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Turkey

Policy Analysis on Turkey

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Syrian rebel fighters play a board game in a cafe
Brief Analysis
Stalemate in Northeast Syria: Options for Advancing U.S. Interests
In addition to clarifying its intentions and fortifying its presence in the area, the U.S. government needs to increase its focus on stability, security, and economic development.
May 21, 2021
◆
  • Kenneth R. Rosen
Articles & Testimony
After the Gaza Cease-Fire, What Next?
From calling out Qatar and Turkey to encouraging direct Israeli aid, Washington should pursue bolder initiatives that boost the chances of avoiding bloodshed.
May 20, 2021
◆
  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Is Stalemate the Least Bad Option in Syria?
If only to avoid far worse outcomes, Washington should reject Assad’s bogus “reelection” and keep supporting Israeli strikes, the SDF’s viability, and refugee aid.
May 3, 2021
◆
  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Lines in the Sea: The Israel-Lebanon Maritime Border Dispute
Benefitting from offshore natural gas reserves should be a win-win situation, but in this case the players may turn it into a zero-sum game.
May 3, 2021
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
UAE Wealth Fund to Buy Share of Israeli Gas Field
If the $1.1 billion deal goes ahead, it will strengthen Abu Dhabi’s claim to be a player in the East Mediterranean.
Apr 27, 2021
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan delivers a speech
Articles & Testimony
​Biden Recognizing the Armenian Genocide Shows How Far Turkey and Erdogan Have Fallen
For the first time in years, Erdogan needs the United States more than Washington needs him, so Biden is seizing the opportunity.
Apr 24, 2021
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Video
Brief Analysis
The Economic Future of Northeast Syria
Experts discuss the humanitarian, trade, and security measures that are necessary to stabilizing the northeast and preventing the Islamic State and Assad from extending their harmful influence there.
Apr 23, 2021
◆
  • Jennifer Cafarella
  • Sasha Ghosh-Siminoff
  • Kenneth R. Rosen
Video
Brief Analysis
Can Erdogan Charm Biden?
An expert conversation on the pitfalls and potential areas of cooperation between Washington and Ankara in the coming years.
Apr 21, 2021
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Asli Aydintasbas
  • Max Hoffman
  • Jenny White
A jockey and horse at a race in Iran
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Underground Las Vegas
From pop stars to porn stars to bitcoins, the rise of online gambling sites in Iran is raising eyebrows—as well as questions about whether the IRGC and other regime organs are benefitting from the scandalous new industry.
Apr 16, 2021
◆
  • Arash Aalaei
Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi meets Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman in Riyadh
Brief Analysis
China’s Foreign Minister Tours the Middle East: Outcomes and Implications
The trip echoed Beijing’s strategy of stringing together initiatives that seem insubstantial on their own but cumulatively threaten to undermine U.S. and regional interests.
Apr 9, 2021
◆
  • Ilari Papa
Articles & Testimony
Russia Seeks Regional Buy-In for Its Syria Plans
Moscow is using calibrated military power and complex diplomacy to persuade Turkey, Qatar, and other countries to back its solutions.
Apr 6, 2021
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Threat in Syria Two Years After the Caliphate
Since losing its territorial base, the group has shown troubling signs of recovery amid a deteriorating situation at al-Hawl refugee camp.
Mar 31, 2021
◆
  • Ido Levy
Brief Analysis
Egypt-Turkey Rapprochement Is Constraining the Muslim Brotherhood
Recent understandings between Cairo and Ankara have many of the group’s exiled figures worried about their future on Turkish soil.
Mar 30, 2021
◆
  • Haisam Hassanein
AD graphic
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Saraya Awliya al-Dam
With probable links to Asaib Ahl al-Haq, this minor facade group is occasionally used to claim bombing attacks on U.S. supply convoys and rocket attacks on the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
Mar 29, 2021
◆
  • Crispin Smith
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Erdogan, Turkish protestors, Halkbank, Twitter images
In-Depth Reports
Defining a Realistic Policy Toward Erdogan's Turkey:
Advice for the Biden Administration
U.S. concerns center on Turkey’s democratic backslide and deepening ties between Erdogan and Putin—but the Turkish president also wants to develop a rapport with Joe Biden and fortify his country’s weakened economy.
Mar 24, 2021
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
◆ Transition 2021
Map showing Syrians in need of humanitarian assistance.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Expanding Humanitarian Assistance to Syrians: Two Deadlines Approaching
Syria may not be a priority for the Biden administration, but the Brussels pledging conference and the July vote on the UN cross-border mechanism mean that major donors can no longer keep the disastrous humanitarian situation on the back burner or expect NGOs to resolve it on their own.
Mar 23, 2021
◆
  • Calvin Wilder
Assistant secretary of state David Schenker speaks at the Department of State in Washington, DC, alongside secretary of state Mike Pompeo
Video
Brief Analysis
Middle East Policy from Trump to Biden: Views from Inside the State Department’s Near East Bureau
The former assistant secretary of state in charge of the Middle East portfolio from 2019-2021 discusses his time in office and how the region’s challenges and opportunities are evolving at the start of the Biden administration.
March 10, 2021
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Reframing Libya for a Reluctant Administration
By treating the conflict as a matter of Mediterranean security, President Biden’s team can better assist the new Libyan government and demonstrate its commitment to revitalizing alliances.
Feb 25, 2021
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Rocket Attacks on Erbil: Part 2
The U.S. response needs to get more specific, while the KRG and Baghdad need to patch up their urgent security differences and stop entangling them with broader territorial, constitutional, or budgetary issues.
Feb 18, 2021
◆
  • David Pollock
Map "Syria's Borders Are Under External Control"
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Assad Regime Has Failed to Restore Full Sovereignty Over Syria
By ceding control of its borders and airspace to various foreign actors, the regime has essentially resigned itself to a limited but potentially durable existence for the long term.
Feb 10, 2021
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche

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Turkish Research Program

Since its inception in 1995, The Washington Institute's Turkish Research Program has established itself as the most influential center in Washington for research and information on Turkey -- a predominantly Muslim, secular, and democratic U.S. ally.

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Featured experts

Soner Cagaptay
Soner Cagaptay
Soner Cagaptay is the Beyer Family fellow and director of the Turkish Research Program at The Washington Institute.
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