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ترکیه

Policy Analysis on ترکیه

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Brief Analysis
Battle for al-Sinaa Prison: The Enduring Islamic State Threat in Syria
The military response to a major prison attack exhibited the strength of the U.S.-SDF partnership, but it also highlighted ongoing counterterrorism shortcomings.
۳۱ ژانویه ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Ido Levy
Brief Analysis
Reality Check for Israel’s Natural Gas Plans
Washington has logical reasons to step away from an undersea pipeline project in the East Mediterranean, though the decision effectively kills Israel’s improbable dream of becoming a significant gas supplier to Europe.
۲۷ ژانویه ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Sailors aboard a Turkish Naval Forces warship - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Will Turkey Help Washington If Russia Invades Ukraine?
Fears of Russian military power may keep Ankara out of the spotlight, but its Black Sea calculations and Crimean Tatar sympathies indicate a willingness to assist behind the scenes if necessary.
۲۶ ژانویه ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Turkish president Erdogan - Source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan’s End Game: Will He Undermine Turkish Democracy to Stay in Power?
The president is very unlikely to win the next election fair and square, so he may well resort to undermining the vote, disregarding the result, or even fomenting a January 6-like insurrection.
۴ ژانویه ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
A Turkish soldier stands guard at a rally. Image source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Turkey vs. the YPG: What’s Next?
As Ankara and Moscow mull a potential exchange of Syria border incursions for Idlib concessions, Erdogan risks endangering his intertwined goals of improving Turkey’s economy and minimizing tensions with Washington.
۱۶ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Helping Syria’s Kurds Weigh Their Options
By reassuring its Kurdish allies via temporary diplomatic, military, and economic measures, Washington can gain greater leverage over Russia and other players at acceptably low risk and cost.
۱۵ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
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  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s F-16 Request May Not Stave Off the Inevitable
Washington and Ankara have significant diplomatic and security incentives for considering the deal, while rejecting it outright would likely hasten Erdogan’s drift into Putin’s orbit.
۲۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Grant Rumley
  • Soner Cagaptay
Muslim Brotherhood supporters in Egypt display the victory and Rabaa signs at a protest
Brief Analysis
The Muslim Brotherhood Sees Cairo’s Flirtation with Biden as an Opportunity
Many Brotherhood members seem eager to exploit recent U.S.-Egyptian gestures on human rights, but there is little likelihood that the Sisi government will reconcile with the fractured, unpopular Islamist group.
۲۷ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Haisam Hassanein
Rouhani, Putin, Erdogan
گزارش‌های تفصیلی
دیپلماسی مثلث‌ها:
تحلیل استراتژی روسیه در سوریه
مسکو بارها بازیگران سوریه را در مقابل هم به بازی گرفته تا منافع خود را تامین کند و رژیم اسد را در قدرت نگهدارد.
۱۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • آنا بورشچفسکایا
  • اندرو جی. تابلر
A US Navy sailor stands in front of a map display of the Mediterranean Sea - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy on the Mediterranean and the Role of PMCs
Although Biden may not see Russia as his top priority, Moscow’s proxy military activities in the Mediterranean are directly aimed at diluting Washington’s leverage in the Middle East, Africa, and Europe.
۱۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
HDP protests, Turkey
Articles & Testimony
What's Happening with the HDP?
Tracking Legislators in Turkey's Liberal, Pro-Kurdish Party
Erdogan knows that a flourishing opposition could mean his political demise.
۲۶ اوت ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Umut Can Fidan
  • Nibras Khudaida
Turkish National Security Council
In-Depth Reports
Deals, Drones, and National Will:
The New Era in Turkish Power Projection
Turkey has recently pushed the PKK fight from its own turf and blunted challenges in northern Syria, Azerbaijan, Libya, and the Gulf, all while strengthening its defense export sector.
۹ ژوئیه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Rich Outzen
Articles & Testimony
When Humanitarian Aid Becomes a Bargaining Chip
Cross-border access into Syria has become a stress test for Putin and Biden’s nascent relationship, so what exactly will it take for their governments to reach a durable agreement?
۱ ژوئیه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Jomana Qaddour
Accidental Allies cover
In-Depth Reports
Accidental Allies:
The US–Syrian Democratic Forces Partnership Against the Islamic State
To some, America's partnership with the SDF exemplified an economy-of-force effort that minimized U.S. casualties and wrested control of northeast Syria from the Islamic State. To others, it was a cautionary tale about a U.S. military hoodwinked into working with a terrorist group.
۲۲ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Brief Analysis
Making Libya’s Berlin Process Work
To break the political deadlock, begin the withdrawal of disruptive foreign forces, and deploy ceasefire monitors, U.S. officials will need to hold some hard conversations with the UN envoy and all of the international and local actors on the ground.
۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Ben Fishman
  • Anas El Gomati
Erdogan pensive
In-Depth Reports
A Sultan in Autumn
Erdogan Faces Turkey's Uncontainable Forces
The unprecedented economic growth and personal popularity once enjoyed by the Turkish leader have given way to stagnation, a dwindling support base, and problems abroad.
۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
President Donald Trump speaks about Syria
Articles & Testimony
The Inside Story of How Trump ‘Kept the Oil’ in Syria and Lost
The ambitious plan would have seen Delta Crescent, a tiny Delaware company, try to bring peace and stability to the war-ravaged northeast, but local corruption, a lack of U.S. commitment, and other complications doomed the idea.
۳۱ مه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Kenneth R. Rosen
Syrian rebel fighters play a board game in a cafe
Brief Analysis
Stalemate in Northeast Syria: Options for Advancing U.S. Interests
In addition to clarifying its intentions and fortifying its presence in the area, the U.S. government needs to increase its focus on stability, security, and economic development.
۲۱ مه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Kenneth R. Rosen
Articles & Testimony
After the Gaza Cease-Fire, What Next?
From calling out Qatar and Turkey to encouraging direct Israeli aid, Washington should pursue bolder initiatives that boost the chances of avoiding bloodshed.
۲۰ مه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • David Pollock
مقاله‌ها و دیدگاه‌ها
بن‌بست در سوریه؛ گزینه‌ای با کمترین عواقب منفی؟
اگر واشنگتن بخواهد صرفا از بدترین نتایج ممکن اجتناب کند، باید «انتخاب مجدد» و قلابی اسد را رد کند و به حمایت از حملات اسرائیل، بقای نیروهای دموکراتیک سوریه، و کمک به پناهندگان ادامه دهد.
۱۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • دیوید پولاک

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