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In-Depth Reports
The IRGC Lifts Off:
Implications of Iran's Satellite Launch
In April 2020, the IRGC launched its first domestically made satellite, the Nour-1, into orbit. The launch showed the risks of lifting arms restrictions on Iran, a move supported by potential weapons trade partners Russia and China but vehemently opposed by the United States. Ending the embargo could facilitate Tehran’s
Aug 27, 2020
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Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sudan-Israel Relations: Ensuring Civilian Buy-In During a Democratic Transition
In a recently announced move, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo visited Khartoum yesterday as part of his broader tour through the region, including visits to Israel, Bahrain, and the UAE. The Israel-UAE normalization deal sparked the series of diplomatic visits. In the wake of these developments, international observers wondered if
Aug 26, 2020
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Areej Elhag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Inside the Kadhimi Visit to Washington D.C.
Last week, Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi led a large cabinet delegation to Washington D.C. for new sessions of the U.S.-Iraq Strategic Dialogue, topped off by the first Iraqi prime ministerial visit to the White House in over three years. During the visit, I spoke to most of the Iraqi
Aug 26, 2020
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Beyond the Ceasefire in Libya
Publicly committing to a ceasefire is a positive development, but many details still need to be resolved with active U.S. support, especially security arrangements in central Libya and the speedy resumption of oil exports.
Aug 25, 2020
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Anas El Gomati
Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
The Role of Russian Private Military Contractors in Africa
Moscow’s growing use of international legal loopholes in Libya, Sudan, and other countries gives it a worrisome template for chipping away at the global order without confronting the United States directly.
Aug 21, 2020
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Saudi-Pakistan Rift Develops Over India
Growing tensions between the two allies have both Islamic and nuclear angles.
Aug 21, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Pushing Lebanon to Despair: The Hariri Tribunal Verdict and Iran’s Stranglehold
The nuanced verdict of the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, announced Tuesday, August 18, 2020, provides a further opportunity for Iranian proxies to strengthen their stranglehold on Lebanon. As a state and society, Lebanon is already in the midst of a new phase of coerced transformation towards an abject dependence on
Aug 21, 2020
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Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Cautious Response to Washington’s Snapback Threat
Instead of playing hardball, the entire regime is seemingly embracing the more prudent approach of disregarding the U.S. threat and exploiting the resultant diplomatic clash for political gains.
Aug 21, 2020
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Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
New Egyptian Legislation Aims to Reduce Al-Azhar’s Authority
The latest twist in the long battle for control over Egypt’s religious realm could have profound implications for the state’s ability to regulate—and thus reform—Islamic discourse.
Aug 20, 2020
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Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
Training Better Arab Armies
American security force assistance missions to Arab states have had only limited success, in large part because they do not train local units to fight in a manner well-suited to their cultural preferences and operational requirements.
Aug 20, 2020
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Michael Eisenstadt
Kenneth Pollack
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Gulf Arab “Exasperation” with Endless Conflict Led to UAE-Israel Normalization
Individuals and groups in the Gulf Arab countries—especially Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Bahrain—have repeatedly expressed interest in Israel and frustration with Palestinian leadership over the last few years. These statements reflect a growing loss of patience with the prolonged Palestinian-Israeli dispute, along with a new attribution of the conflict’s
Aug 20, 2020
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Yoel Guzansky
Yohanan Tzoreff
Articles & Testimony
The Israel-UAE Deal Proves the One-State Solution Is Delusion
Far from producing a melting pot of coexistence and equality, forcing Israelis and Palestinians into a single state would only inflame the conflict and trigger an endless struggle over dominance.
Aug 20, 2020
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Isaac Herzog
Michael Herzog
Audio
Decision Points Podcast: Season 2
Crucial Leaders in Arab-Israeli Relations
The second season of the Decision Points podcast with host David Makovsky focuses on key Israeli and Arab leaders.
Aug 19, 2020
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David Makovsky
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Decision Points Podcast
Articles & Testimony
The Gulf’s Calculus on UAE-Israel Deal
Why did the United Arab Emirates decide to establish formal diplomatic ties with Israel? How much was Iran a factor?
Aug 19, 2020
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Barbara A. Leaf
Brief Analysis
Normalization Is Making Cairo Uncomfortable
The UAE’s deal with Israel may render Egypt a junior partner in future peace diplomacy, aggravating its existing frustration over years of financial dependence on the small Gulf state and a string of foreign policy setbacks.
Aug 19, 2020
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Haisam Hassanein
Brief Analysis
Oman’s Sultan Devolves Some of His Powers to New Cabinet
In a series of royal decrees that imply a sharp focus on the economy, Sultan Haitham delegated key powers to various ministries for the first time while trimming and professionalizing the government.
Aug 19, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
Why the Israel-UAE Agreement Is Actually a Very Big Deal
It shows the Palestinians that their longstanding paradigm for isolating Israel has failed, partly due to converging regional interests, and partly because it was based on incorrect assumptions.
Aug 18, 2020
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Normalization Deal Splits the Gulf States—for Now
Some Gulf governments have welcomed the paradigm-changing Israel-UAE agreement while others have not, and those who follow Abu Dhabi’s path will do so based on their own interests and timetables.
Aug 18, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq-U.S. Strategic Dialogue: Finding Agreement within Contention
After much anticipation, the White House confirmed in an official August 2 statement that a meeting between the Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi and U.S. President Donald Trump will take place this week to discuss “challenges posed by the coronavirus pandemic as well as security, energy, and economic issues.” The
Aug 18, 2020
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Farhad Alaaldin
Articles & Testimony
Putting the UAE-Israel Agreement in Its Proper Perspective
Like all good policy decisions, the deal emerged from the enlightened self-interest of the key parties, but the stakes are not as high as with Israel’s previous two Arab peace treaties.
Aug 18, 2020
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Robert Satloff
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