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Arab & Islamic Politics

Policy Analysis on Arab & Islamic Politics

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Photo of a Syrian soldier clearing landmines in Idlib province.
Video
Brief Analysis
Syria Trip Report: Next Steps for U.S. Policy
Watch or read an in-depth conversation with three experts who have spent weeks on the ground in Syria and met with the interim authorities who toppled the Assad regime.
May 8, 2025
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Caroline Rose
  • Gareth Browne
Hezbollah fighters parade with flags in Lebanon in 2019 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
There Is No Better Time to Disarm Hezbollah
With the group and its Iranian patrons at their weakest point in decades, Beirut has a real opportunity to restore its sovereignty, but waiting for another futile “national dialogue” may close that window.
Apr 23, 2025
◆
  • David Schenker
A member of Jordan's Muslim Brotherhood speaks - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Brotherhood May Have Pushed Jordan Too Far This Time
As revelations continue to unfold about the group’s involvement in militant plots, weapons smuggling, and coordination with foreign accomplices, Amman will likely feel obligated to crack down—the question is how much?
Apr 22, 2025
◆
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Syria's interim president Ahmed al-Sharaa meets with Turkey's president Erdogan in Ankara in 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Between Israel and Turkey, Implications for the New Syria (Part 2)
A former Israeli military official and a Turkey expert discuss what each government wants from Syria, how they can address their most glaring friction points, and what the Trump administration can do to mediate the process.
Apr 10, 2025
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Assaf Orion
Photo of an Israeli tank crossing the Golan ceasefire line with Syria, December 2024.
Video
Brief Analysis
Between Israel and Turkey, Implications for the New Syria (Part 1)
A regional media bureau chief explains how continued Israeli military incursions in Syria are complicating efforts to stabilize the country, and why multilateral foreign assistance is a must.
Apr 10, 2025
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  • Maya Gebeily
Fighters of Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), walk together near Baghouz, Deir Al Zor province - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Facilitating the New SDF Agreement Is Key to Stabilizing Syria
The Kurdish-led group has reached important understandings with the new leadership in Damascus, but finalizing and implementing them while resolving points of contention will require further help from the United States and its partners.
Apr 2, 2025
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  • Wladimir van Wilgenburg
The Syria Breakdown Series Title Card
Video
Articles & Testimony
Hope for al-Hol? The Syria Breakdown, Episode Six
Does Syria's transition away from Assad regime tyranny offer hope for closing detention camps, which have been home to thousands of internally displaced persons and Islamic State supporters?
Mar 13, 2025
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  • Devorah Margolin
◆ The Syria Breakdown
Syria's interim leader, Ahmed al-Sharaa, addresses soldiers loyal to the new regime - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Enough with the Hand-Wringing: Al-Sharaa Is Better Than Assad
Despite well-founded worries about the rise of an Islamist government in Syria, the new rulers cannot be any worse than the previous regime—especially now that they are largely disarmed and disinclined to partner with U.S. adversaries like Iran and Russia.
Mar 11, 2025
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  • David Schenker
A Syrian man points at bullet holes in a window of a hospital in Jableh town, 25 km south of Latakia, following a spate of violence between Syrian security forces and insurgents loyal to deposed president Bashar al-Assad - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Transitional Honeymoon Is Over After Massacres and Disinformation
Amid mounting civilian deaths and rampant disinformation, the conduct of Syria’s fact-finding committee will either make or break the new government’s legitimacy and the prospects for a stable transition.
Mar 10, 2025
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Voluntary Refugee Resettlement: A Possible Solution to Clashing Visions for Gaza Reconstruction
Refocusing postwar plans on this concept could result in 40 percent or more of Gaza’s population leaving of their own accord—a prospect that should spur U.S. and Arab leaders to reconcile their differing proposals and expedite their preparations for reconstruction.
Mar 7, 2025
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  • Robert Satloff
