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Terrorism

Policy Analysis on Terrorism

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Brief Analysis
How Sanctions Are Affecting Iran’s Airline Industry
Greater delays, downtime, and problems acquiring new planes have made Iran feel the heat, but its civil aviation sector continues to generate revenue for the regime.
Apr 17, 2019
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah-Iran Dynamics: A Proxy, Not a Partner
As U.S. pressure on Tehran heats up, many in Beirut, Washington, and Europe will argue that the group is still an independent actor, but past and recent evidence shows otherwise.
Apr 12, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
The IRGC Designation Couldn’t Come at a Worse Time for Iran
The regime has repeatedly avoided precipitous responses to U.S. sanctions, and it will be even more risk-averse today due to its domestic flood crisis and fears of broader escalation.
Apr 9, 2019
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  • Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
What Will IRGC Designation Actually Do?
The administration's message is not a new one, the FTO listing does not add much additional pressure, and the resultant risks to U.S. interests are significant.
Apr 8, 2019
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  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
How Might Tehran Respond to IRGC Designation?
The regime or individual hardline elements could opt for a number of provocations, from detaining foreigners to launching disruptive naval and cyber operations.
Apr 8, 2019
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
IRGC Designation: From Visas to Symbolic Effects
The practical effects may be limited to minor issues such as visa regulations, while the symbolic implications are not in Tehran's favor.
Apr 8, 2019
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Video
Brief Analysis
The Battle Against Extremism: Assessment and Prescriptions
Three experts on countering violent extremism discuss a new book and offer ideas for how government, civil society, business, and citizens can act on this persistent policy challenge.
Mar 25, 2019
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  • Farah Pandith
  • Juan Zarate
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
U.S. Sanctions Are Hurting Hezbollah
To further tighten the noose, Washington should disrupt the group’s efforts to tap international aid, Lebanese ministry budgets, Syrian smuggling revenue, and other resources.
Mar 6, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Organizational Split and Radicalization Within Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood
Internal structural changes and ideological rifts have given rise to new strategies for legitimizing violence.
Mar 4, 2019
◆
  • Annette Ranko
  • Mohammad Yaghi
Brief Analysis
A Turkish ‘Safe Zone’ in Syria: Prospects and Policy Implications
Establishing such a zone in the northeast would give Ankara and the United States a unique opportunity to work together, provided Washington can convince its European allies to participate as well.
Mar 1, 2019
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Not Gonna Be Able To Do It: al-Qaeda in Tunisia’s Inability to Take Advantage of the Islamic State’s Setbacks
While the consensus might be that al-Qaeda is primed to benefit from Islamic State setbacks, unless conditions change locally, the so-called caliphate will likely remain a more attractive avenue for jihadi mobilization in Tunisia.
Mar 1, 2019
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Repatriating Western Jihadists: The Impact of U.S. Syria Policy
Unless Washington changes its mixed message on foreign fighters and helps its European allies find practical solutions, it may soon face another mass outbreak of seasoned operatives from Syria.
Feb 27, 2019
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Now Trump’s Shutdown Threatens Israel’s Security
The last remaining thread of U.S.-Palestinian ties is the American-trained PA security forces, but Washington is about to cut them off.
Jan 21, 2019
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  • Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
Gulf Cyber Cooperation with Israel: Balancing Threats and Rights
The provision of powerful cyber tools is important for national security in the Gulf states, but it has reportedly opened the door to human rights abuses.
Jan 17, 2019
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  • Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Pompeo’s Cairo Speech More ‘Back to the Future’ Than Break With Past
The administration should focus more on amplifying the voices of regional citizens while convincingly standing against collective threats.
Jan 16, 2019
◆
  • Ben Fishman
  • Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Sending the Right Message in Cairo: Advice for Secretary Pompeo
All eyes will be on the secretary’s speech this week, so striking the right balance between President Trump’s domestic imperatives and the realities of regional policy is crucial.
Jan 7, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Simon Henderson
  • Martin Kramer
  • Matthew Levitt
  • David Pollock
  • Dennis Ross
  • Dana Stroul
  • Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
Mission Unaccomplished: The Tweet That Upended Trump’s Counterterrorism and Iran Policies
If the Syria withdrawal proves inevitable, officials should push to phase the departure, keep U.S. forces at Tanf, maintain the air campaign, forge a counterterror agreement with Turkey, and take other fallback measures.
Dec 25, 2018
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The Race for Eastern Syria
If Washington abandons its low-cost, high-impact approach to fighting ISIS in Syria, it will pave the way for a host of bad actors to reestablish themselves there.
Dec 24, 2018
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Islamic State Inside Iraq: Losing Power or Preserving Strength?
Attack data shows that the group is enthusiastically regrouping in a more concentrated area of northern Iraq, and the government is not adapting fast enough to stop it.
Dec 21, 2018
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
What to Watch for as Lebanon Forms a New Government
The cabinet’s composition is a fait accompli, but foreign officials may still be able to influence key security appointments—or, failing that, up the financial and diplomatic pressure on Hezbollah and its political allies.
Dec 20, 2018
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar

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