رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

Policy Analysis on رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

Close-up photo of Chinese leader Xi and Russian leader Putin.

Great Power Competition During (and After) the Iran War

Three experts examine how Moscow, Beijing, and European capitals are navigating the crisis and what their choices reveal about the future of the global order.

۱۹ مارس ۲۰۲۶

◆

Anna Borshchevskaya
Souhire Medini
Henry Tugendhat
Grant Rumley

The national flags of China and Iran fly in Tiananmen Square during Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi's visit to Beijing, China, February 14, 2023 - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

How China Could Shorten Iran’s Path to Military Recovery After the War

Beijing has been mostly talk and little walk so far, but once the war ends, it may decide to help Tehran rebuild militarily in return for oil.

۱۷ مارس ۲۰۲۶

◆

Assaf Orion

Photo showing Ukraine's President Zelensky greeting Saudi officials on the tarmac.

Brief Analysis

Washington Should Jump on Ukraine’s Outreach to the Middle East

By offering military expertise and technology to the Gulf states, Kyiv has given the U.S. government a unique opportunity to counter Iran and Russia while boosting the security of American partners and forces in the region.

۱۳ مارس ۲۰۲۶

◆

Anna Borshchevskaya
Matt Tavares

Brief Analysis

How Russia Benefits from Oil Disruption in the Gulf

The de facto halt to Gulf oil shipments has already helped Moscow win back India as a major oil customer, while the rise in global prices could greatly refresh its depleted Ukraine war budget.

۱۱ مارس ۲۰۲۶

◆

Noam Raydan
Anna Borshchevskaya

Articles & Testimony

The Middle East’s “1919” Moment

If the Iranian threat to the Middle East is brought to an end, the loose alliance of actors who have long sought this outcome must manage their differences to avoid the regional mistakes made after World War I.

۱۰ مارس ۲۰۲۶

◆

James Jeffrey

Wang Yi, director of China's Office of the Central Foreign Affairs Commission, Ali Shamkhani, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, and Minister of State and national security adviser of Saudi Arabia Musaad bin Mohammed Al Aiban shake hands in Beijing in March 2023 - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

China’s Middle East Ties Go Far Beyond Iran

Beijing is just as concerned about its Gulf partners as it is about China’s “old friends” in Tehran.

۱۰ مارس ۲۰۲۶

◆

Henry Tugendhat

Brief Analysis

Great Power Spillover from the Iran War: Implications for China, Russia, Turkey, and Europe

Washington Institute experts explain what U.S. officials and military planners should be on the lookout for as great power competitors and close allies outside the region consider their responses to the crisis.

۶ مارس ۲۰۲۶

◆

Grant Rumley
Henry Tugendhat
Anna Borshchevskaya
Soner Cagaptay
Souhire Medini

Articles & Testimony

In the Middle East, Chaos Is Putin’s New Ally

Putin has been using his position in the region to chip away at Russia’s isolation during the Ukraine war, and another Middle East regime change won’t do much to change that strategy.

۵ مارس ۲۰۲۶

◆

Anna Borshchevskaya

Video

Brief Analysis

Ukraine Diplomacy and the Middle East: A Conversation with Former Special Envoy Keith Kellogg

Join us for a special conversation with the former top U.S. envoy for Ukraine. This event has been postponed.

This event has been postponed.

◆

Keith Kellogg
Anna Borshchevskaya
Matt Tavares

The White House photographed from behind a chain-link fence - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

America the Fearful: Visions of Decline Are a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy

President Trump’s recent military adventures seem driven less by confidence and canny strategy than by fear of America losing status on the world stage, including in the Middle East.

۱۱ فوریه ۲۰۲۶

◆

Michael Singh

Presidents Erdogan of Turkey and Xi of China meet in Beijing - source: Reuters

Brief Analysis

Throwing Water on Turkey’s Warming Ties with China

Concerns about the Uyghur file, investment risks, and other issues are still constraining the relationship to a certain extent, but fortifying those restraints will require Washington to exert further leverage on several fronts.

۵ فوریه ۲۰۲۶

◆

Soner Cagaptay
Ela Peterson

The Ford House Office Building in Washington, DC - source: Architect of the Capitol

Video

Articles & Testimony

Securing Syria’s Transformation by Diminishing Russia’s Influence

Russia has been quietly reconsolidating its military patronage, energy ties, and future business prospects in Syria for more than a year, but Washington has multiple options for countering Moscow’s long game.

