 2022
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  • Sabina Henneberg
Brief Analysis
French-Turkish Relations: Foes to Friends?
The Ukraine war has greatly boosted their diplomatic and military cooperation, but lingering friction over Syria, Libya, and Mediterranean issues will need to be handled carefully if this rapprochement is to endure.
Apr 20, 2022
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  • Louis Dugit-Gros
  • Pierre Morcos
  • Soner Cagaptay
Israeli and Arab foreign ministers, along with U.S. Secretary of State Blinken, at the Negev Summit - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
A New Regional Role for Israel, as Washington Shows Signs of Stepping Back
By participating in the Negev Summit, Arab states are signaling their appreciation for Israel’s status as both a local power and a unique interlocutor with the United States.
Mar 28, 2022
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Ukraine Invasion Ushers in Algeria’s Return
Although the wave of Western overtures is understandable, Algeria is unlikely to make up for Europe’s energy supply gaps or take other actions that give the appearance of choosing sides.
Mar 28, 2022
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  • Geoff Porter
NATO member flags fly at half-staff in solidarity with victims of the November 2015 Paris terror attacks - source: NATO
Video
Brief Analysis
NATO Counterterrorism Trends: Current and Future Threats
The alliance’s CT chief reflects on what member states, their militaries, and their international partners should focus on as they adapt to constantly evolving terrorist threats at home and abroad.
Mar 17, 2022
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  • Gabriele Cascone
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
Can Turkey and the UAE Help Break Libya’s Deadlock?
Finding a compromise timeline for elections will be delicate, but the recent thaw in relations between Ankara and Abu Dhabi removes a significant external impediment to progress.
Mar 14, 2022
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  • Ben Fishman
Tunisian citizens who fled the Russian invasion of Ukraine arrive in Tunis - Source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Middle East Students Stranded in Ukraine
Regional governments are scrambling to repatriate thousands of their trapped citizens, and the United States could play a key role in facilitating their safe return.
Mar 9, 2022
◆
  • Carol Silber
  • Calvin Wilder

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Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Robert Satloff
Robert Satloff
Robert Satloff is Segal Executive Director of The Washington Institute, a post he assumed in January 1993.
Ben Fishman
Ben Fishman
Ben Fishman is a Senior Fellow in The Washington Institute's Program on Arab Politics.
David Pollock
David Pollock
David Pollock is the Bernstein Fellow at The Washington Institute, focusing on regional political dynamics and related issues.
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