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Arab & Islamic Politics

Policy Analysis on Arab & Islamic Politics

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Ameri
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Hadi al-Ameri’s Bad(r) Month
The Badr Organization leader has suffered bruising blows from other Iran-backed militias seeking to exploit the group's internal dysfunction and divisions.
Feb 21, 2024
◆
  • Ameer al-Kaabi
  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Libya’s Armed Group Catch-22
Because the government ceded too much authority to local militias and tribal intermediaries, no one can dismantle them without risking their lives.
Feb 15, 2024
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Sinwar, Mashal, and Israel’s Dilemma for the “Day After”
The long-term political struggle against Hamas will be just as challenging for Israel as the current military campaign.
Feb 9, 2024
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
Israeli flag, Hezbollah flag, implied Lebanon border
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Reinforcing U.S. Diplomacy to Stop a Hezbollah-Israel War
Only a comprehensive initiative aimed at curbing Hezbollah’s influence both within Lebanon and in the region stands a chance of delivering peace for the long term.
Feb 8, 2024
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
A Palestinian views a building reduced to rubble in Gaza - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Road to Peace in Gaza:
A Veteran Negotiator’s Plan
For opportunity to emerge from tragedy, two bridges must be built: one leading from the current situation to the “day after” the war, and a second creating a viable path to a Palestinian state.
Feb 5, 2024
◆
  • Dennis Ross
PM Sudani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What the U.S. Should Demand in a Dialogue with Iraqi PM Sudani
With regard to Sudani’s visit to America, we need to see what the Iraqi PM can achieve before confirming this important invitation. Sudani can be a real prime minister of a real sovereign state if he wants to be, but that will require taking risk.
Feb 1, 2024
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Two Tough Scenarios for U.S.-Iraq Relations
Washington’s ever-narrowing Iraq policy has left it with unpalatable choices, but muddling through is a better short-term option than allowing the relationship to rupture.
Feb 1, 2024
◆
  • Bilal Wahab
Par2
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Asaib Ahl al-Haq and Badr Fall Out Over Controlling the New Parliamentary Speaker
AAH conspired with a politicized judiciary to remove the speaker but failed to coordinate the replacement with Badr.
Jan 29, 2024
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Destruction from the Israeli strike on Hamas targets at the Jabalia refugee camp, Gaza.
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
How Hamas Manipulates Gaza Fatality Numbers:
Examining the Male Undercount and Other Problems
International media and NGOs have repeated the group's figures without caveats, giving credence to suspicions of Israeli misconduct and fueling accusations of war crimes and even genocide.
Jan 25, 2024
◆
  • Gabriel Epstein
Brief Analysis
Jordan’s Escalating Border Threats Amid Regional Upheaval
The kingdom is taking a firm hand against drug trafficking, weapons smuggling, drone infiltrations, and other threats, but it still needs enhanced defense capabilities and other crucial assistance from Washington.
Jan 9, 2024
◆
  • Abdullah Hayek
  • Ahmad Sharawi
Articles & Testimony
Algeria Takes a Seat on the UN Security Council
Twenty years after its last term, Algiers returns to make its mark, potentially affecting U.S. efforts on Gaza, Ukraine, the Western Sahara dispute, and more.
Jan 8, 2024
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
Brief Analysis
A Hamas Leader Dies in Beirut
Saleh al-Arouri served as a major operative for the group over decades, and his loss will pose challenges for Hamas and Hezbollah alike.
Jan 2, 2024
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Matthew Levitt
March 14, 2023 protest by Christian locals over the Babiliyoun militia seizure of seven NPU soldiers
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Babiliyoun Movement Hijacks All Four Christian Minority Seats
A group led by U.S.-sanctioned figure Rayan al-Kildani escaped accountability from Iraqi Christian communities by abusing the courts and buying non-Christian votes.
Jan 2, 2024
◆
  • Yaqoub Beth-Addai
◆ Militia Spotlight
Election workers in Iraq
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
2023 Iraqi Provincial Elections: Analyzing Mosul's Political Landscape
Political results are clearly divided along identity politics, yet intra-communal political rifts are also evident. Despite their growing influence in the area, Shia parties—like other political groups—will need to forge alliances with other factions in order to effectively exert influence and manage the city.
Dec 28, 2023
◆
  • Sercan Çalışkan
Protest outside of the Israeli embassy in Amman
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Does the War in Gaza Mean for Jordan's National Security?
Amman worries that the war in Gaza will increase Hamas’s domestic popularity and embolden the group’s supporters—especially with Jordan’s upcoming parliamentary elections in August 2024.
Dec 22, 2023
◆
  • Saud Al-Sharafat
Brief Analysis
Growing Internal Tensions Between Hamas Leaders
Kept in the dark about key aspects of the October 7 attack, the group’s external leaders are now jockeying for position in postwar arrangements that they may not have enough power to shape.
Dec 21, 2023
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
  • Matthew Levitt
An Iraqi member of a Shia PMF militia
Articles & Testimony
Iraq’s New Regime Change: How Tehran-Backed Terrorist Organizations and Militias Captured the Iraqi State
A comprehensive study of the various institutional, financial, and military levers that have enabled Iran’s “resistance” camp to take over another country even under the international community’s watchful eye.
Dec 2023
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
Iraqi politicians Muqtada al-Sadr, Mohammed al-Halbousi, Bafel Talabani, and Masrour Barzani.
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Family Rule in Iraq and the Challenge to State and Democracy
A handful of personalities have consumed all the country’s political oxygen, dashing hopes for a truly pluralistic ecosystem and requiring creative engagement from U.S. officials.
Dec 19, 2023
◆
  • Sardar Aziz
  • Bilal Wahab
Kuwait's then-Crown Prince Meshel al-Ahmad al-Sabah meeting with British Prime Minister Sunak in London in 2023 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Emir Nawaf’s Passing and the Future Leadership of Kuwait
Geographic location and oil wealth give the sheikhdom significance far exceeding its size and population.
Dec 18, 2023
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Iraqi citizens at the ballot box
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Iraqi Political System’s Legitimacy Problem: Low Expected Turnout for Provincial Elections
Predicted low voter turnout for Iraq’s first provincial elections in a decade signals the lack of popular trust in Iraq for the country’s political system.
Dec 13, 2023
◆
  • Hiwa Abdullah Hussein

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari is the Rosalinde and Arthur Gilbert Foundation Senior Fellow in The Washington Institute's Irwin Levy Family Program on the U.S.-Israel Strategic Relationship.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab was the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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