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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
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Brief Analysis
Denial or Punishment? The U.S.-Israel Debate About How Best to Deter Iran
Experience shows that a balanced strategy that blends deterrence by denial and deterrence by punishment can more effectively contain Iran.
۲۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
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Michael Eisenstadt
◆
Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Addressing Human Resource and Development Concerns in Iraq’s Oil and Gas Sector
Many of the necessary reforms start with placing the institution in a competitive position internationally and allowing for decisions that maximize financial returns for the good of the Iraqi people, not individuals hoping to promote their own interests.
۲۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
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Muhammed Abed Mazeel al-Aboudi
Brief Analysis
U.S.-French Cooperation on Preventing an Israel-Hezbollah War
Washington and Paris have been pursuing convergent efforts to avoid all-out war, but more coordination is advisable and seems increasingly likely after the latest escalation.
۲۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
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Selin Uysal
Brief Analysis
The Palestinian Arena in the Shadow of the Iran-Israel Crisis
The crisis has given the United States, Israel, and their partners a unique opportunity to build an international coalition against Iran and show the Palestinians that the “resistance” camp is not their only viable path.
۲۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Neomi Neumann
Devorah Margolin
◆
Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
Brief Analysis
The Malaysia-Iran-Israel Triangle Amid the Gaza War
Kuala Lumpur is once again displaying its willingness to facilitate Iran’s illicit activity, support Hamas, and amplify anti-Israel rhetoric well beyond what its neighbors have countenanced.
۲۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Rebecca Redlich
Brief Analysis
Nuclear Gloss to Pakistan’s Diplomacy with Iran and Saudi Arabia
Multiple high-level visits suggest economic desperation mixed with strategic—and possibly nuclear—opportunism.
۲۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Will Israel Temper Its War on Iran’s Regional Proxies?
Israeli strikes on Hezbollah and other militias in Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq have yielded visible benefits at times, but future operations may elicit a direct Iranian response.
۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
David Schenker
Video
تحلیل کوتاه
لحظه پرمخاطره خاورمیانه: پیامدهای سیاستگذاری و خطرهای تنشافزایی
دو مقام پیشین آمریکایی و اسراییلی و یک کارشناس امنیتی برای بررسی حمله بیسابقه ایران، پاسخ بالقوه اسراییل، و گزینههای ایالات متحده برای جلوگیری از شروع یک جنگ تمام عیار منطقهای گرد هم آمدند.
۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
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دانا استرول
زوهر پالتی
فرزین ندیمی
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Better Plan for Sanctioning Iranian Airlines
Targeting Iran Air’s flights to Europe would help, but the regime’s illicit activities on the continent may simply be taken over by the IRGC-linked carrier Mahan Air unless further designations are issued.
۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
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Babak Taghvaee
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militias Hit Two U.S. Sites in Iraq and Syria
Iran-backed groups have adopted tight message discipline so far, not claiming either of the attacks in order to avoid U.S. retaliation while simultaneously warning Prime Minister Sudani to keep pushing for U.S. withdrawal.
۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
Alex Almeida
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Rise and Fall of the AKP’s Islamist Appeal in Türkiye
Türkiye’s latest elections have allowed the YRP to demonstrate success in certain areas of President Erdogan’s traditional, pious base in Türkiye, emphasizing the waning power of Erdogan’s political message after his shift away from ideologically guided politics.
۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
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Mustafa Gül
Articles & Testimony
China’s Military Objectives and Operational Experience in the Middle East
A security expert provides an in-depth assessment of Beijing’s military activities, funding, and strategic intentions in the region, including recommendations to prevent these efforts from harming U.S. alliances and interests.
۱۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
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Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
Coordinated Iran Sanctions Require Coordinated Enforcement
Following the attack on Israel, world leaders seek to build a coalition of the willing to hold Tehran accountable for its malign activities—though sanctions won’t have their intended effect unless partners cooperate on robust enforcement as well.
۱۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Russian-Iranian Cooperation and Threats to U.S. Interests
A former senior Pentagon official assesses how the growing alliance between the two regimes could create problems on multiple fronts, from exchanging know-how on U.S. defense technology to facilitating nuclear proliferation, sanctions evasion, and domestic oppression.
۱۷ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
China’s Response to Iran’s Attack Is an Opportunity for Washington
U.S. officials should remind their partners abroad that Beijing’s support for Tehran is jeopardizing regional stability.
۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
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Grant Rumley
Rebecca Redlich
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah Is Part of Iraq’s PMF
The U.S.-designated terrorist group is the most significant player in the Popular Mobilization Forces, which is supposed to be under the command of Prime Minister Sudani—a fact that U.S. officials sometimes forget.
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Arab Tribal and Clan Forces
A newer unit of Arab militiamen in Syria, raised by pro-Assad figure Ibrahim al-Hifl to form an unbroken corridor of Iran-backed tribal fighters between Deir al-Zour and Aleppo.
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Abdullah Hayek
Kyle Robertson
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
Profile: Lions of the Ougaidat Brigade
A Syrian Arab tribal militia directly operated by Iran's IRGC and tasked with fighting the Kurdish-led SDF east of the Euphrates.
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Abdullah Hayek
Kyle Robertson
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Brief Analysis
What Biden and Sudani Need to Start the Next Chapter of U.S.-Iraq Relations
To move beyond the years-long focus on Iran and the Islamic State, both leaders must commit to actions that set the table for a mutually beneficial relationship and convince skeptical domestic constituencies.
۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Dana Stroul
Bilal Wahab
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Islamic Resistance in Iraq and Sabereen Highlight Anti-Israel Cruise Missile Strikes
IRI is making up for its inability to strike U.S. sites by making louder claims of more sophisticated attacks on Israel, and Sabereen News seems freer to amplify these claims.
۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Ameer al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
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