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Lebanon

Policy Analysis on Lebanon

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Brief Analysis
Sword of Jerusalem vs. Guardian of the Walls: Gaza and the Next Lebanon War
The military particulars of the clash between Hamas and IDF doctrines reveal much common ground with potential future conflicts involving the other members of Iran’s “axis of resistance.”
Jun 15, 2021
◆
  • Assaf Orion
Parliament House, Canberra, Australia
Articles & Testimony
Designating Hezbollah as a Terrorist Organization Under Australia’s Criminal Code
As in many other countries, the group has undertaken more than enough terrorist and criminal activity in Australia to justify an expanded listing.
Jun 10, 2021
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Preserving the Lebanese Armed Forces Amid State Decline
Although continued pressure on the country’s political elites is necessary, the U.S. government needs to find more immediate ways of helping soldiers and citizens by making creative use of State, Defense, and congressional authorities.
Jun 9, 2021
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
The Evolution of Iran’s Qods Force Since 1979
By absorbing rival organizations and favoring commanders who lack connections to other regime power centers, the IRGC has used the Qods Force to steadily centralize and monopolize control over the country’s foreign operations.
Jun 3, 2021
◆
  • Ali Alfoneh
KH Drone
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah Leads Drone Warfare Inside Iraq
The group is employing sophisticated drone capabilities against U.S. airbases in Iraq, mirroring tactics and systems used in Yemen.
May 14, 2021
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Lines in the Sea: The Israel-Lebanon Maritime Border Dispute
Benefitting from offshore natural gas reserves should be a win-win situation, but in this case the players may turn it into a zero-sum game.
May 3, 2021
◆
  • Simon Henderson
TSS
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Sharia Youth Gathering
The Sharia Youth Gathering is an umbrella movement of social service, cultural, sports, and scouting organizations that is effectively controlled by Kataib Hezbollah through a cadre of linked commanders.
Apr 29, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Scout
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Imam Hussein Scout Association
The Imam Hussein Scout Association is Kataib Hezbollah’s youth organization and an affiliate of Lebanese Hezbollah's Kishaf al-Imam al-Mahdi youth movement.
Apr 29, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Frech president Emmanuel Macron inspects the site of the Beirut port explosion
Brief Analysis
French-German Proposals to Rebuild Beirut Port: Policy Implications
Whoever winds up spearheading the reconstruction effort, Washington should stay on top of them to ensure that international prerequisites for reform and monitoring are enforced—and to keep China from exploiting Lebanon’s struggles.
Apr 9, 2021
◆
  • David Schenker
A Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) soldier
Brief Analysis
To Push Past Hezbollah Stonewalling, Leverage the LAF
The political fallout from a recent speech by the Lebanese Armed Forces commander gives Washington and its partners a golden opportunity to prod the country from crisis management toward actual solutions.
Mar 18, 2021
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Russian president Vladimir Putin and foreign minister Sergei Lavrov
Articles & Testimony
Is Russia Trying to Play Kingmaker in Lebanon?
To expand its strategic influence on the Mediterranean, Moscow is exploiting Beirut and Hezbollah’s crisis at a time when the West seems uncertain about how much to intervene.
Mar 16, 2021
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Assistant secretary of state David Schenker speaks at the Department of State in Washington, DC, alongside secretary of state Mike Pompeo
Video
Brief Analysis
Middle East Policy from Trump to Biden: Views from Inside the State Department’s Near East Bureau
The former assistant secretary of state in charge of the Middle East portfolio from 2019-2021 discusses his time in office and how the region’s challenges and opportunities are evolving at the start of the Biden administration.
March 10, 2021
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Lebanon's Predicament: Political Stagnation and Economic Collapse in a Hezbollah-Dominated State
Three Lebanese experts explore Beirut’s precarious politics, Hezbollah’s continued ability to evade accountability, and the Biden administration’s options.
Mar 5, 2021
◆
  • Makram Rabah
  • Ali al-Amin
  • Alia Mansour
Brief Analysis
Understanding Iran’s Vast Media Network in Arab Countries
Designating Iranian-linked media outlets can limit their activities, but a more holistic strategy is needed if Washington hopes to effectively counter the regime’s regional propaganda machine.
Mar 2, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
Articles & Testimony
The Other Khashoggis: Dissidents in Danger Across the Middle East
With militia targeting of activists on the rise, Western officials need to name the perpetrators, hold them accountable, and support homegrown democratic movements before they are snuffed out for good.
Feb 25, 2021
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah Is Vulnerable. Lokman Slim's Assassination Proves It.
The Biden administration and the French government must draw clear redlines, or the group will escalate its campaign of terror.
Feb 16, 2021
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Map "Syria's Borders Are Under External Control"
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Assad Regime Has Failed to Restore Full Sovereignty Over Syria
By ceding control of its borders and airspace to various foreign actors, the regime has essentially resigned itself to a limited but potentially durable existence for the long term.
Feb 10, 2021
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
How Might Iran’s “Axis of Resistance” Test Biden?
The new administration could face an Iranian military strike as early as inauguration day, along with multiple threats from the Assad regime, Hezbollah, and other actors down the road, all requiring clear demonstrations of U.S. resolve.
Jan 15, 2021
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Christine McVann
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Has Created Parallel Financial and Welfare Systems to Manage the Current Crisis
To contain corrupt actors and facilitate reform, the international community must provide alternatives to Hezbollah pharmaceutical and food programs while filling gaps that the group is unable to address.
Dec 9, 2020
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Russian president Vladimir Putin
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Soft Power Projection in the Middle East
Moscow conducts far more soft-power activity in the region than one might suspect, using subversive and opaque versions of the same tools employed by the West.
Dec 4, 2020
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Matthew Levitt
Matthew Levitt
Matthew Levitt is the Fromer-Wexler Senior Fellow and director of the Reinhard Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence at The Washington Institute.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
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