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Brief Analysis
Recognizing Somaliland: Israel’s Return to the Red Sea
Israel’s agreement with Somaliland will boost its security in the Red Sea Basin and may encourage the United States and other countries to follow suit, though political obstacles and complications abound.
۱۶ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
Ehud Yaari
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran Endgame? Protests, Repression, and the Trump Administration
Three experts discuss the rapidly changing situation in Iran, including the status of opposition elements on the ground, the U.S. interests at play in the crisis, and Washington’s policy options for bolstering both.
۱۶ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
Holly Dagres
Michael Eisenstadt
Richard Nephew
Brief Analysis
As Hezbollah Nervously Watches Iran, Washington Should Double Down on Disarmament
The possibility that its Iranian patron may be toppled is stoking Hezbollah’s existential fears, giving U.S. officials an opening to step up the pressure on Beirut, accelerate the disarmament process, and stave off looming Israeli escalation.
۱۶ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The SDF’s Approach to Integration Talks in Syria and the Risk of Expanded Conflict
Recent clashes between Damascus and the Kurdish forces in Aleppo highlight the risk that stalling integration talks may trigger broader violence.
۱۵ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Brief Analysis
Why the United States Must Maintain Its International Counterterrorism Leadership Role
With revised U.S. and UN strategy documents in the works, the Trump administration needs to reaffirm America's role in shaping the counterterrorism agenda—and multilateral organizations are indispensable to this effort.
۱۴ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
Michael Jacobson
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Regime Has Already Lost Its Most Potent Weapon
As protests grow, regime leaders have no clear options for scaring Iranians off the streets, intimidating foreign powers, or escaping their wider strategic crisis.
۱۴ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
Michael Singh
Video
Brief Analysis
Crisis Diplomacy in the Middle East: Insights from the Bush, Obama, Trump, and Biden Teams
Watch video or read a summary of a special book launch event featuring a former secretary of defense and other veteran officials discussing the lessons learned from decades of American diplomacy and military efforts in the Middle East.
Jan 15, 2026
◆
Lloyd J. Austin III
James Jeffrey
Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
Iran 1978: Hindsight Is a Wonderful Thing
Firsthand recollections of how the Islamic Revolution progressed on the ground raise questions about the current protest movement’s prospects for success.
۱۳ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran at a Watershed Moment? The Case for Meaningful U.S. Action
Acting now offers the best chance to halt atrocities and shape a peaceful transition, while waiting would only ensure that the next phase of the crisis is bloodier for Iranians, more dangerous for the region, and more difficult to influence.
۱۳ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Teetering. The West Isn’t Prepared.
To avoid being caught flat-footed, Western governments must begin policy planning for the destabilizing waves that could accompany regime collapse while urgently restoring support for programs focused on internet freedom, human rights, and similar areas.
Jan 10, 2026
◆
Holly Dagres
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran-Linked Tanker Delivers Russian Crude to Syria: Assessing the Risks
The incident points to the myriad ways that U.S. adversaries might exploit Moscow’s efforts to claim a permanent stake in Syria’s needy postwar energy sector.
۹ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
Noam Raydan
Articles & Testimony
Prospects for Syria-Israel Relations
Israel may believe the tense status quo is sustainable, but Washington is frustrated about the potential implications for Arab normalization, Turkish military friction, and near-term economic plans.
January 2026
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Building on Egypt and Israel’s Uneasy Gas Deal
Israel’s approval of the delayed export agreement is a welcome development, but U.S. officials should view it as the start, not the end, of efforts to ease tensions between two key peace partners.
۶ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
David Schenker
Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Middle East Crises: Expeditionary Diplomacy with the Bush, Obama, and Trump Teams
A veteran American diplomat offers a compelling, first-hand account of U.S. foreign policy and crisis management in the Middle East from 2004 to 2020.
۳۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
James Jeffrey
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Don’t Be Deceived by Reported Electoral Turnout: Analyzing Iraq’s Elections by the Numbers
By comparing the outcome of Iraq's recent elections with the country's demographic trends, a clear difference emerges between the proportion of Iraqis whose votes are represented in the new parliament and the Iraqi population writ large.
۳۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
Munqith Dagher
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Failing Eastward Pivot? The Limits and Risks of Russia-China Alignment
Since the June war, Tehran has hastily doubled down on Russian and Chinese partnerships to weather sanctions and deter future attacks, but Moscow and Beijing are hesitant to invest deeply in return—and Washington should make sure they stay that way.
۳۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Video
Brief Analysis
Lebanon's Outlook on Sovereignty, Disarmament, and Peace
A Discussion with Foreign Minister Youssef Raggi
Watch video or read a summary of the minister’s observations on a multitude of crucial issues, from Hezbollah disarmament and long-term Israeli peace to relations with Iran, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Turkey.
۲۹ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
Youssef Raggi
Articles & Testimony
Who Won the War?
Defining victory in Gaza is hardly simple when Hamas is still armed, ruling nearly half the Strip, and flush with significant diplomatic achievements.
۲۸ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Tunisia’s Underdevelopment Problem
Democratic backsliding, sluggish trade reforms, and other maladies have left the country's ports insufficiently attractive to investment heavyweights like the United States and China.
Dec 24, 2025
◆
Sabina Henneberg
In-Depth Reports
The Hamas-Israel War: An Early Assessment
Despite rhetoric to the contrary, neither side can claim a decisive win, and an uneasy status quo could persist as long as Trump, the ceasefire guarantors, and Israeli leaders keep a lid on their frustrations.
۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
Robert Satloff
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