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Articles & Testimony
How the Islamic State Feeds on Coronavirus
The pandemic has shut down counterterrorism operations, and the group is relishing the extra breathing room in Iraq.
Apr 8, 2020
◆
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
By Mobilizing to Fight Coronavirus, the IRGC Is Marginalizing the Government
From establishing new provincial headquarters to deploying hundreds of thousands of troops and militia personnel on emergency duty, the Guards are seemingly using the crisis as an opportunity to expand their power at the local level.
Apr 8, 2020
◆
Saeid Golkar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq’s Volatile Politics: Al-Zurfi’s Slim Chances at Becoming PM
The outbreak of coronavirus is just the most recent misfortune for Iraq, which is suffering a complicated political deadlock created by the October 2019 protests against Iraq’s political elites. Iraq’s political leadership has failed to lead the country for the last seventeen years, focusing satisfying the country’s competing political blocs
Apr 8, 2020
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Biner Aziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
While Iran Releases some Prisoners, Ahwazi and Other Prisoners Face Imminent Death
Iran’s coronavirus outbreak has left the government struggling to respond, to the point that the regime has announced the release of 85,000 prisoners to reduce the risk of coronavirus spread in overcrowded prisons. However, this amnesty policy has excluded a significant majority of Iran’s prison population, no less likely to
Apr 7, 2020
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Rahim Hamid
Mostafa Hetteh
Articles & Testimony
Benny Gantz Did the Right Thing by Putting His Country First
The Blue-White leader’s former allies have denounced him for caving to Netanyahu, but his conciliatory gesture is a sign of statesmanship, not weakness.
Apr 7, 2020
◆
Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Italy, Libya, and the Threat of Coronavirus
Since Italy first announced its first confirmed case of coronavirus in late January, the virus has spread throughout the country with unprecedented speed. Today, Italy has become one of the major epicenters of the pandemic as the number of confirmed cases and deaths continues to climb, though restrictive social distancing
Apr 6, 2020
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Ramy Aziz
Articles & Testimony
Trump Considers a Cameo Role in Saudi-Russia Oil Price Drama
The president’s latest statements on OPEC and the possibility of U.S. tariffs are ambiguous, but they suggest his growing exasperation with Moscow and Riyadh.
Apr 6, 2020
◆
Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kurdistan Region of Iraq and the Coronavirus Response–Lessons Learned
Since March 13, my family and I have been locked at home in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI), ordering all supplies and groceries via deliveries provided by the local supermarkets. As my neighbor Mr. Namiq, a public servant, put it: “Public daily routine has gotten complicated. [We have] a
Apr 3, 2020
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Biner Aziz
Articles & Testimony
The Saudi-Russia Oil Fight Is the Last Thing the Economy Needs in a Pandemic
Both governments have gone “crazy” in the fast-moving price war, but the White House is apparently divided on who to blame and how much to get involved.
Apr 1, 2020
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Three Governments Confront the Coronavirus
The rebel administration in Idlib and the Kurdish-led government in the northeast have been more proactive and transparent than the Assad regime, but their populations still need urgent, direct international aid—without the UN’s imprimatur if necessary.
Apr 1, 2020
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Oula A. Alrifai
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah’s Corona Quagmire: An Opportunity to Empower the LAF
Now that Hezbollah realizes its efforts to hide virus cases won’t work anymore, Washington should urge Beirut to put LAF medical and border-control personnel to work without resorting to a full state of emergency.
Mar 31, 2020
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Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Sanctions Relief Isn’t Necessary to Assist Iran’s Coronavirus Response
Washington can facilitate aid without fundamentally altering the sanctions infrastructure, in part by clarifying the rules on allowable humanitarian trade, expanded NGO activities, and Tehran’s existing financial options.
Mar 31, 2020
◆
Katherine Bauer
Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
Love Thy Neighbor: Saudi Arabia Needs Regional Help to End the War
After five years of fighting in Yemen, Riyadh has been left to deal with the conflict largely on its own, but the Gulf states will need to band together again if they hope to facilitate another transition of the sort seen in 2011.
Mar 31, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy in the Middle East Amid Great Power Competition
Viewing regional issues through this broader strategic lens will require Washington to accept painful trade-offs and take a tougher stance with difficult allies.
Mar 30, 2020
◆
Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
How to Serve U.S. Interests by Saving Kurdistan’s Economy
Unless Washington intervenes with cost-effective, forceful measures, Iraqi Kurdistan could be the first Middle Eastern economy to implode under the pressure of coronavirus and low oil prices.
Mar 30, 2020
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Gantz’s Gamble
In the name of Israeli unity, the former Blue-White leader has opted to detonate his bloc and allow Netanyahu to remain in power until next year, with uncertain consequences for domestic politics, West Bank annexations, and other issues.
Mar 27, 2020
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
With COVID-19, Iran’s Dependence on China Grows
Beijing has steadily become Tehran’s economic ventilator, diplomatic prop, and military enabler, and the Iranians need this backstop now more than ever.
Mar 27, 2020
◆
Kevjn Lim
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Securitizes the Pandemic as the IRGC Mulls Regional Action
With the regime leadership accusing the United States of using bioweapons and fomenting other hateful disinformation, the potential for violence against U.S. forces and interests will likely escalate.
Mar 27, 2020
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Egyptian Response to Coronavirus: Denial and Conspiracy
The coronavirus pandemic currently sweeping the world and is a new contagious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which scientists believe originated from a mutated virus carried by bats and originated in Wuhan, China December of last year. As of March 27, more than 549,105 cases
Mar 27, 2020
◆
Mohamed Abdelaziz
In-Depth Reports
The Outlook for Turkish Democracy:
2023 and Beyond
Over nearly two decades, Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan has managed to strengthen his hold on power despite numerous political reconfigurations. With the next presidential election scheduled for 2023, many figures within his camp are already maneuvering for leverage while the opposition mulls how to defeat him. Among his potential rivals
Mar 26, 2020
◆
Nick Danforth
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