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Brief Analysis
Jan 4, 2020
◆
Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Supreme Leader Responds to the Soleimani Assassination
Khamenei and other regime officials have been quick to swear revenge, but for now they may focus more on stoking patriotic and militaristic sentiment at home.
Jan 3, 2020
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Escalation in Iraq Raises Questions About Tensions Between Saudi Arabia and Iran
Following the events of September 11, 2001, US-NATO military interventions brought the United States directly into Middle Eastern affairs while costing the country more than 7,000 lives and approximately $5.5 trillion dollars. However, the regional perspective of the U.S. invasion of Iraq in particular is that its main result was
Jan 3, 2020
◆
Firas Elias
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kuwaiti Public, Including Shia Minority, Still Anti-Iran—but Wary of Conflict
As tensions between the United States and Iran escalate, oil-rich Kuwait, sandwiched between Iran and Iraq at the mouth of the Gulf, is a key U.S. partner right in the potential line of fire. It is also the most internally politically active country of all six GCC Arab monarchies, with
Jan 3, 2020
◆
David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
How the Soleimani Assassination Could Pave the Way for a New Deal with Iran
What if U.S. officials took advantage of the moment and asked a trusted third party like Oman or Switzerland to test whether Tehran is ready for a quiet diplomatic initiative?
Jan 3, 2020
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Does Soleimani’s Death Matter? Findings from a 2019 Workshop
Last year’s Washington Institute forum on post-Soleimani succession suggested that the IRGC would lose a unique coordinating capability and its most important totem once he left the scene.
Jan 3, 2020
◆
Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Reactions to Soleimani’s Assassination
After reports of Qassem Soleimani’s death were confirmed, Twitter videos emerged depicting cheering Iraqi protesters heading to Baghdad’s Tahrir Square to celebrate the death of a man who had until recently been deeply involved in Iraqi politics. However, whatever the public demonstrations suggest, the reality is that the Iraqi public
Jan 3, 2020
◆
David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Iran Retains Its Ability to Launch Terror Attacks Despite Assassination
Soleimani had multiple deputies with years of experience, and the Iranian security establishment has a tradition of rewarding brazen initiative.
Jan 3, 2020
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Iraq Relations at a Crossroads: Policy Options
Washington should smartly employ tougher love in the coming months, working with other nations and Iraqi moderates to improve the country’s chances of recovery from militia rule.
Jan 2, 2020
◆
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Jan 2, 2020
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Tight Rope: Deterring Militias While Supporting Reformists in Iraq
In November 2019, I wrote a piece for Fikra Forum titled “U.S. Interests and the Unsustainable Status Quo in Iraq” where I argued the case that the United States needed to adopt a riskier short-term policy in Iraq in order to be on the right—and winning side—of history in Iraq
Jan 2, 2020
◆
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Jan 1, 2020
◆
Phillip Smyth
Brief Analysis
Dec 31, 2019
◆
Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
The Obstacles Still Facing Israel’s Leviathan Gas Field
Regional and commercial challenges require an evolving business plan.
Dec 31, 2019
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Escalation in Iraq: How to Limit the Damage and Reestablish Sovereignty
The Iraqi government’s vociferous condemnations of U.S. defensive strikes may just be rhetorical, but they highlight the stakes involved for a country veering ever closer to perpetual Iranian dominance.
Dec 31, 2019
◆
Bilal Wahab
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Oman After Qaboos: A National and Regional Void
Sudden Succession Essay Series
The Gulf nation of Oman has been ruled by Sultan Qaboos since 1970, when he overthrew his own father. The seventy-nine-year-old leader has enjoyed wide popularity, but he has a history of illness. To ensure national stability and continued progress, his successor will have to enact far-reaching economic reforms, aimed especially at broadening the economy beyond its current oil dependence. At the same time, a new sultan will need to navigate challenges posed by powerful neighbors such as Iran, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia.
Dec 30, 2019
◆
Simon Henderson
◆
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Articles & Testimony
Assad Is Growing Stronger Under Trump’s Nonexistent Syria Policy
The Caesar Act will not put an end to the Syrian catastrophe so long as Washington keeps ceding political and military leverage to adversaries who do not care about human rights.
Dec 29, 2019
◆
Oula A. Alrifai
Brief Analysis
Dec 27, 2019
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The United States Can Offer the People of Lebanon and Iraq Something Tehran Can’t
Congress should offer conditional aid that forces Beirut and Baghdad to respond to their citizens’ grievances, many of which stem from Iranian-sponsored sectarianism, corruption, and violence.
Dec 24, 2019
◆
Dennis Ross
Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Dec 24, 2019
◆
Dennis Ross
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