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Arab & Islamic Politics

Policy Analysis on Arab & Islamic Politics

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Brief Analysis
Tweet Signals Major Upgrade in Relations Between U.S. Gulf Allies
Yet the photo of an informal meeting among the Saudi, Qatari, and UAE leaders also suggests their uncertainty about American support.
Sep 20, 2021
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Middle East doctor, Turkish protestor, veiled voter
In-Depth Reports
A New Start for the U.S. on Mideast Democracy and Human Rights
In a region where publics are clamoring for healthcare, housing, jobs, and freedom of expression, progress toward electoral democracy need not always be the top priority.
Sep 19, 2021
◆
  • David Pollock
  • Robert Satloff
◆ Reform, Protest, Change
Brief Analysis
Sistani vs. the Militias: The Future of Iraqi Sovereignty
The international community needs to pay more attention to developments in Najaf, where Sistani-backed groups are forcefully pushing back against Iran but still face the longer-term question of who will continue his message.
Sep 14, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
A Taliban fighter at a police station in Kabul
Articles & Testimony
How Not to Repeat My History with the Taliban
To avoid the worst outcomes, Washington needs to assiduously enforce any deals with the new Afghan leadership, cooperate effectively with other world powers, and explain to a domestic audience how the withdrawal will facilitate a focus on different priorities.
Sep 2, 2021
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  • David Pollock
Badr Troops
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Badr Organization
Badr is the wellspring of many of today's armed resistance groups and still operates under the indirect and sometimes direct control of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
Sep 2, 2021
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Crispin Smith
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Brief Analysis
Political Uncertainty Deepens in Tunisia
Washington should publicly emphasize the importance of preserving hard-won progress on political pluralism and human rights, while privately conveying that Tunis must return to the constitutional framework in order to receive MCC and IMF funding.
Aug 31, 2021
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
  • Grant Rumley
  • Ben Fishman
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Algeria Morocco flags
Articles & Testimony
Algeria-Morocco Rupture:
An Unfunny Comedy of Errors
Algiers likely wanted to deflect attention from challenges at home, but missteps from other actors may have tipped the scales.
Aug 27, 2021
◆
  • David Pollock
HDP protests, Turkey
Articles & Testimony
What's Happening with the HDP?
Tracking Legislators in Turkey's Liberal, Pro-Kurdish Party
Erdogan knows that a flourishing opposition could mean his political demise.
Aug 26, 2021
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Umut Can Fidan
  • Nibras Khudaida
Nasrallah
In-Depth Reports
A Strategy to Contain Hezbollah:
Ideas and Recommendations
Since securing a parliamentary majority, the group has consistently prioritized its own interests over those of the Lebanese people through practices such as illicit drug production, sex trafficking, and the buildup of its military arsenal.
Aug 24, 2021
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Militia with 23mm driving west outside IZ, May 26, 2021
Articles & Testimony
After Afghanistan, Iraqis Fear They Could Be Next
Similarities between the two cases include heavy patronage politics and militia intimidation, but Baghdad has advantages that could help it avoid Kabul’s fate.
Aug 19, 2021
◆
  • Bilal Wahab
The Taliban flag on display in Kabul, Afghanistan
Brief Analysis
Return of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan: The Jihadist State of Play
Regardless of the Taliban’s promises to keep foreign terrorist elements in check, its victory is already boosting elements within the jihadist movement and may once again spur foreign fighter traffic to Afghanistan.
Aug 18, 2021
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
UN Session on GERD Dispute Strains Egypt-Russia Relations
Moscow is keen on courting Ethiopia, and Cairo is beginning to realize its partner’s limitations, yet the two governments will nevertheless continue cooperating on hot-button issues like weapons procurement.
Aug 17, 2021
◆
  • Haisam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
Jihadi Schadenfreude Over al-Nahdah in Tunisia
Whether or not Tunis repeats its past security mistakes, al-Qaeda and the Islamic State may see the president’s destabilizing power move as an opportunity to prod the government’s capabilities.
Aug 12, 2021
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Flag of the Syrian Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)
Brief Analysis
From Global Jihad to Local Regime: HTS Builds Different Forms of Legitimacy
Ironically, the Syrian jihadist group now acts much like a typical Middle Eastern regime, from the way it mobilizes local support to the abuses it commits against those who oppose its rule.
Aug 6, 2021
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Russia and Iran Are Supporting Assad’s Latest Attack on Deraa
The actions of Moscow and Tehran’s local forces say much about each country’s true intentions in the area, and the most immediate result could be more ethnic cleansing.
Aug 5, 2021
◆
  • Oula A. Alrifai
Articles & Testimony
Tunisia’s Crisis Couldn’t Come at a Worse Time—for Libya
If Libya rushes to elections without resolving its long list of contested constitutional issues, it risks creating a more dangerous form of the legitimacy crisis currently unfolding next door.
Jul 29, 2021
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Assessing Lebanon’s Political Paralysis, Economic Crisis, and Challenges for U.S. Policy
A former assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern affairs diagnoses the country's incapacitated institutions and prescribes remedies for its entrenched corruption and Iranian/Hezbollah domination.
Jul 29, 2021
◆
  • David Schenker
Russian soldiers in Syria
Brief Analysis
Iran and Russia Are Exploiting America’s Absence in Northeast Syria
By redeploying their military and proxy forces, boosting Assad’s political campaigns, and resorting to various local intimidation tactics, the two countries are increasingly working together on establishing full control in Deir al-Zour.
Jul 29, 2021
◆
  • Oula A. Alrifai
  • Ali Alleile
Brief Analysis
A Mikati Government Will Not Save Lebanon
Instead of resuming a shell game that the country’s beleaguered people no longer have the luxury to play, Europe and the United States should proceed with additional sanctions against corrupt leaders.
Jul 28, 2021
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Political Crisis in Tunisia: U.S. Response Options
As the fragile Arab democracy faces its most serious test in nearly a decade, Washington should oppose any unconstitutional centralization of power, urge President Saied to clarify his roadmap for ending the impasse, and consider additional economic and medical assistance.
Jul 27, 2021
◆
  • Sarah Feuer

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Supported by the

Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari is the Rosalinde and Arthur Gilbert Foundation Senior Fellow in The Washington Institute's Irwin Levy Family Program on the U.S.-Israel Strategic Relationship.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab was the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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