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Articles & Testimony
Tehran Won’t Tolerate a Reset with Washington—But Will Take a Deal
As the previous nuclear agreement showed, U.S. officials don’t need to change the regime’s mind about America’s supposedly nefarious intentions in order to cut a deal.
Dec 6, 2021
◆
Amir Toumaj
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
United States Still Tops List of Great Powers "Important" to Jordan's Public
Popular attitudes in Jordan have shifted slightly over the past year in a direction generally more favorable to the United States.
Dec 6, 2021
◆
David Pollock
Sawera Khan
Articles & Testimony
Why Israel (Sort of) Misses the Iran Deal
Given the nuclear program’s advancement under the U.S. maximum pressure policy, a raft of Israeli officials now say the JCPOA was better than nothing—but rejoining it will be difficult.
Dec 6, 2021
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Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
The Future of al-Tanf Garrison in Syria
The remote U.S. base remains a relatively low-cost, high-impact tool for preventing an Islamic State resurgence, disrupting hostile Iranian activity, and exerting leverage over Syria’s long-term outlook.
Dec 6, 2021
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Grant Rumley
David Schenker
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Next After the Assassination Attempt on Mustafa al-Kadhimi?
The question of how Iraqi militias will respond to their decreased presence in parliament becomes increasingly salient with the finalization of Iraq’s election results.
Dec 4, 2021
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Ali Al-Mikdam
Articles & Testimony
Will an Apparent Saudi Concession on Oil Production Drop US Prices at the Pump?
It is unclear how long any price effects might last, and Riyadh may yet expect a diplomatic quid pro quo from Washington.
Dec 3, 2021
◆
Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Popular Protest, Democratic Prospects, and U.S. Policy Dilemmas in the Middle East
Three experts discuss how Washington should shape its regional response to persistent protest movements, economic struggles, and democratic backsliding.
Dec 2, 2021
◆
Chiraz Arbi
Yasir Zaidan
Alberto Fernandez
Articles & Testimony
The UAE’s Second Half-Century: Building Forward to What?
The country is well-positioned to further the progress it has made on multiple fronts, from balancing relations with competing regional and global powers, to diversifying its economy and addressing long-term environmental concerns.
Dec 2, 2021
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David Pollock
Video
Brief Analysis
How Tehran Views Washington
Researchers discuss Iran’s mindset toward the Biden administration and the country’s prospects for internal change as nuclear talks resume in Vienna.
Dec 1, 2021
◆
Amir Toumaj
Sanam Vakil
Brief Analysis
A New Chance at Kingmaking for Iraqi Kurds
With militias on the back foot, the United States should lean on Kurdish and Iraqi leaders to find unity of purpose in confronting the destabilizing actions of pro-Iran groups.
Dec 1, 2021
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Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
The Taliban Remain the Same, But Society Has Changed
Years of U.S. involvement visibly advanced the dignity and prospects of Afghan women, but wholly abandoning them now would risk undoing much of this progress.
Dec 1, 2021
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Regional Water Cooperation in the Middle East and North Africa: Transitioning from Conflict to Stability
With rivers and lakes drying and record breaking droughts, there is a dire need for greater regional cooperation on water issues.
Nov 30, 2021
◆
Amro Selim
Video
Brief Analysis
American Peace Process Diplomacy: What Works? What Doesn’t?
The authors of three recent books on Henry Kissinger, Jimmy Carter, and James Baker explore the lessons that today’s leaders can learn from their landmark peacemaking efforts.
Nov 30, 2021
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Martin Indyk
Stuart Eizenstat
Susan Glasser
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Fake KSS Recruitment Drive
Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada may have exaggerated its recruiting numbers, but the episode points to militias' desperation to look potent and regain leverage by threatening to destabilize Iraq in early 2022.
Nov 27, 2021
◆
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Threats to Iranian Instagram: Analyzing Iran’s Internet Landscape
Iran’s conservative administration has threatened to block one of the country’s last standing social media platforms, signaling a shift to more restrictive media censorship.
Nov 24, 2021
◆
Layla Hashemi
Brief Analysis
Delta Crescent Energy: Refining U.S. Stabilization Strategies in Northeast Syria
If the Biden administration moves forward with canceling the company’s license, it will need to prepare for increased military and economic pressure in the northeast amid further encroachment by Russian personnel.
Nov 24, 2021
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Calvin Wilder
Kenneth R. Rosen
Brief Analysis
Reading Through Iran’s Nuclear Demands
Tehran has maintained its stringent line of insisting that Washington lift all sanctions, verify their removal, and provide future guarantees before it will lift a finger on resuming compliance with the JCPOA.
Nov 24, 2021
◆
Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
US Leads a Global Release of Oil from Reserves, But Will It Outmaneuver OPEC+?
Besides reopening the debate about proper use of the strategic reserve, the decision is not guaranteed to sway Washington’s tussle with Moscow and Riyadh.
Nov 23, 2021
◆
Simon Henderson
Audio
Brief Analysis
Podcast: Russia's War in Syria
Leading scholars examine the origins and current trends of Russian involvement in the Middle East, as well as implications for U.S. strategy in the region.
Nov 23, 2021
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Lester Grau
Michael McFaul
◆
Middle East PolicyCast
In-Depth Reports
Preparing for Orderly Change in Jordan When the Time Comes
The kingdom has navigated tricky successions in the past, and many of the elements that allowed it to do so remain in place today.
Nov 22, 2021
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
◆
Sudden Succession Essay Series
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