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Brief Analysis
What to Expect (or Not) from the Arab League Summit
Participants will probably issue potent-sounding statements on Iran, oil production, and other key issues, but their rhetoric is unlikely to result in any substantive policy shifts or internal dispute resolution.
Oct 24, 2022
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Sabina Henneberg
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Houthi Jihad Council: Command and Control in ‘the Other Hezbollah’
The Houthi relationship with the IRGC and Lebanese Hezbollah has grown to the point that regardless of whether fighting in Yemen wanes, the Gulf movement may still play an integrated role in Iran’s future military adventures.
October 2022
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Michael Knights
Adnan al-Gabarni
Casey Coombs
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Will Haftar’s Heir Be an Ally of the Russians or the Americans?
As Libya's political dynamics continue to change, Washington's next moves are more important than ever.
Oct 21, 2022
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Khalil El Hasse
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Fighting Jihadists By, With, and Through U.S. Partners:
Lessons Learned and Future Prospects
Special forces have succeeded especially in such missions, but any BWT effort requires some U.S. ground presence to achieve its goals.
Oct 20, 2022
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Ido Levy
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
At the Edge of the Precipice: Jewish-Arab Relations in Israel on the Eve of the 2022 Parliamentary Election
Conflicted between a desire for political and social integration and a disillusionment with Israeli politics, Israel’s Arab population—particularly Arab youth—will be an unpredictable element in the upcoming elections.
Oct 20, 2022
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Michael Milshtein
Ilham Shahbari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Shifting Lines and IDPs: Azaz, Afrin, and the HTS Incursion
HTS is on the move through northern Syria, leaving locals in Afrin and Azaz even more vulnerable.
Oct 19, 2022
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Rena Netjes
Brief Analysis
Scoring Iraq’s New Government: Metrics for Preserving U.S. Interests
The protracted post-election process has been a step backward for Iraqi democracy, so Washington will need to closely monitor the new leadership’s actions and hold Baghdad to measurable benchmarks.
Oct 19, 2022
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
The UN Resolution Against Russia’s Ukraine Annexations: How Did the Middle East Vote?
Most of the region supported the measure, with one nay vote, a pair of notable changes since the March resolution, and several strong statements in support of territorial integrity.
Oct 18, 2022
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Forming a New Government in Iraq: Possible Scenarios
Although Iraq’s new government has ended the year-long deadlock, the path forward is still rife with obstacles.
Oct 18, 2022
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Munqith Dagher
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
China's Security Presence in the Middle East:
Redlines and Guidelines for the United States
A more assertive Beijing means that Washington must work harder to protect its traditional partnerships and secure sensitive information.
Oct 18, 2022
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Grant Rumley
Articles & Testimony
When There's Good News About the Middle East, We Should Take Note
Israel’s maritime deal with Lebanon, facilitated by U.S. mediation efforts, reduces the risk of war and establishes a precedent in Lebanese recognition of a boundary line.
Oct 17, 2022
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Dennis Ross
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militias Pivot Away from U.S. Targets, Toward Kurdistan and Turkish Bases
Attack metrics prove that Iran-backed groups currently see more profit in striking "near enemies" than American forces.
Oct 17, 2022
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Eric Feely
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Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
As Anti-Regime Protests Swell Across Iran, Ethnic Minorities Demand Freedom and Equality
In order to create more lasting changes, the current wave of protests in Iran must be inclusive of the demands and expectations of ethnic minorities.
Oct 14, 2022
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Rahim Hamid
Ruth Riegler
Brief Analysis
Israel Debates the Lebanon Maritime Deal
The imminent election and the resultant rush to strike a deal are distracting from what could be a significant diplomatic and economic milestone for both countries.
Oct 13, 2022
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Bismarck on the Bosporus
Turkey’s president faces a reinvigorated opposition at home, but he is trying to show he can still win elections while also playing Russia, the United States, and Europe against one another.
Oct 13, 2022
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Insight into As-Suwayda’s Position in the Syrian Situation
As-Suwayda has been unstable since the onset of the Syrian revolution. The increasingly fractured political leadership in this majority-Druze region reflects how Syria’s ongoing conflict has warped and splintered local governance.
Oct 12, 2022
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Ishtar Al Shami
Brief Analysis
The SDF Is Caught Between Turkey and the Islamic State Again
As happened with past incursions, Erdogan’s latest invasion threats and preparatory strikes are fatally distracting the SDF from its crucial counterterrorism mission—and at a time when jihadist activities against it are on the rise.
Oct 12, 2022
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Ido Levy
Articles & Testimony
Israel Falls for Lebanon’s Treaty Bait-and-Switch
The maritime border agreement is a mixed bag, demonstrating how far Israel will go to make peace with Arab states while doing little to decrease the prospects of an eventual war with Hezbollah.
Oct 11, 2022
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David Schenker
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Demonstrations for Mahsa Amini: A Turning Point in Iran
Despite the Iranian regime’s efforts to suppress recent protests, they have quickly spread to every corner of the country, making this one of the most important events in Iran in more than four decades and suggesting this could be a turning point for the country's future.
Oct 7, 2022
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Ziryan Rojhelati
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Dilemma in Managing Shiite Conflicts in Iraq
Iran has recently adopted a more hands-off approach in Iraqi politics, hoping that the internal fractures will eventually work in their favor.
Oct 6, 2022
◆
Firas Elias
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