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Brief Analysis
A New Chance at Kingmaking for Iraqi Kurds
With militias on the back foot, the United States should lean on Kurdish and Iraqi leaders to find unity of purpose in confronting the destabilizing actions of pro-Iran groups.
Dec 1, 2021
◆
Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
The Taliban Remain the Same, But Society Has Changed
Years of U.S. involvement visibly advanced the dignity and prospects of Afghan women, but wholly abandoning them now would risk undoing much of this progress.
Dec 1, 2021
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Regional Water Cooperation in the Middle East and North Africa: Transitioning from Conflict to Stability
With rivers and lakes drying and record breaking droughts, there is a dire need for greater regional cooperation on water issues.
Nov 30, 2021
◆
Amro Selim
Video
Brief Analysis
American Peace Process Diplomacy: What Works? What Doesn’t?
The authors of three recent books on Henry Kissinger, Jimmy Carter, and James Baker explore the lessons that today’s leaders can learn from their landmark peacemaking efforts.
Nov 30, 2021
◆
Martin Indyk
Stuart Eizenstat
Susan Glasser
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Fake KSS Recruitment Drive
Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada may have exaggerated its recruiting numbers, but the episode points to militias' desperation to look potent and regain leverage by threatening to destabilize Iraq in early 2022.
Nov 27, 2021
◆
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Threats to Iranian Instagram: Analyzing Iran’s Internet Landscape
Iran’s conservative administration has threatened to block one of the country’s last standing social media platforms, signaling a shift to more restrictive media censorship.
Nov 24, 2021
◆
Layla Hashemi
Brief Analysis
Delta Crescent Energy: Refining U.S. Stabilization Strategies in Northeast Syria
If the Biden administration moves forward with canceling the company’s license, it will need to prepare for increased military and economic pressure in the northeast amid further encroachment by Russian personnel.
Nov 24, 2021
◆
Calvin Wilder
Kenneth R. Rosen
Brief Analysis
Reading Through Iran’s Nuclear Demands
Tehran has maintained its stringent line of insisting that Washington lift all sanctions, verify their removal, and provide future guarantees before it will lift a finger on resuming compliance with the JCPOA.
Nov 24, 2021
◆
Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
US Leads a Global Release of Oil from Reserves, But Will It Outmaneuver OPEC+?
Besides reopening the debate about proper use of the strategic reserve, the decision is not guaranteed to sway Washington’s tussle with Moscow and Riyadh.
Nov 23, 2021
◆
Simon Henderson
Audio
Brief Analysis
Podcast: Russia's War in Syria
Leading scholars examine the origins and current trends of Russian involvement in the Middle East, as well as implications for U.S. strategy in the region.
Nov 23, 2021
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Lester Grau
Michael McFaul
◆
Middle East PolicyCast
In-Depth Reports
Preparing for Orderly Change in Jordan When the Time Comes
The kingdom has navigated tricky successions in the past, and many of the elements that allowed it to do so remain in place today.
Nov 22, 2021
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
◆
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Ashab al-Kahf's Takeover of the Convoy Strategy
Militia attacks on supply convoys are experiencing a (likely temporary) lull, and the sub-group Ashab al-Kahf appears to have taken the lead.
Nov 22, 2021
◆
Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
A Close Encounter of the Propaganda Kind in the Gulf
Despite more structured international maritime security measures, a recent encounter between Iranian and U.S. naval forces reiterated the potential for miscalculation, especially under a more assertive government in Tehran.
Nov 22, 2021
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
December Elections in Libya Risk a Return to Civil War
Authorities have come too far to risk resuming violence or dividing the country with a rushed, heavily boycotted vote.
Nov 21, 2021
◆
Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
The EU Migrant Crisis: Options for Border Security and U.S. Interests
Spurred by conflicts in the Middle East, North Africa, and Afghanistan, the migration emergency in Belarus gives Washington an opportunity to foster cooperative agreements and goodwill.
Nov 19, 2021
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Kenneth R. Rosen
Calvin Wilder
Articles & Testimony
Ardeshir Zahedi: Legend and Lesson
The career of Iran's last pre-revolution ambassador to the United States offers both an example and a warning to American policymakers and diplomats today.
Nov 19, 2021
◆
Martin Kramer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Goal Behind the Hypocritical Discourse of Iraq’s Militia Media
Pro-Iranian militia media channels are relying on distortion, character assassination, and misinformation to attract Iraqi audiences, after dependence on constant religious messaging proved futile.
Nov 18, 2021
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Sadiq Hassaan
Brief Analysis
UAE to Fund Israel and Jordan’s Solar/Water Deal
The trilateral agreement will combine long-established peace partners with one of the Gulf parties to last year’s Abraham Accords, providing a model for broader normalization efforts.
Nov 18, 2021
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Technical Disinformation and the Nov. 7 Drone Attack
To deflect responsibility for the assassination attempt on Iraq’s prime minister, self-styled "resistance" groups have assembled a dodgy dossier of convincing-looking disinformation.
Nov 17, 2021
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Anwar al-Zamani
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Turkey vs. the YPG: What’s Next?
As Ankara and Moscow mull a potential exchange of Syria border incursions for Idlib concessions, Erdogan risks endangering his intertwined goals of improving Turkey’s economy and minimizing tensions with Washington.
Nov 16, 2021
◆
Soner Cagaptay
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