Map of Syria, sanctions "tape," new Syrian flag, Bashar al-Assad, Ahmed al-Sharaa (Muhammad al-Jolani)
In-Depth Reports
Navigating the Syria Sanctions Conundrum
Washington should act quickly to facilitate transactions for key sectors such as electricity, food, and rubble removal, lest public discontent lead to widespread protests and possibly government collapse.
Mar 5, 2025
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  • Matthew Levitt
Syria's Minister of Foreign Affairs Asaad Hassan al-Shaibani speaks during a meeting with Syrian diaspora after the International Conference on Syria in Paris on February 13, 2025 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Post-Paris Steps in Syria Could Be Decisive
With the clock ticking on the post-Assad honeymoon period, Washington still has time to acknowledge the realities on the ground by providing crucial U.S. know-how and strategic support to the international aid, recovery, and counterterrorism missions.
Feb 28, 2025
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Two Arab Summits Hold the Key to a Viable Gaza Plan
Under heavy pressure from the Trump administration, the Arab states with the most to gain—and lose—in Gaza should be spending the next two weeks doing everything they can to reach consensus on bold, concrete counter-proposals.
Feb 19, 2025
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  • David Schenker
  • Ghaith al-Omari
A Syrian woman holds a portrait of her missing son during a protest against the Assad regime in 2012 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Models for Transitional Justice in Syria
Post-regime experiences in Iraq, Tunisia, and Libya can help officials avoid the same mistakes in Syria, from over-empowering unaccountable armed groups to delaying judicial reform and economic improvements.
Feb 18, 2025
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  • Mieczyslaw Boduszynski
  • Sabina Henneberg
A general view of Lebanon's Government Palace in Beirut, taken in 2023 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Lebanon’s New Government May Walk a Thin Line Between Promises and Compromises
The new cabinet appointments appeared to sideline Hezbollah’s camp, but the group retained control over the crucial Finance Ministry and may find other ways of interfering with security decisions, the reconstruction process, and the next elections.
Feb 12, 2025
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Syria's interim leader, Ahmed al-Sharaa, addresses soldiers loyal to the new regime - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Status of Syria’s Transition After Two Months
While the new government’s relative stability is a success, more details are needed on developing and implementing a national dialogue, a new constitution, and inclusivity measures.
Feb 12, 2025
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
German and French foreign ministers meet with Syria's interim president Ahmed al-Sharaa in Damascus - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Paris Conference on Syria: Coordination and a Roadmap Are Needed
To set up a future where U.S. forces and constant U.S. attention are no longer needed in Syria, Washington must be involved now, and smart transatlantic engagement could facilitate this goal.
Feb 11, 2025
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  • Devorah Margolin
  • Souhire Medini
Trump and Erdogan images with U.S. and Turkish flag
In-Depth Reports
Building on Momentum in U.S.-Turkey Relations
The two leaders can use their personal rapport to solve bilateral and regional problems, but they will also face tough challenges in matters such as the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and dealings with China.
Feb 5, 2025
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  • Soner Cagaptay
◆ Transition Notes 2025
Articles & Testimony
How Hezbollah Ends: A Better Lebanon Is Possible
Weakening Hezbollah permanently will be difficult, but for once the goal is attainable—if Beirut has the courage to keep the group out of Lebanon’s coffers and make the army do its job.
Feb 4, 2025
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
A view of the Palace of Westminister from across the River Thames, with the Victoria Tower and the House of Lords in the foreground - source: Wikimedia Commons
Video
Articles & Testimony
Institute Senior Fellow Elizabeth Dent Addresses U.K. House of Lords Committee
Watch testimony by Institute scholar Elizabeth Dent to the British House of Lords.
Jan 22, 2025
◆
  • Elizabeth Dent

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari is the Rosalinde and Arthur Gilbert Foundation Senior Fellow in The Washington Institute's Irwin Levy Family Program on the U.S.-Israel Strategic Relationship.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab was the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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