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Brief Analysis
A Close Encounter of the Propaganda Kind in the Gulf
Despite more structured international maritime security measures, a recent encounter between Iranian and U.S. naval forces reiterated the potential for miscalculation, especially under a more assertive government in Tehran.
Nov 22, 2021
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Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
December Elections in Libya Risk a Return to Civil War
Authorities have come too far to risk resuming violence or dividing the country with a rushed, heavily boycotted vote.
Nov 21, 2021
◆
Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Ardeshir Zahedi: Legend and Lesson
The career of Iran's last pre-revolution ambassador to the United States offers both an example and a warning to American policymakers and diplomats today.
Nov 19, 2021
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Martin Kramer
Brief Analysis
The EU Migrant Crisis: Options for Border Security and U.S. Interests
Spurred by conflicts in the Middle East, North Africa, and Afghanistan, the migration emergency in Belarus gives Washington an opportunity to foster cooperative agreements and goodwill.
Nov 19, 2021
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Kenneth R. Rosen
Calvin Wilder
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Goal Behind the Hypocritical Discourse of Iraq’s Militia Media
Pro-Iranian militia media channels are relying on distortion, character assassination, and misinformation to attract Iraqi audiences, after dependence on constant religious messaging proved futile.
Nov 18, 2021
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Sadiq Hassaan
Brief Analysis
UAE to Fund Israel and Jordan’s Solar/Water Deal
The trilateral agreement will combine long-established peace partners with one of the Gulf parties to last year’s Abraham Accords, providing a model for broader normalization efforts.
Nov 18, 2021
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Ghaith al-Omari
Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Technical Disinformation and the Nov. 7 Drone Attack
To deflect responsibility for the assassination attempt on Iraq’s prime minister, self-styled "resistance" groups have assembled a dodgy dossier of convincing-looking disinformation.
Nov 17, 2021
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Anwar al-Zamani
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Turkey vs. the YPG: What’s Next?
As Ankara and Moscow mull a potential exchange of Syria border incursions for Idlib concessions, Erdogan risks endangering his intertwined goals of improving Turkey’s economy and minimizing tensions with Washington.
Nov 16, 2021
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Helping Syria’s Kurds Weigh Their Options
By reassuring its Kurdish allies via temporary diplomatic, military, and economic measures, Washington can gain greater leverage over Russia and other players at acceptably low risk and cost.
Nov 15, 2021
◆
David Pollock
In-Depth Reports
Iranian Perceptions of the U.S. Soft Power Threat
Fearing a Western-inspired overthrow, Tehran has intensified enforcement of morality laws, purged professors from universities, and poured billions of dollars into the creation of a separate national intranet.
Nov 14, 2021
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Amir Toumaj
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Sabereen News Criticizes Iran for Lack of Support
Elements of Asaib Ahl al-Haq and Kataib Hezbollah are seemingly trying to extract domestic and Iranian support for more forceful pushback against their recent political isolation.
Nov 13, 2021
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Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Harrowing of Mustafa Kadhimi
Militias' repeated targeting of Kadhimi, including this week's attack on his home, emphasizes that Kadhimi has done something right in his past two years as Prime Minister of Iraq.
Nov 9, 2021
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
How Israel Should Navigate the New American Landscape
America’s broad inclination toward retrenchment is unlikely to abate anytime soon, but Israeli leaders can still do much to remind Washington why basic regional stability is so essential to its interests.
Nov 9, 2021
◆
Dennis Ross
Video
Brief Analysis
The Future of Putin's War in Syria
A former U.S. ambassador to Russia joins two experts for a discussion on what the six-year intervention can tell us about Moscow’s broader foreign policy.
Nov 8, 2021
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Lester Grau
Michael McFaul
Brief Analysis
Strategy Session on Non-Kinetic Counterterrorism Tools
Read statements from officials and experts who participated in a conference on non-military tactics in the global fight against terrorism.
Nov 8, 2021
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
Biden’s Other Setback: OPEC+ Ignores His Plea for Help
The political costs of oil and gas pricing are increasing amid diplomatic snubs, LNG logistics, and the onset of winter weather.
Nov 8, 2021
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Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Meltdown, Part 1: Protesting the Election
In the wake of their failed election campaigns and other recent setbacks, militias sought to deepen their claims of victimhood and politically damage Prime Minister Kadhimi with protests.
Nov 7, 2021
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Crispin Smith
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Meltdown, Part 2: Drone Attack on the Prime Minister
Militias followed up Qais al-Khazali's threats against Kadhimi by attacking his residence, shattering the narrative of victimhood they had been building through protests.
Nov 7, 2021
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Crispin Smith
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Raisi and the Continued Export of Revolution to Syria
The recent targeting of the al-Tanf base in Syria, where U.S. forces are stationed, highlights the ways in which the Iranian presence in Syria is becoming increasingly bold in line with the foreign policy goals of Iran’s new president.
Nov 5, 2021
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Omar Abu Layla
Articles & Testimony
Why a Political Comeback for Israel’s Netanyahu Just Became a Lot Less Likely
By passing a budget, avoiding fatal polarization, and toning down the rhetoric (if not the military pressure) on Iran, the young coalition government may have marginalized the former leader for the long term.
Nov 5, 2021
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Neri Zilber
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