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Brief Analysis
Exploiting Fault Lines in Iran’s Relations with Russia and China After the Israel War
The Israeli and U.S. military campaigns revealed how far Moscow and Beijing are willing to go (or not go) in their support for Tehran, providing Washington with opportunities to keep Iran in a weakened position.
Aug 1, 2025
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
Washington’s Difficult Mission to Unify Sudan Diplomacy Just Got Harder
Although the summit cancellation is a blow, it could serve as an important moment for reassessment and recalibration rather than signaling the end of international mediation.
Jul 31, 2025
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Areig Elhag
Articles & Testimony
Tehran’s Wake Up Call for Beijing
The military clash over Iran's nuclear program confirmed what Chinese strategists have long preached: in great-power contests, hard power decides outcomes.
Jul 31, 2025
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Grant Rumley
Craig Singleton
Articles & Testimony
The Big Mistake the West Is Making About Russia, China, and Iran
The axis hasn’t fallen apart—if anything, these countries appear willing to work together even more closely now than before the Iran-Israel war.
Jul 30, 2025
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hostages of the Mind: Hamas’s Strategic Use of Captivity in Cognitive Warfare
Hostage-taking has served multiple purposes for Hamas, including a novel use of cognitive warfare. This may prove to be a turning point in terrorist strategy that governments will need to learn how to counter effectively.
Jul 30, 2025
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Noga Halevi
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah Kills an Iraqi Policeman and Civilian in Baghdad
The clash occurred when a KH-protected official was removed from a lucrative position that has given the terrorist group access to massive tracts of fertile farming land in southern Baghdad.
Jul 29, 2025
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Ameer al-Kaabi
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
For the UK Government, It Is Time to Take State-Sponsored Assassinations Seriously
The Iranian and Russian regimes have used a wide mix of tactics and operatives to strike at dissidents and other targets in the West, and thwarting them will require more intensive efforts on multiple fronts.
Jul 29, 2025
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Kiril Avramov
Matthew Levitt
Luca Trenta
Video
Brief Analysis
Violence in Suwayda: No “Plan B” for Syria?
A Syrian official and a panel of experts debate the response to recent sectarian bloodshed in the south, including what must be done to protect minorities and pursue true transitional justice post-Assad.
Jul 29, 2025
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Qutaiba Idlbi
Andrew J. Tabler
Sawsan Abou Zainedin
Mazen Ezzi
Brief Analysis
Israel’s West Bank “Pincer” Is Squeezing the Palestinians
Israel’s conduct toward the West Bank—which has lately operated top-down and bottom-up like a pincer—could wind up triggering wider outbreaks of violence, preventing expansion of the Abraham Accords, and undermining Jerusalem's traditional bases of support internationally.
Jul 25, 2025
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Neomi Neumann
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militias Strain Credibility by Denying Involvement in Kurdistan Drone Attacks
Kataib Hezbollah and Asaib Ahl al-Haq are improbably trying to distance themselves from drone strikes in northern Iraq, including multiple attacks on U.S. oil investors.
Jul 25, 2025
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
Ameer al-Kaabi
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
After the Bombing: Iran’s Nuclear Options
While the recent military strikes against its nuclear program may further incentivize Tehran to go for the bomb, they may also complicate such efforts and give Washington more leverage to dissuade it.
Jul 23, 2025
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Bahrain Doubles Down on U.S. Economic Ties
The kingdom’s recent announcement of billions in U.S. investments reflects both a strong commitment to C-SIPA and a wider Gulf alignment with the Trump administration’s foreign policy priorities.
Jul 23, 2025
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Elizabeth Dent
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Yemen's Tihama People: A Forgotten Story Under Houthi Rule
Despite years of Houthi control, there remains local resistance forces who hope to take back the area from a group who occupied the Tihama region in order to control the strategic port of al-Hudayda and the area's other resources.
Jul 22, 2025
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Abduljabbar Salman
Abdulmajeed Zubah
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Uli al-Baas
An Iran-linked propaganda and paramilitary formation with stated ambitions to form a new anti-government insurgent and political structure in Syria.
Jul 21, 2025
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Sary Mumayiz
Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Brief Analysis
Making Sure Damascus Learns the Right Lessons from the Suwayda Clashes
The deep problems within the transitional government’s security ranks have once again been tragically exposed, so the Trump administration should increase pressure on the foreign fighter issue and related matters—for the sake of Syria’s minorities and U.S. regional interests alike.
Jul 21, 2025
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Hamas at a Crossroads
The rudderless group is drifting between those who argue for cutting its losses and those who believe it can still hold onto power in Gaza by playing the hostage card well and securing patchwork assistance from abroad.
July 2025
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Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
Israel Has Its Best Chance for Peace in 25 Years
After seeing President Clinton’s chance at a deal slip away, America’s former top peace envoy explains how Trump has a wide—but brief—window to press Arab and Israeli leaders on resolving the Gaza conflict and other regional issues.
Jul 17, 2025
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Dennis Ross
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Game On: Sadr and the Iraqi "Resistance" Clash Over State Control of Arms
A prevalent theme in this year's election could be the need to bring militia arms under control, and the latest back-and-forth on the issue nearly led to major fighting in Baghdad.
Jul 17, 2025
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Ameer al-Kaabi
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Lethal Attacks Show Strengthened Houthi Control over Red Sea Transit
The latest attacks make clear that the international community must guarantee the freedom and safety of all ships transiting the Red Sea, combining a permanent military mission with assistance from regional countries and private security firms.
Jul 16, 2025
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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi
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Maritime Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Israeli Military Assertiveness Provides Some Blessings in Disguise for Erdogan
Regardless of rhetoric, Erdogan quietly benefits from conflicts like the recent twelve-day war between Israel and Iran—both in terms of bolstering Ankara's regional profile and in deflecting attention from domestic issues.
Jul 15, 2025
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Salih Berke Sendag
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