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Energy and Economics

Policy Analysis on Energy and Economics

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Brief Analysis
Coronavirus on the Israeli-Palestinian Scene (Part 2): The Gaza Strip
Hamas authorities have taken various measures to stave off the pandemic, but Gaza’s major healthcare shortfalls, deep economic problems, and high risk of wider infection could lead to violent flare-ups with Israel.
May 1, 2020
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  • Michael Herzog
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Video
Brief Analysis
Arab Health Officials Discuss Fighting COVID-19
Three senior officials from Iraq, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia share a behind-the-scenes look at each country’s efforts to contain the pandemic.
Apr 30, 2020
◆
  • Jaafar Allawi
  • Saad Jaber
  • Abdullah Algwizani
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Prince’s Vision Marred by Oil Price—and a Death
The combo of local opposition to a high-tech urbanization project and oil market volatility has cast a shadow over Riyadh’s long-term economic plans.
Apr 29, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Coronavirus on the Israeli-Palestinian Scene (Part 1): The West Bank and East Jerusalem
The outbreak has temporarily shifted the two sides from squabbling over the ‘deal of the century’ to cooperating against the ‘pandemic of the century,’ though bitter political differences continue to cause tensions.
Apr 28, 2020
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  • Michael Herzog
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Eurasian Wager
Many aspects of Iranian engagement with the Eurasian Economic Union seem paltry, but the bloc offers a semblance of assured trade, diplomacy, and counter-Western alignment that could still be meaningful to Tehran amid multiple crises.
Apr 27, 2020
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  • Kevjn Lim
Brief Analysis
Corona in the Casbah: The Pandemic’s Destabilizing Impact on Algeria
Given that the local economic repercussions of COVID-19 could be severe, Washington should prepare for the prospect of instability erupting in Africa’s largest country.
Apr 22, 2020
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
Will Crashing Oil Prices Put American Energy in Its Coffin?
The prospect of a full shale collapse has spurred politicians and oil companies to raise furious questions about the future of U.S. economic and military cooperation with Saudi Arabia.
Apr 21, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran's Coronavirus Crisis: Implications for U.S. Policy
Read or watch an expert conversation on the immediate and long-term effects of the Islamic Republic’s response to the pandemic. How will Iranian politics change? How much aid can Tehran get under sanctions? How will the global economic slowdown affect daily life there?
Apr 16, 2020
◆
  • Amir Afkhami
  • Mehdi Khalaji
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Opposing an IMF Loan to Iran: Not an Outlier, Not a Barrier to Aid
Washington often objects to loans that it deems insufficiently rigorous, but its blocking attempts usually fail—and Iran has no need for the funds anyway.
Apr 14, 2020
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Will the OPEC Agreement Work and, If So, How Long Will It Last?
The market appears to doubt that the deal will suffice, and royal family dynamics could push the oil crisis into further rounds.
Apr 13, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iraq Goes from Zurfi to Kadhimi: U.S. Policy Implications
If Kadhimi’s nomination goes through, it would be good news for Iraq, but Washington’s troubled relationship with Baghdad still needs a radical strategic reset.
Apr 9, 2020
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Houthis Release Their Wish List for Ending the Yemen War
Reflecting just how emboldened the Houthis have become, their latest ceasefire document advocates maximalist positions on core issues while demanding that other actors foot the bill for reconstruction, reparations, economic recovery, and virus containment.
Apr 9, 2020
◆
  • Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
Trump Considers a Cameo Role in Saudi-Russia Oil Price Drama
The president’s latest statements on OPEC and the possibility of U.S. tariffs are ambiguous, but they suggest his growing exasperation with Moscow and Riyadh.
Apr 6, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Saudi-Russia Oil Fight Is the Last Thing the Economy Needs in a Pandemic
Both governments have gone “crazy” in the fast-moving price war, but the White House is apparently divided on who to blame and how much to get involved.
Apr 1, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Sanctions Relief Isn’t Necessary to Assist Iran’s Coronavirus Response
Washington can facilitate aid without fundamentally altering the sanctions infrastructure, in part by clarifying the rules on allowable humanitarian trade, expanded NGO activities, and Tehran’s existing financial options.
Mar 31, 2020
◆
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy in the Middle East Amid Great Power Competition
Viewing regional issues through this broader strategic lens will require Washington to accept painful trade-offs and take a tougher stance with difficult allies.
Mar 30, 2020
◆
  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
How to Serve U.S. Interests by Saving Kurdistan’s Economy
Unless Washington intervenes with cost-effective, forceful measures, Iraqi Kurdistan could be the first Middle Eastern economy to implode under the pressure of coronavirus and low oil prices.
Mar 30, 2020
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
With COVID-19, Iran’s Dependence on China Grows
Beijing has steadily become Tehran’s economic ventilator, diplomatic prop, and military enabler, and the Iranians need this backstop now more than ever.
Mar 27, 2020
◆
  • Kevjn Lim
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Nowruz Speech in a Time of Coronavirus
His remarks focused on inspiring the nation to stay strong in the face of the crisis while refusing to trust U.S. aid, though without mentioning his normal laundry list of foreign policy issues.
Mar 23, 2020
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Don’t Count Out U.S. Oil Production as a Market-Shaper
Total U.S. production from all sources will remain the world’s largest no matter how low prices go, leaving Washington (and Texas) with considerable room to help domestic companies and press Riyadh and Moscow on stabilizing prices.
Mar 20, 2020
◆
  • Patrick Clawson

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