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Brief Analysis
The Normalization Deal Splits the Gulf States—for Now
Some Gulf governments have welcomed the paradigm-changing Israel-UAE agreement while others have not, and those who follow Abu Dhabi’s path will do so based on their own interests and timetables.
Aug 18, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Immunity through Impunity: Hypocrisy and Systemic Racism in Iran’s Legal System
Iranian leadership has callously exploited hot button issues for decades, capitalizing on the plight of regional groups like Palestinians and Shia minorities in the Gulf while maintaining a particular international focus on African American issues in the United States. Iranian officials, most notably Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, make relentless speeches
Aug 17, 2020
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Aaron Meyer
Rahim Hamid
Brief Analysis
Lessons of the UAE Breakthrough: How We Got Here, and Why the U.S. Role Remains Central
Statements and actions by Israel and the UAE show how much regional decisionmaking is still shaped by U.S. assurances that enable parties to calibrate their cost-benefit analyses—an approach that could serve as a template for potential future Israel-Gulf ties.
Aug 17, 2020
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Kadhimi Visits Washington: Broadening the U.S.-Iraq Relationship
The visit and follow-on meetings present an opportunity to not only reaffirm the strategic partnership, but also move beyond outdated paradigms that view Iraq solely as an arena for countering terrorism and pushing back against Iran.
Aug 17, 2020
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Dana Stroul
Bilal Wahab
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Syrian People and the Implications of Caesar’s Law in the Siege of Assad
The ramifications of the application of the Caesar Civilian Protection Act, known as the Caesar Act, are becoming apparent in the wave of fear and anxiety that hit Syrian and Arab businessmen and traders who deal with the Syrian regime and who fear international sanctions that have begun to affect
Aug 14, 2020
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Ishtar Al Shami
Articles & Testimony
The Slow but Steady Progress to Israel’s Peace with the UAE
Years of burgeoning trade and quiet U.S. diplomacy helped lay the groundwork for a move that is only partly focused on improving the bilateral relationship.
Aug 14, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Among the Maps: President Trump's Vision vs. an Israeli Proposal
Carmel Dangor of the Israel Public Broadcasting Corporation published a leaked Israeli proposal for annexation in late June, which shows the difference between President Trump's vision and a subsequently developed Israeli map . This new Israeli map shows a very different concept than the Trump map. While Israel would get
Aug 14, 2020
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Dany Tirza
Articles & Testimony
The Israel-UAE Agreement Is a Key Step for Peace and Sends a Crucial Message to Palestinians
Emirati leaders apparently understood that this move would preserve the two-state option and preempt Iran from exploiting the annexation issue—while also opening access to previously off-limits U.S. weaponry.
Aug 13, 2020
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Israel-UAE Deal Achieves a Middle East Rarity: It’s Win-Win-Win, Palestinians Included
Arab countries that have official relations with Israel are more effective at advancing Palestinian interests, and now Abu Dhabi has joined their ranks.
Aug 13, 2020
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Ghaith al-Omari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq Faces Coronavirus with Empty Coffers and a Crumbling Health System
Since Iraq’s first case of COVID-19 in late February, the Iraqi state has struggled to contend with stagnant economic growth, political unrest, and divided popular opinion as cases continue to rise through the summer. Despite early attempts to slow the spread of the virus, the rocky relationship between Iraq’s people
Aug 13, 2020
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Abbas Abboud Salem
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Myth of Early Elections in Iraq
On July 30, Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi announced that early elections in Iraq will take place on June 6, 2021. Following the announcement, various political parties unleashed a barrage of statements in Iraqi media, with some asking for even ‘earlier’ elections. This camp included the President, the Speaker, the UN
Aug 13, 2020
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Farhad Alaaldin
Brief Analysis
Russia Aims to Preserve the Status Quo in Lebanon
Although state officials and media have expressed somewhat nuanced views on the Beirut disaster and subsequent protests, most of their comments boil down to preventing deeper U.S. involvement and safeguarding Moscow’s interests in the current power structure.
Aug 12, 2020
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Conflict with Small Powers Derails U.S. Foreign Policy: The Case for Strategic Discipline
Although containing or deterring minor powers can help shape the behavior of great powers, conflicts with these smaller foes have proliferated in the twenty-first century, tying down resources and attention needed elsewhere.
Aug 12, 2020
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Search for Oil May Spill Over into Conflict with Greece
The current flare-up centers on differing interpretations of international law—a situation that should be employing lawyers but is instead deploying navies.
Aug 12, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Lebanon Needs Transformation, Not Another Corrupt Unity Government
If the United States lets France take the lead, the Lebanese people will get more political paralysis, cosmetic reforms, and Hezbollah control of state institutions.
Aug 11, 2020
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Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Saudi Public Differs with Some Official Foreign Policies, but not on Sectarian Line
Saudi Sunnis and Shia largely agree on issues polled—except on Qassem Soleimani
Aug 11, 2020
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Iran Applies Maximum Power to Annual IRGC Naval Exercise
Coming soon after Western naval redeployments in the Gulf and explosions at sensitive Iranian sites, the recent drills illustrate the regime’s eagerness to reassert its deterrence by showing off new weapons and capabilities.
Aug 10, 2020
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Farzin Nadimi
Video
Brief Analysis
Health, Politics, and Stability in the Middle East: A COVID-19 Update
Three regional health experts explain why countries that avoided the worst of the pandemic early on are now reeling from its spread.
Aug 7, 2020
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Ali Mokdad
Mohammed Hassan Khalil
Muhamed Almaliky
Articles & Testimony
Moscow and Ankara Will Continue Uneasy Cooperation
Putin set a trap for Erdogan long ago, and because the Turkish leader woke up too late to his predicament, he now has little leverage in the unequal bilateral relationship.
Aug 6, 2020
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Is China Helping Saudi Arabia to Build a Nuclear Bomb?
Riyadh has now ticked the first two boxes on the enrichment checklist and might already be working on the others.
Aug 5, 2020
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Simon Henderson
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