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Arab & Islamic Politics

Policy Analysis on Arab & Islamic Politics

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Wang Yi, director of China's Office of the Central Foreign Affairs Commission, Ali Shamkhani, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, and Minister of State and national security adviser of Saudi Arabia Musaad bin Mohammed Al Aiban shake hands in Beijing in March 2023 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Gulf De-escalation and Hedging in the Shadow of US Retrenchment
Although any decrease in tensions is welcome, Washington should be concerned that regional rapprochement is being driven by diminished confidence in the United States.
Sep 12, 2023
◆
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia and Lebanon: A Love-Hate Relationship
Riyadh won’t lend a helping hand in Lebanon unless Washington takes action on fully implementing the Taif Accord, curbing Captagon smugglers, and reversing Iran and Hezbollah’s takeover of the state.
Sep 12, 2023
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Qais al-Khazali and Hadi al-Ameri
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Coordination Framework's Four-Way Split in Provincial Elections (Part 2): Division Over Diyala?
Diyala is the one area where the CF's main militia politicians are competing, with the upstart Qais al-Khazali trying to challenge his elders Hadi al-Ameri and Faleh al-Fayyad in their tribal home province.
Sep 12, 2023
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Twitter photo showing an Iranian woman standing on top of a car during a protest against the killing of Mahsa Amini.
Video
Brief Analysis
Woman, Life, Freedom: Iran’s Mass Protest Movement, One Year On
A Conversation with Masih Alinejad
A leading activist discusses the protests and the international response on the anniversary of the movement’s outbreak.
Sep 12, 2023
◆
  • Masih Alinejad
Iraq elections
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Coordination Framework's Four-Way Split in Provincial Elections (Part 1): Overarching Trends
Badr, Asaib Ahl al-Haq, and Nouri al-Maliki are testing each other's strength in the south but mostly hanging together in the north.
Sep 11, 2023
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Pedestrians near Manara Circle, downtown Ramallah
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Support for Mass Protest on the Rise in Gaza and the West Bank
As rival Palestinian factions clash in Lebanon’s Ain al-Hilweh camp and Hamas-backed militants capture UNRWA schools, new polls indicate that public frustration in Gaza and the West Bank has grown to the point where many would back popular protests.
Sep 11, 2023
◆
  • Catherine Cleveland
Articles & Testimony
US Support for Morocco Is No Mistake. Biden Should Reaffirm It.
The administration clearly dislikes the Western Sahara policy it inherited, but reversing course now would exacerbate Washington’s serious credibility deficit with the Saudis and other regional partners.
Sep 9, 2023
◆
  • David Schenker
Protesting Syrians in the town of Suwayda hold signs and Druze flags - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Syria’s New Protests Highlight Vulnerabilities in Assad’s Minority Base
Growing unrest in Suwayda and other traditionally loyal areas may help force Assad’s hand on longstanding local, U.S., and allied demands.
Sep 8, 2023
◆
  • Erik Yavorsky
Moviegoers look at posters and showtimes at a theater in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia in August 2023, including the global hit "Barbie" - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Barbie in the Middle East
Some countries banned the film while others let it screen amid restrictions and criticism, illustrating the region’s widening—but still comparably narrow—spectrum of views on cultural openness.
Sep 8, 2023
◆
  • Anna Brown
Oslo handshake: Yitzhak Rabin, Bill Clinton, Yasser Arafat
In-Depth Reports
The Palestinian Authority Thirty Years After Oslo
Deep systemic reforms and a credible successor to Mahmoud Abbas could help secure Palestinian as well as Israeli interests.
Sep 5, 2023
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
◆ Oslo at 30
Promotional snapshot of 2022-23 Tunisia timeline.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Tunisia Timeline: Key Developments and U.S. Responses Since July 2022
Download this chronological graphic showing how President Saied has continued his crackdown and consolidation of power despite Washington's efforts to steer the country back onto the democratic track.
Sep 5, 2023
◆
  • Frances McDonough
A Libyan protester holds up a sign denouncing Foreign Minister Najla al-Mangoush for meeting with an Israeli official.
Brief Analysis
The Rise and Immediate Fall of Israel-Libya Relations
The scandal surrounding a surprise meeting between their foreign ministers has cratered any hope of upgraded ties with Israel—though it could cause a political shake-up in Libya.
Aug 29, 2023
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Erbil Hills Golf Course
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Audacity of the Erbil Hills Golf Course Amidst Iraq’s Water Crisis
In the heart of Erbil, the capital of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI), construction of the ambitious Erbil Hills Golf Course is underway.
Aug 23, 2023
◆
  • Renwar Najm
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Palestinians More Positive on Abraham Accords and Open to Vying Powers Than Arab Neighbors
Results from a new public opinion poll conducted in Gaza, the West Bank, and East Jerusalem show key differences between Palestinian attitudes and those of respondents elsewhere in the Arab world when it comes to relations with Israel and the roles of the United States, China, Russia, and other regional powers.
Aug 23, 2023
◆
  • Frances McDonough
Photo of a worker at a construction site in Iraqi Kurdistan.
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Road Map for Iraq to Support Stability and Growth
Iraq’s stagnant political and legal environments today indicate that the country still faces a deep strategic impasse as a result of international obligations and limitations.
Aug 21, 2023
◆
  • Fawzi al-Zubaidi
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, casts his vote for president
Brief Analysis
The 2024 Election Cycle Starts in Iran
Upcoming votes pose a dilemma for the Supreme Leader: should he aggressively disqualify candidates and further alienate the public, or risk a Majlis dominated by his political rivals?
Aug 18, 2023
◆
  • Omer Carmi
A United States Air Force trainer works with soldiers of the Nigerian Armed Forces - source: U.S. government
Brief Analysis
Niger Coup Threatens U.S. Strategy on Counterterrorism and Russia
An entrenched military junta could jeopardize America’s primary CT partner in West Africa, create ripple effects for security beyond the Sahel, and give Russia’s Wagner Group a new opening on the continent.
Aug 16, 2023
◆
  • Ben Fishman
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
A Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) soldier
Brief Analysis
Can the Lebanese Army Prevent a Hezbollah-Christian Conflict?
Given the military’s behavior during a recent confrontation and the spike in Christian anger toward Hezbollah, Washington should consider fine-tuning its assistance to the LAF, cutting off units that are not committed to protecting the people.
Aug 11, 2023
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Kurdistan Flag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Tracking Iranian Soft Power Influence in the KRI
The Islamic Republic of Iran over several years has gained a significant foothold in Iraq, spreading its influence and agenda throughout Iraqi daily life.
Aug 11, 2023
◆
  • Nawras Jaff
Brief Analysis
Firing PA Governors: Precursor to Change or Internal Power Play?
Although Abbas’s latest edict might hold consequences for Fatah politics, the PA’s public standing, and West Bank militancy, a measure of skepticism about its significance is warranted.
Aug 10, 2023
◆
  • Ghaith al-Omari

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari is the Rosalinde and Arthur Gilbert Foundation Senior Fellow in The Washington Institute's Irwin Levy Family Program on the U.S.-Israel Strategic Relationship.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab was the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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