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Articles & Testimony
How to Think About Israeli-Palestinian Peace
In the current circumstances of deep disbelief on both sides, stabilization and development go hand in hand.
Sep 24, 2019
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Huras al-Din: The Overlooked al-Qaeda Group in Syria
Although it still relies on its stronger rival to operate, the ascendant affiliate has been cementing its presence in Idlib province, attracting other factions to its banner, and potentially setting itself up to lead a future insurgency.
Sep 24, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Algeria’s Opaque Transition: The Potential Trap of Upcoming Elections
Six months have passed since the beginning of the peaceful protest movement in Algeria, commonly known as the Hirak, which ousted longtime president Abdelaziz Bouteflika. The protest movement has also managed to dismantle the clan that surrounded him, as most of its controversial figures are now in jail. However, Algerians’
Sep 24, 2019
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Zine Labidine Ghebouli
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Testing the Trump Administration
Tehran seems to believe that anything goes, and the wrong U.S. response may just reinforce that conviction.
Sep 24, 2019
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Reconfigured Ties with the ‘Strategic West’
Despite diluting certain commonalities with Europe and Washington over the past decade, Ankara still relies on the West in the trade, investment, and security realms.
Sep 24, 2019
◆
Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
Syria Study Group 2019:
Final Report and Recommendations
A comprehensive, bipartisan look at how the U.S. government can still achieve important objectives on various fronts, from countering terrorist groups and Iran to addressing refugee and humanitarian issues.
Sep 24, 2019
◆
Michael Singh
Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
Seven Black Swans in the Middle East
Events considered impossible tend to happen in the region with unusual frequency, so when will the next one appear?
Sep 24, 2019
◆
Martin Kramer
Brief Analysis
Bringing Diplomacy Back to the Pressure Campaign Against Iran
U.S. leadership must be buttressed not by unrealistic threats, but by deterrent actions and collective diplomacy that constrain Tehran’s room for attacks while defining the path to negotiations.
Sep 23, 2019
◆
Barbara A. Leaf
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Needs International Partners to Control Iran’s Aggression
President Trump should use his UN speech and side meetings to seek cooperation with European partners and lay the foundation for a ‘better deal’ with Iran down the road.
Sep 23, 2019
◆
Ben Fishman
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Despite Challenges, Another Successful Step for Tunisian Democracy
The surprising results of Tunisia's first round of presidential balloting signal that voters are generally disenchanted with the country's political establishment.
Sep 20, 2019
◆
Zied Bouchlaghem
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Push for ‘Regime Change’ in Saudi Arabia and Washington
Emboldened by their success in attacking Gulf and U.S. interests with relative impunity, Iranian leaders are now aiming to disgrace the Saudi royal family and foster Trump’s defeat in the 2020 election.
Sep 20, 2019
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Defeating al-Qaeda's Shadow Government in Yemen:
The Need for Local Governance Reform
Recent U.S. attention in Yemen has focused largely on the war against the Iranian-backed Houthis, but another threat endures: al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula. U.S. efforts to confront AQAP have historically relied on counterterrorism approaches such as air and drone strikes, direct-action raids, and partnerships with indigenous and coalition security
Sep 19, 2019
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Daniel Green
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How the Jordanian Government is Shaping the Country’s Muslim Brotherhood
Due to external pressures and internal fissures, the Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood (MB) today is experiencing its worst days since its establishment in 1946. This decline follows the challenges of the broader Muslim Brotherhood organization, which is facing an “internal crisis” after losing much of their momentum after the Arab Spring
Sep 19, 2019
◆
Saud Al-Sharafat
Brief Analysis
The Premier Who Cried Gevalt: Why Netanyahu Lost His Majority
Whether due to institutional concerns, failed alarmist tactics, or turnout issues, Netanyahu’s seat tally shrank between rounds one and two, and time is now on Benny Gantz’s side.
Sep 19, 2019
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Moving the Goal Posts: Iran’s Uranium Enrichment Program
Although technical obstacles may prevent Tehran from fully deploying its advanced centrifuges, it could still augment its enrichment program in ways that should concern the international community.
Sep 19, 2019
◆
Elana DeLozier
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Troubled Road Ahead: 'Power-Sharing' and What It Means For the Future of Sudan
Following months of unrest and bloodshed in the Sudanese streets, a critical power-sharing agreement was signed on August 17 between the Transitional Military Council (TMC) and the civilian opposition alliance–better known as the Forces of Freedom and Change (FFC). The agreement has established a transitional council with 6 civilian and
Sep 19, 2019
◆
Mohammed Soliman
Brief Analysis
Operating in the ‘Gray Zone’ to Counter Iran
The best way to counter Iran’s asymmetric strategy in Saudi Arabia and elsewhere is a U.S. gray zone strategy, which can help manage escalation and buy time for the administration’s pressure policy to work.
Sep 18, 2019
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
The ‘Rebuild Syria’ Exhibition: Iranian Influence and U.S. Sanctions
This year’s show provides a window into Tehran’s strategy for cementing its soft power, and may point to potential sanctions violations by companies from U.S. partner countries.
Sep 17, 2019
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Oula A. Alrifai
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Strength and Strategy Show with Saudi Oilfield Attacks
So far, Tehran appears to have judged quite well what it can get away with, a track record that will likely give Riyadh pause as it considers its response.
Sep 16, 2019
◆
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The South Caucasus Factor of the United States-Russia-Iran Triangle
Armenia, Georgia, and Azerbaijan still have pro-Western democratic aspirations, so U.S. policymakers should continue engaging them on ways to reduce interference from Moscow and Tehran.
Sep 16, 2019
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
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