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Video
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State's Resurgence in the COVID Era?
From Defeat to Renewal in Iraq and Syria
Two experts assess the recent attack patterns and future prospects of a group that once seemed on the cusp of defeat in both countries.
May 29, 2020
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Michael Knights
Video
Brief Analysis
The Future of Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces
Three experts examine one of the most sensitive problems facing Iraq's new prime minister: the future of militias that were mobilized to fight the Islamic State but have since balked at subsuming themselves to the government's authority.
May 28, 2020
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Should the PA Respond to the U.S.-Israeli Annexation Plan?
Israel's newly formed unity government intends to press ahead with a unilateral action to annex Palestinian lands in the West Bank and the Jordan Valley by early July. The current plan appears to include settlement blocs and most of the 140 settlements in the West Bank and East Jerusalem, where
May 27, 2020
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Mohammed Dajani
Brief Analysis
East Mediterranean Gas Running Into Commercial, Technical, and Political Challenges
Reduced demand caused by the coronavirus and low oil/gas prices has complicated plans for further development of the region’s offshore reserves.
May 27, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Iran and America—The Impasse Continues
The answer does not lie in doubling down on pressure or ‘returning’ to diplomacy, but rather in wielding those policy tools in concert under the guidance of a realistic strategy.
May 27, 2020
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Michael Singh
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Avoiding an Epic Mistake:
The Case for Continuing the U.S. Mission in Sinai
For almost four decades, the Multinational Force & Observers has protected Israel-Egypt peace and anchored stability in the Sinai Peninsula, but a new Pentagon initiative could end the American contribution by late next year. Defense Secretary Mark Esper has indicated that all military endeavors must now fall within a National
May 27, 2020
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Assaf Orion
Denis Thompson
Articles & Testimony
Remaining and Expanding: The Recovery of Islamic State Operations in Iraq in 2019-2020
Two security experts comb incident data from the past year to explain how the group is resurging and what factors are most likely to accelerate this troubling trend.
May 26, 2020
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Michael Knights
Video
Brief Analysis
Can the UN Still Save Syria?
Views from a Former Special Envoy
Is it too late for the UN to counter the Assad regime and its allies on their abuses or to salvage cross-border mechanisms for humanitarian aid? Former UN special envoy Staffan de Mistura joined a virtual Policy Forum to probe the prospects.
May 25, 2020
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Staffan de Mistura
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Is the Wolf at the Gates This Time? Addressing the Crisis in Israeli-Palestinian Ties
The drastic new declaration by Palestinian Authority president Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) abrogating the PA’s commitments to its political agreements with Israel, including security cooperation, has aroused great concern among both Israelis and Palestinians. The crux of the matter is this: will it be just one more of the many
May 25, 2020
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Yoav ‘Poly’ Mordechai
Michael Milshtein
Articles & Testimony
Khashoggi’s Family Forgives His Killers, But Will the World Forget the Saudi Scandal?
Whether continued campaigns to hold Riyadh accountable for the crime succeed or not, the crown prince’s economic ‘Vision’ is increasingly likely to slip by another decade or more.
May 23, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How the United States Can Bolster Economies In a Post-Coronavirus Middle East
The Middle East, engulfed in numerous domestic and regional crises, has seen these challenges deepen with the appearance of the novel coronavirus and a sharp drop in oil prices. As the virus has placed additional pressures on the region’s governments, the severity of these countries’ positions—especially from an economic perspective
May 22, 2020
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Sarah Elzeini
Brief Analysis
Don’t Overthink the Assad-Makhlouf Feud
The Syrian leader’s dramatic war of words with his massively wealthy cousin may seem like a major fracture inside the regime, but the dynamics of past and present family disputes paint a different picture.
May 22, 2020
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Oula A. Alrifai
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Influence of Coronavirus on Diplomatic Relations: Iran, China, Gulf Arabs, and India
During the pandemic, Iran’s first reported cases on February 19 in the Qom province—the eventual epicentre for Iran— have demonstrated that Iran is not as isolated as it is often believed to be. Iran’s health minister reported that the novel virus was brought there by an Iranian merchant who had
May 21, 2020
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Manjari Singh
Brief Analysis
Did Pompeo’s Visit Shift the Annexation Debate in Israel and Washington?
The Trump administration has signaled that it won’t be bound by Netanyahu’s summer rush schedule on the issue, adding to the many foreign and domestic factors that could lead the prime minister to delay or curtail the move.
May 20, 2020
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Kadhimi as Commander-in-Chief: First Steps in Iraqi Security Sector Reform
After his promising start, the new prime minister needs time and latitude to stamp his authority on the country’s security sector, even as militia rockets fall in Baghdad.
May 19, 2020
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
How Israeli Annexation Talk Is Already Reshaping the Middle East
The Palestinians are withdrawing from peace deals, and Jordan could be next as Israel edges closer to appropriating land outright.
May 19, 2020
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Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
Growing Tensions in South Syria Signal More Regime Attacks
Given the Syrian army’s recent deployments in Deraa and Russia’s half-hearted attempts to halt them, the situation may soon lead to renewed shelling of civilian areas and myriad complications for Israel and Jordan.
May 18, 2020
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Ehud Yaari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Islamic Religious Reform Is an Institutional Need First
A response to Hassan Ismaik’s “ In Defense of Islamic Religious Reform” Three parties in the Arab and Islamic worlds are engaged in a heated debate over the need for a renewal of religious discourse. The first party considers religious reform a necessity for objective reasons, notably as an antidote
May 18, 2020
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Hassan Mneimneh
Articles & Testimony
The Jihadi-Backed Salvation Government and Covid-19 in Northwest Syria
Disease prevention efforts in Idlib illustrate the movement's political evolution and its differences from the Islamic State, but the pandemic may still hit the area hard given inconsistent implementation and years of regime destruction.
May 15, 2020
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Marib, Last Hope for Restoring the State in Yemen
With clashes between Houthis and the Yemeni government forces escalating in Marib, the city’s inhabitants will lose no matter who claims victory.
May 15, 2020
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Yasmin Al-Qadhi
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