۳ فوریه ۲۰۲۶

◆

Anna Borshchevskaya

Montage: Presidents Sisi (Egypt) and Putin (Russia) at the 2024 BRICS summit; a woman holds a Russian flag in Istanbul; a Russia House cultural center in Syria; a map image superimposing Russian flag over Africa/Middle East.

Maps & Graphics

In-Depth Reports

After Ukraine:

Prospects for a Russian Resurgence in the Middle East

Moscow has cultivated ties with U.S. adversaries and allies alike, and Washington must respond by advancing a holistic policy that empowers Ukrainian commercial interests and addresses deficits in sanctions policy.

۲۳ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶

◆

Anna Borshchevskaya
Matt Tavares

Russian President Vladimi Putin tours an exhibit of Tsarist weapons on display in the UAE in 2007 - source: Reuteurs

Articles & Testimony

Russia’s New Middle East Strategy

Moscow has certainly not left the Middle East playing field, and many countries will continue expanding their Russian ties unless Washington convinces them there are better options.

۲۲ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶

◆

Anna Borshchevskaya
Matt Tavares

Brief Analysis

Why the United States Must Maintain Its International Counterterrorism Leadership Role

With revised U.S. and UN strategy documents in the works, the Trump administration needs to reaffirm America's role in shaping the counterterrorism agenda—and multilateral organizations are indispensable to this effort.

۱۴ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶

◆

Michael Jacobson
Matthew Levitt

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Iran-Linked Tanker Delivers Russian Crude to Syria: Assessing the Risks

The incident points to the myriad ways that U.S. adversaries might exploit Moscow’s efforts to claim a permanent stake in Syria’s needy postwar energy sector.

۹ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶

◆

Noam Raydan

Russian President Vladimir Putin meets Chinese President Xi Jinping at a summit in Beijing - source: Reuters

Brief Analysis

Iran’s Failing Eastward Pivot? The Limits and Risks of Russia-China Alignment

Since the June war, Tehran has hastily doubled down on Russian and Chinese partnerships to weather sanctions and deter future attacks, but Moscow and Beijing are hesitant to invest deeply in return—and Washington should make sure they stay that way.

۳۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵

◆

Farzin Nadimi

A Tunisian flag flies at the port of Bizerte - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

Tunisia’s Underdevelopment Problem

Democratic backsliding, sluggish trade reforms, and other maladies have left the country's ports insufficiently attractive to investment heavyweights like the United States and China.

Dec 24, 2025

◆

Sabina Henneberg

A model of a B-2 stealth bomber sits next to legislation on the president's Oval Office desk - source: The White House

Brief Analysis

Closing the Regulatory Gap in Trump’s Middle East Strategy

The success of the administration’s new approach hinges on updating U.S. government tools and structures needed to fuel its ambitions and manage the associated strategic risks.

۱۶ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵

◆

Elizabeth Dent
Dennis Ross

A Russian crude oil tanker transits the Bosphorus in Istanbul, Turkey, in 2024 - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

America’s Toothless Sanctions on Russian Oil

Moscow won’t feel the pain as long as China keeps buying, but Washington can change Beijing’s calculus by threatening to block access to the U.S. financial system.

۲۴ نوامبر ۲۰۲۵

◆

Erica Downs
Richard Nephew

Supported by the

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East focuses on the region as a setting for heightened competition between the United States and other world powers, such as China and Russia.

Never miss a breaking event on U.S. policy interests in the Middle East. Customize your subscription to our expert analysis, op-eds, live events, and special reports.

Featured experts

گرانت راملی

گرانت راملی هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن و مشاور سابق سیاست‌گذاری خاورمیانه در دفتر وزیر دفاع است.

آنا بورشچفسکایا

آنا بورشچِفسکایا هموند ارشد انستیتو واشگنتن برای سیاست شرق نزدیک و هموند «بنیاد اروپایی دموکراسی» است. او قبلا با «شورای آتلانتیک» و «انستیتو پیترسون برای اقتصاد بین‌المللی»، و نیز به عنوان تحلیلگر برای یک پیمانکار نظامی آمریکایی در افغانستان کار کرده است.

مایکل سینگ

مایکل سینگ هموند پژوهشی ارشد لین-سویگ (Lane-Swig) و مدیرعامل انستیتو واشنگتن ‌است

Henry Tugendhat

Henry Tugendhat is a Soref Fellow in the Institute's Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great-Power Competition and the Middle East.

منطقه‌ها و کشورها

موضوع

رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

Policy Analysis on رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

Featured experts

منطقه‌ها و کشورها

موضوع

رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

Policy Analysis on رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

Sign Up for Email Updates from The Washington Institute

Featured experts