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Brief Analysis
Khamenei Continues Playing Hardball in Nowruz Speech
Far from compromising his nuclear position, the Supreme Leader keeps asserting that Iran can neutralize sanctions and solve its economic challenges on its own, both by leveraging domestic capabilities and demonstrating the people’s supposed electoral support for the regime.
Mar 22, 2021
◆
Omer Carmi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Morocco’s Diplomatic Efforts in Africa Are Shaping the Region
Shifts in African continental politics and U.S. recognition of Moroccan sovereignty in Western Sahara are components of a deepening rift between Morocco and Algeria.
Mar 19, 2021
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Samir Bennis
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Can Washington Constructively Engage Cairo on Human Rights?
If Washington hopes to encourage a change in human rights issues in Egypt, it should prioritize constructive engagement with Egypt and refrain from numerous critical public statements, unless it is willing to back them with action.
Mar 19, 2021
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Haisam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Gray Zone Strategy: Cornerstone of Its Asymmetric Way of War
America’s failure to operate effectively in the gray zone against a third-tier power like Iran raises questions about its ability to counter much more potent actors like Russia and China.
Mar 19, 2021
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
To Push Past Hezbollah Stonewalling, Leverage the LAF
The political fallout from a recent speech by the Lebanese Armed Forces commander gives Washington and its partners a golden opportunity to prod the country from crisis management toward actual solutions.
Mar 18, 2021
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Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Pope, Iraq, and the Iranian-Backed Iraqi Militias
The pope's visit in Iraq highlights Iranian-back militias' failure to successfully depict themselves as saviors of Iraqi Christians.
Mar 18, 2021
◆
Phillip Smyth
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The EastMed Gas and Philia Forums: Reimagining Cooperation in the Mediterranean
Arab and Mediterranean countries with common interests are creating new shared tools that can be used to combat Turkish and Iranian influence in their regions.
Mar 18, 2021
◆
Rauf Baker
Articles & Testimony
Re-Budgeting for a Right-Sized International Counterterrorism Posture
After twenty years of investing in unique and powerful counterterrorism tools, the U.S. government now risks falling behind the times by allowing these tools to direct its strategy.
Mar 18, 2021
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Tunisia 2021: Ennahda vs. Extremists
Despite accusations by leftist politicians, Ennahda’s commitment to national security has not wavered since it turned on the jihadi movement, but the party still needs to define what it means by “Muslim Democracy.”
Mar 17, 2021
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Video
Brief Analysis
Rethinking U.S. Counterterrorism Two Decades After 9/11
Three veteran counterterrorism practitioners from recent administrations take stock of America’s overall strategy, foreign posture, and domestic threats at the dawn of the Biden presidency.
Mar 17, 2021
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Matthew Levitt
Katrina Mulligan
Christopher Costa
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
Jihadi Movements 2021: ISIS, al-Qaeda, and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham
A closer look at the attack patterns, ideological disagreements, and shifting strategies of the world’s foremost jihadi organizations over the past year.
Mar 17, 2021
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Saudi Air Defense Problem Is a U.S. Opportunity
Washington can do much to help the kingdom close its serious air defense gaps, whereas acquiring Russian S-400s would be militarily insufficient and strategically disastrous.
Mar 17, 2021
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Patrick Schmidt
Brief Analysis
Saving the Yemen Peace Process by Blunting the Houthi Push for Marib
Losing Marib would discredit and debilitate the multilateral peace effort, so the United States should facilitate more energetic Saudi and Emirati support to the city’s defense.
Mar 17, 2021
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Articles & Testimony
Is Russia Trying to Play Kingmaker in Lebanon?
To expand its strategic influence on the Mediterranean, Moscow is exploiting Beirut and Hezbollah’s crisis at a time when the West seems uncertain about how much to intervene.
Mar 16, 2021
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Return to the Convoy Strategy and Projection of Unity
The muqawama are trying to put squabbles over the utility of convoy bombings behind them and are making a concerted attempt to demonstrate inter- and intra-group unity.
Mar 15, 2021
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Crispin Smith
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Stop Giving Putin a Free Pass to Europe’s Backyard
Simply waiting for Russia to decline has not prevented the Kremlin's aggressive and destabilizing behavior in various regions, and may even have encouraged it.
Mar 15, 2021
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Ivana Strander
In-Depth Reports
In the Service of Ideology:
Iran's Religious and Socioeconomic Activities in Syria
The dalliance between the Assad family and Iran’s Shia clerics began in the 1970s. Back then, before the Islamic Revolution, the Syrian leader held leverage. Now the tables have been turned.
Mar 14, 2021
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Oula A. Alrifai
Fikra Forum
Maps & Graphics
Fikra Forum
Uprising or Election: What Kind of Change Do Iraqis Want?
New polls show that Iraqis want institutional change, but they are losing faith in elections as a real means towards reform.
Mar 12, 2021
◆
Munqith Dagher
Articles & Testimony
What We Ignore, We Empower: Five Decades of Despair Under the Assad Regime
A Syrian scholar and expatriate lays out the legacy of terror under the Assads and urges the Biden administration to prioritize the country’s sundry crises.
Spring 2021
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Oula A. Alrifai
Brief Analysis
Continued Houthi Strikes Threaten Saudi Oil and the Global Economic Recovery
Saudi Arabia used what Congress might consider “offensive weapons” to successfully defend major oil terminals, but a much more devastating attack is inevitable if Houthi missile and drone attacks persist.
Mar 12, 2021
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Michael Knights
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