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11622
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Brief Analysis
Unpacking the UAE F-35 Negotiations
In what has become a major test of America’s shift to great power competition, Washington must weigh its desire to maintain a close security partnership with the UAE against Abu Dhabi’s growing ties with China.
Feb 15, 2022
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Grant Rumley
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Liwa Khaybar
With probable links to Kataib Hezbollah, this minor facade group claimed a major rocket attack on al-Asad Air Base, but mainly limits itself to claimed bombings against U.S. supply convoys.
Feb 15, 2022
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Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Articles & Testimony
Prepare for Russian Tanks to Crawl into Ukraine—and Cut Europe’s Energy
Although the immediate military horizon remains blurry, the longer-term energy crunch may be survivable, albeit painful.
Feb 15, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
How to Make Russia Pay in Ukraine: Study Syria
Washington needs to show Putin that this will not be the limited intervention he was able to get away with in Syria, but rather a catalyst for dramatic NATO entrenchment and strategic setbacks.
Feb 15, 2022
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Facing Syria’s Food Crisis
In 1974, the UN defined food security as “availability at all times of adequate . . . food supplies.” According to this definition, Syria is facing a major crisis in food insecurity, while the standard of living continues to decline in the face of ongoing conflict.
Feb 14, 2022
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Ishtar Al Shami
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The UAE Formally Ceases to be a Tax-Free Haven
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) recently announced a 9% corporate tax on businesses set to begin in June 2023. The corporate tax is the latest alteration to the country’s former lack of taxation, after having first introduced a 5% value added tax (VAT) in 2018.
Feb 14, 2022
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Sana Quadri
Hamdullah Baycar
Brief Analysis
Libya’s Renewed Legitimacy Crisis
Washington and Europe need to clearly signal that they will not endorse any new governing arrangements until all local actors peacefully adhere to a negotiated political roadmap.
Feb 14, 2022
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Bennett’s Bahrain Visit Further Invigorates Israel-Gulf Diplomacy
The trip reflects the diplomatic competition between Manama and Abu Dhabi, and also suggests that a breakthrough with the Saudis could be close.
Feb 14, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran Takes Next Steps on Rocket Technology
Solid-propellant motors represent the future for the Islamic Republic, promising much longer ranges and orbit reach for its space and ballistic missile programs.
Feb 11, 2022
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia Adjusts Its History, Diminishing the Role of Wahhabism
The first celebration of Founding Day, on February 22, could be accompanied by other changes.
Feb 11, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
An Arab Leader in Israel: A Conversation with Mansour Abbas
The head of the first Arab party to join an Israeli governing coalition answers questions about the country’s domestic and foreign policies, including its approach to Palestinian issues and diplomacy with Arab states.
Feb 10, 2022
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Mansour Abbas
David Makovsky
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Middle East at the Olympics: Six Countries Compete While Great Power Politics on Display
Because regional leaders are treating the games as another stage for balancing historic partnerships with current economic and security interests, Washington should keep drawing clear lines regarding their ties with Beijing.
Feb 9, 2022
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Carol Silber
Audio
Articles & Testimony
Podcast: Breaking Hezbollah's Golden Rule
Season 1
Listen to a podcast series shining a bright light on the global terrorist and criminal activities that Lebanese Hezbollah would rather keep hidden from view.
February-March 2022
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Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Al-Ahd Satellite Television
A closer look at the "resistance" television channel owned and operated by U.S.-designated terrorist movement Asaib Ahl al-Haq.
Feb 9, 2022
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Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Challenges to Taliban Rule and Potential Impacts for the Region
Internal and external factors are weakening the Taliban, making the group's long term stability increasingly unlikely.
Feb 9, 2022
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Mohamed Mokhtar Qandil
Articles & Testimony
Energy Markets Take a Costly Turn with the Drama of World Tensions
In the current act, Russia enjoys advantages over its Western rivals, including high revenues and the gas that keeps Ukrainians and Germans warm.
Feb 7, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Beyond Chastity Belt and Road
U.S.-Israel Relations in the Age of Great Power Competition
Israel’s ties to China have raised concerns in Washington, but select bilateral activity should be permissible in the context of an irreplaceable U.S.-Israel alliance.
Feb 6, 2022
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Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
Second Islamic State Leader Killed in Hayat Tahrir al-Sham Territory
To shed light on the intentions and capabilities of the jihadist group that runs Idlib province, the Biden administration should clarify its relations with HTS, including any counterterrorism cooperation.
Feb 3, 2022
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Arab Media Perspectives on the Ukraine Crisis
Over the past year, the Ukrainian crisis has reached a boiling point. While there have been few official Arab responses to the Ukrainian crisis, many regional media outlets have extensively covered the crisis and its potential impact on the Middle East.
Feb 3, 2022
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Mohamed Abdelaziz
Brief Analysis
Iran Is Preparing Its Public, But Not (Yet) for Nuclear Compromise
Despite its iron grip at home, the regime generally seeks to build domestic support for its policies—so what outcome has it been prepping the public for during the nuclear talks?
Feb 3, 2022
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Jason Brodsky
Omer Carmi
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