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Brief Analysis
Khamenei Uses Iraq War Anniversary to Reinforce Iranian Steadfastness
Rather than explicitly addressing Washington’s reactivation of sanctions, the Supreme Leader sought to convince domestic listeners that Iran can ‘resist’ external pressures and the latest COVID-19 wave on its own.
Sep 22, 2020
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Omer Carmi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Convergence of Crises for Egypt: Libya, Ethiopia, and Northern Sinai
For what may be the first time in modern Egyptian history, the country is facing three battlefronts simultaneously: the war in Libya with its threat from Turkey, the existential threat of the Grand Renaissance Dam, and the escalation of terrorist operations in the Sinai Peninsula. To the Egyptian regime’s misfortune
Sep 18, 2020
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Maged Atef
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Who Benefits from a U.S. Oil Deal in Northeast Syria?
Upon each of my past arrivals in Syria, I’ve entered into landscapes of rolling hillocks and oil wells. Stippled across the land, some wells toiled slowly while others—rusted and abandoned—lay motionless, languishing along the buckled pavement of northeastern roads leading toward the city of Qamishlo. Reminiscent of the Texas Panhandle
Sep 18, 2020
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Kenneth R. Rosen
Brief Analysis
Britain in Oman: Washington’s Strategic Partner
London is investing heavily in supporting its relationship with Muscat, not least because Omani mediation can often be more effective than its own in fostering regional stability and security.
Sep 18, 2020
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Jonathan Campbell-James
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Washington’s Stance on Syria and Iraq and The Widening Rift with Kurds in Iran
Over the last four years, Kurds in Iran have watched Kurdish communities in Syria and Iraq continue to suffer losses at the hands of hostile forces, disoriented by the turbulent shifts in Washington’s decision-making. It once seemed that the United States would support change in Iran beneficial to the country’s
Sep 17, 2020
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Baraa Sabri
Maps & Graphics
Yemen Matrix: Allies & Adversaries
The Yemen Matrix is a guide to the relationships between the core actors involved in the country’s various conflicts. It is meant to be a starter resource for new analysts, a quick-access volume for policymakers, and a refresher for experts.
Sep 17, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Southern Issue in Yemen: Hopes and Challenges
The 2014 National Dialogue Conference allowed for ample discussion of the southern issue in Yemen. Now, all sides must help implement the solutions outlined there and in the more recent Riyadh Agreement to ensure that a just solution to the southern issue is achieved.
Sep 16, 2020
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Ali Said al-Ahmadi
Brief Analysis
How the Abraham Accords Look Forward, Not Back
Close reading of Israel’s agreements with the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain shows how their strictly bilateral focus could affect the chances for people-to-people engagement and regional security cooperation, depending on each government's political will.
Sep 16, 2020
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David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Rise of the UAE and the Meaning of MbZ
On an evening during Ramadan in 2012, Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed al-Nahyan (MbZ) asked a group of statesmen, including sheikhs from al-Nahyan , intellectuals, and newspaper writers: “What if the UAE was attacked in its own backyard? What if Abu Dhabi is targeted by military action
Sep 15, 2020
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Mansour al-Nogaidan
Articles & Testimony
Why Moscow Is Quiet on the Israel-UAE Peace Deal
The fact that American rather than Russian mediation helped broker a major Middle East peace agreement is a blow to Putin’s ongoing quest for restored great-power status.
Sep 15, 2020
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Kadhimi’s Rolling Reshuffle (Part 2): Protecting Iraq’s Economic Institutions and Borders
As technocrats increasingly fill key government roles, U.S. officials need to help Baghdad withstand the inevitable counterpunch from political and militia factions used to dictating such appointments.
Sep 15, 2020
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The F-35 Triangle: America, Israel, the United Arab Emirates
Selling the advanced U.S. jet to a foreign government ought to signal the highest confidence in that country’s warfighting capabilities, decisionmaking on the use of force, and commitment to protecting sensitive technology, but the UAE’s record on each of these issues is mixed.
Sep 15, 2020
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Barbara A. Leaf
Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
'Farewell, Fossil Fuels'? What Oil's Demise Will Do to the World's Leading Economies
The combination of new demand projections, green consumer trends, pandemic-related shifts, and other factors may not spell the end of Middle Eastern oil economies quite yet, but it is the first draft of their obituary.
Sep 15, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
The UAE-Israel Breakthrough: Bilateral and Regional Implications and U.S. Policy
Former diplomats and experts discuss what steps each party should take after the historic White House signing ceremony, and how to bring the Palestinians and other actors into the fold.
Sep 14, 2020
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Ebtesam al-Ketbi
Dore Gold
Barbara A. Leaf
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Kadhimi’s Rolling Reshuffle (Part 1): Military Command Changes
To strengthen Iraq’s capacity for resisting militia and foreign influence, Washington should keep supporting the campaign to remake the military one commander at a time.
Sep 14, 2020
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East Is Changing. Will Palestinians Be Left Behind?
The Palestinian issue has become far less of a priority for most Arab states, who now tend to see Israel as a bulwark against regional threats and a partner on urgent health, water, and food-security needs.
Sep 13, 2020
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Bahrain Move Toward Israel Risks Domestic Reaction
The announcement of a peace deal between Israel and Bahrain suggests that the Gulf island kingdom has reassessed the danger of opposition from both its majority Shia population and its Sunni community.
Sep 11, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Qatar Strategic Dialogue Offers Opening to End Gulf Rift
The Washington meeting between the United States and Qatar, overlapping with the Israel-UAE signing ceremony on normalization, creates a unique opportunity to resolve the dispute between U.S. allies.
Sep 11, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
China and the United States in the Middle East: Between Dependency and Rivalry
Continuing the status quo—a large American presence, but uncertain American commitment—would be a high-cost, high-risk, low-reward approach.
Sep 10, 2020
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Here’s How Palestinians Could Benefit from the Diplomatic Deal Between Israel and the United Arab Emirates
Skillful U.S. and Arab diplomacy could use normalization and the accompanying annexation freeze as a base for renewed momentum toward an eventual two-state solution.
Sep 10, 2020
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David Makovsky
Daniel Shapiro
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