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Gulf & Energy Policy

Policy Analysis on Gulf & Energy Policy

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Houthi leader Abdul-Malik Badruddin al-Houthi addresses a rally in Sanaa, Yemen - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Houthi Jihad Council: Command and Control in ‘the Other Hezbollah’
The Houthi relationship with the IRGC and Lebanese Hezbollah has grown to the point that regardless of whether fighting in Yemen wanes, the Gulf movement may still play an integrated role in Iran’s future military adventures.
October 2022
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  • Michael Knights
  • Adnan al-Gabarni
  • Casey Coombs
OPEC flag
Articles & Testimony
High Prices, War in Ukraine, a Cold Winter Ahead—and Now OPEC+ Piles On
The oil cartel’s reported plan to cut production could roil global markets, U.S.-Gulf relations, and American voter sentiment.
Oct 4, 2022
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Smoke is seen at a Saudi oil facility in Abqaiq, 2019 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Will a Sense of Revenge Spur Iran to Attack Saudi Arabia?
While the regime doubles down on its domestic crackdown, it has increased its threatening rhetoric abroad as well, potentially drawing U.S. assets into a new round of military escalation reminiscent of summer 2019.
Oct 4, 2022
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
AWH graphic
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militia Group Makes Credible New Threat Against the Gulf States
The facade group in question tends to follow through on its warnings, so its latest rhetoric about using developments in Yemen as cause for new attacks should be taken seriously.
Oct 3, 2022
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Kuwait’s Election Offers Insights on Wider Gulf Politics
The vote and the events leading up to it reflect a system in near-paralysis rather than an example for neighbors to emulate.
Sep 28, 2022
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi King Gives Up Prime Minister Role to Crown Prince
The transfer further boosts his son’s authority and could even be a prelude to an unprecedented abdication.
Sep 27, 2022
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Regional Security Cooperation Partnerships in the Middle East
The Abraham Accords have substantially increased the region’s options for countering Iranian threats, but the past performance of Arab coalitions should make policymakers cautious about expecting too much from new alliances.
Sep 21, 2022
◆
  • David Schenker
MEES map showing Israeli and Lebanese maritime border claims in the East Mediterranean.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Karish Gas Field: Diplomatic Opportunity or Casus Belli?
Seven experts examine how the fraught decision to start production might affect Beirut’s negotiating stance, Hezbollah’s military calculus, U.S.-Israel relations, and other factors.
Sep 20, 2022
◆
  • Simon Henderson
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Ehud Yaari
  • David Makovsky
  • David Schenker
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Bahrain Opinion Poll Confirms Sectarian Split on Iran, but not on U.S. or Israel
The Bahraini public provided their perspectives on ties with international partners, moderate Islam, and the country’s economic situation.
Sep 9, 2022
◆
  • David Pollock
UAE flag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
July/August 2022 UAE Survey Shows U.S. Leads Iran, but Lags Russia and China
Emiratis share their views on global players, regional dynamics, and economic conditions.
Aug 30, 2022
◆
  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Oman’s Economic Success Is Driven by Accountability as Much as Oil
By pushing the government to make more efficient use of higher hydrocarbon prices and a budget surplus of $2 billion, the sultan has helped reduce anxiety about the stability of the strategically positioned Gulf state.
Aug 11, 2022
◆
  • Jonathan Campbell-James
President Joe Biden greets Saudi King Salman in Jeddah in July 2022 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The True Promise of Joe Biden’s Middle East Trip
It is no exaggeration to say that the visit represents a transformation of Washington’s regional approach—including a rethink of the “pivot.”
Jul 27, 2022
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • James Jeffrey
Photo of Chinese and Emirati leaders walking.
Articles & Testimony
China Below the Radar: Israel-US Strategic Dialogue on Technology
Although the headlines were focused elsewhere, the president’s Israel-Saudi trip included statements, agreements, and newly announced inter-agency dialogues that imply deep implications for China policy.
Jul 26, 2022
◆
  • Assaf Orion
  • Shira Efron
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The COVID-19 Crisis: An Opportunity to Transition to a Post-Oil Economy
Oil resources have wrought unprecedented developments in Gulf society, but these successes have been tainted by what is known as the “oil curse.” The past several years have given the Gulf an opportunity to change this trajectory.
Jul 22, 2022
◆
  • Mohamed Bechri
Photo of Chinese and Emirati leaders walking.
Brief Analysis
How to Respond to China’s Growing Influence in the Gulf
Beijing’s use of intertwined civil and military tools in the Gulf mirrors its activity closer to home, but the West can readily counter this influence by capitalizing on the region’s desire for diversified partnerships.
Jul 21, 2022
◆
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
President Joe Biden arrives in Saudi Arabia in July 2022
Articles & Testimony
The ‘Spin’ Doesn’t Tell the Full Story of Biden’s Middle East Trip
If there is good news on oil, it isn’t because of Riyadh’s ambiguous remarks about increasing the kingdom’s production capacity.
Jul 18, 2022
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Biden Sees Oil as Key to His Visit, but Does Riyadh Agree?
The administration has signaled its intentions for the trip well in advance, but the realities of Saudi oil capacity and global energy forecasts should temper any U.S. expectations of a quick fix.
Jul 14, 2022
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Vice President Joe Biden arrives in Saudi Arabia
Video
Brief Analysis
Biden in the Middle East: Opportunities and Challenges
A panel of veteran diplomats and scholars from the Gulf, Israel, and Washington discuss the trip’s goals and risks, as well as the president’s chances for success.
Jul 14, 2022
◆
  • Tamar Hermann
  • Dennis Ross
  • Ebtesam al-Ketbi
  • Robert Satloff
President Joe Biden meets Palestinian Authority President Abbas in July 2022
Articles & Testimony
From Arabs and Israelis, Biden Hears Very Different “New” Middle Easts
The Gulf capitals and Jerusalem may not agree entirely on what “regional security cooperation” means or what an anti-Iran alliance should look like, but opportunities for other types of cooperation abound.
Jul 13, 2022
◆
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Prospects for an Iranian “July Surprise” During Biden’s Gulf Trip
Tehran may see the president’s attendance at the GCC+3 summit as a tempting opportunity to scuttle a U.S.-Gulf reset, perhaps by using a cyber or military provocation to humiliate the hosts and demonstrate America’s inability to protect them.
Jul 11, 2022
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is Morningstar senior fellow and director of research at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
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