Iran

Policy Analysis on Iran

Iran's navy commander speaks in front of a map

Iran’s Atlantic Voyage: Implications of Naval Deployments to Venezuela or Syria

The maiden voyage may just be a token political and training mission to boost morale—or the first step in sending long-range missiles, drones, fast-attack boats, and other materiel to Tehran’s allies in the Caribbean or Mediterranean.

Jun 15, 2021

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Farzin Nadimi

Figure 1: Qais al-Khazali’s interview with iNEWS TV, June 1, 2021

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Qais al-Khazali's Show of Independence

The militia leader is positioning himself as Iran's equal and close partner, aspiring to comparisons with Hassan Nasrallah and Abdul-Malik al-Houthi.

Jun 14, 2021

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Hamdi Malik

◆ Militia Spotlight

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Qais al-Khazali Doubles Down on His Muqawama Membership

The militia leader has not hesitated to provide court-quality evidence that he and his movement Asaib Ahl al-Haq are actively involved in attacks on U.S. forces.

Jun 7, 2021

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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
Crispin Smith

◆ Militia Spotlight

Brief Analysis

The Evolution of Iran’s Qods Force Since 1979

By absorbing rival organizations and favoring commanders who lack connections to other regime power centers, the IRGC has used the Qods Force to steadily centralize and monopolize control over the country’s foreign operations.

Jun 3, 2021

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Ali Alfoneh

Articles & Testimony

The Policy Consequences of Arab State Normalization with the Assad Regime

In addition to undermining the Biden administration’s promised focus on human rights, allowing Assad to regain legitimacy abroad would constitute a strategic blunder that cannot be explained away.

Jun 2, 2021

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Oula A. Alrifai
Aaron Y. Zelin

Brief Analysis

Iran Nuclear Watchdog Report Suggests Impact of Suspected Israeli Sabotage

News of apparent enrichment setbacks has been offset somewhat by troubling developments in other aspects of the program, not to mention sharp Israeli warnings, diplomatic uncertainty in Vienna, and a pair of sobering nuclear anniversaries.

Jun 1, 2021

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Simon Henderson

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Threats Against Iraq's Government Aired on al-Etejah TV

Kataib Hezbollah's television outlet is still airing false claims about the release of Qasim Muslih, as well as coup threats that draw comparisons to Yemen's Houthi takeover.

Jun 1, 2021

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Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith

◆ Militia Spotlight

Brief Analysis

How Iran Fuels Hamas Terrorism

After playing a key role in the group’s military development for years and navigating deep ideological rifts, Tehran has renewed its extensive sponsorship in ways that contributed directly to the recent bloodshed in Gaza.

Jun 1, 2021

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Ido Levy

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Muqawama Fake News Surrounding Qasim Muslih’s Arrest (Part 2): Release Claims

Militias made a concerted effort to create the false impression that their colleague had been released immediately, and the claim was soon echoed by major global media outlets.

May 28, 2021

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Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
Hamdi Malik

◆ Militia Spotlight

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Muqawama Fake News Surrounding Qasim Muslih’s Arrest (Part 1): International Zone Claims

The first wave of post-arrest deception operations tried to give the false impression that militias controlled the Baghdad zone containing the prime minister's residence, the U.S. embassy, and other sensitive sites.

May 28, 2021

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Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
Alex Almeida
Hamdi Malik

◆ Militia Spotlight

Brief Analysis

Iraqi Militias Try, and Fail, to Intimidate the Government

Baghdad effectively enforced the rule of law by detaining a senior militia figure, though it still needs to arrest other murder suspects and show the public that October’s election will be safe.

May 27, 2021

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Michael Knights

Iranian presidential candidate Ebrahim Raisi speaking in 2021

Brief Analysis

A Race of One? Iran Slashes Its Presidential Candidates List

The regime is seemingly removing any obstacle that might prevent Ebrahim Raisi from winning the presidency and, perhaps, succeeding Khamenei down the road, but the risk of further eroding its internal legitimacy is high.

May 25, 2021

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Omer Carmi

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

When the Tansiqiya Speaks in AAH's Absence

The May 20 Gaza protest in Baghdad saw the Tansiqiya speak in the notable absence of any Asaib Ahl al-Haq members, and the event was conspicuously ignored by AAH channels.

May 24, 2021

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Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith

◆ Militia Spotlight

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

The Tansiqiya Signals Escalation Versus the United States

The Iraqi militia coordination committee is laying out its political and legal arguments for the removal of U.S. forces.

May 24, 2021

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Crispin Smith

◆ Militia Spotlight

Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, casts his vote for president

Brief Analysis

Iran’s Presidential Election Season Kicks Off: Five Takeaways

The upcoming campaign will likely focus on a three-way race between conservative Raisi, conservative-turned-pragmatist Larijani, and reformist-affiliated Jahangiri.

May 17, 2021

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Omer Carmi

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

How Iraqi Militias Are Exploiting the Gaza Conflict

Hamas's example could embolden Iraqi factions to accelerate attacks on U.S. facilities at home, as well as seek some reflected glory by claiming Syria-based attacks against Israelis.

May 16, 2021

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Hamdi Malik

◆ Militia Spotlight

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Kataib Hezbollah Leads Drone Warfare Inside Iraq

The group is employing sophisticated drone capabilities against U.S. airbases in Iraq, mirroring tactics and systems used in Yemen.

May 14, 2021

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Michael Knights
Crispin Smith

◆ Militia Spotlight

Brief Analysis

Bahrain’s Interlocking Regional and Domestic Tensions

Manama is still grappling with the complex challenge of developing ties with Israel while coping with homegrown Shia militancy.

May 10, 2021

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Simon Henderson

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Distinguishing Kawader Hezbollah al-Qudama and Kataib Hezbollah

Nouri al-Maliki is gathering various Iraqi resistance figures who fought both Saddam and the coalition, but this marginal "old timer" party is not the same as Kataib Hezbollah, which has yet to show its hand in parliamentary politics.

May 6, 2021

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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights

◆ Militia Spotlight

Brief Analysis

Iran’s Military Establishment Doubles Down on “Revolution”

By dismissing the Zarif tape and calling for further securitization of government decisionmaking, the officials truly in charge of Iranian foreign policy are previewing what negotiators and neighbors can expect from Tehran for the foreseeable future.

May 5, 2021

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Farzin Nadimi

Supported by the

Viterbi Program on Iran and U.S. Policy

Today, the Islamic Republic of Iran poses the most serious and urgent set of security challenges to the United States and its allies in the greater Middle East. Since the Khomeini revolution in 1979, Iran has sought to export its radical ideology through the use of terrorism, subversion, and support to ideological fellow-travelers throughout the Muslim world.

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Featured experts

Farzin Nadimi

Farzin Nadimi, a Senior Fellow with The Washington Institute, is a Washington-based analyst specializing in the security and defense affairs of Iran and the Persian Gulf region.

Patrick Clawson

Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.

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Policy Analysis on Iran

Viterbi Program on Iran and U.S. Policy

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Iran

Policy Analysis on Iran

Viterbi Program on Iran and U.S. Policy

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