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رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

Policy Analysis on رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

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Photo of computer servers in a data center.
Brief Analysis
Saudi AI Ambitions Create a U.S. Opening
Given the kingdom’s simultaneous push for more technological autonomy and more American business deals, Washington should seek deeper—but conditional—cooperation that is closely tied to the broader strategic partnership.
۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Elizabeth Dent
Photo of a probe testing an indium-based quantum sensor.
Articles & Testimony
China Isn’t Scared of Trump’s Squeeze on Iran
U.S. officials have demurred when asked about targeting Tehran’s most crucial Chinese lifelines, and Beijing has plenty of trade and export leverage to continue deterring Washington.
۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Henry Tugendhat
  • Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
Xi’s Carefully Calibrated Egypt Trip
The visit will probably confirm the growth trend in Egypt and China’s economic, technological, and perhaps even defense relations, though Cairo is unlikely to get the help it wants on regional security threats posed by Iran and the Houthis.
۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Shivane Anand
  • Grant Rumley
Houthi drone aircraft on display in Yemen - source: Reuters
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Helping the Gulf and Ukraine Build Their Counter-Drone Partnership
Ukrainian cooperation with Gulf states on drone and counter-drone technologies is expanding as they contend with similar threats and concerns, so Washington should do whatever it can to enable and coordinate this growth.
۲۸ اوت ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Elizabeth Dent
  • Matthew Tavares
Photo showing Taliban fighters outside Kabul Airport, August 2021.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Five Years of Taliban Diplomacy: Recognition Without Concessions
The Taliban has learned that it can reap substantial international rewards without budging on key security and human rights issues, but Washington can still exert pressure on crucial soft spots such as UN credentialing, Treasury Department licensing, and Central Asian project financing.
۱۸ اوت ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
A man holds his child and a flag of the new Syrian regime in Damascus after the fall of the Assad government in 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
A Visit to a Syria Reborn
The author’s return to a post-Assad Syria revealed grounds for hope—but also sobering reminders of how far the country has to go in shoring up its economy, governance, and internal security.
۱۷ اوت ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Russia Is Not Leaving Syria
While it no longer enjoys primacy in Damascus, the Kremlin has proven itself able to adapt to the new reality, and Washington must play the long game in response.
۲۷ ژوئیه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Montage: Presidents Sisi (Egypt) and Putin (Russia) at the 2024 BRICS summit; a woman holds a Russian flag in Istanbul; a Russia House cultural center in Syria; a map image superimposing Russian flag over Africa/Middle East.
Video
Brief Analysis
Russia, the Iran War, and the Middle East
Former senior U.S. defense officials join a Russia expert to discuss how the Iran crisis is shaping Moscow’s military, political, and economic ambitions in the region.
۱۰ ژوئیه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Keith Kellogg
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Matthew Tavares
A phosphate mine in Morocco - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Phosphate Pivot: Why Morocco and Tunisia Matter to U.S. Food Security
The Maghreb can help counter China’s growing pressure on “critical” fertilizer supply chains, particularly if Washington focuses on mutually beneficial economic partnerships rather than democratic conditionality alone.
Summer 2026
◆
  • Ghazi Ben Ahmed
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Mohsine El Ahmadi
A Russian soldier and flag
Articles & Testimony
Moscow and the Middle East
Whatever course Iran and the wider Middle East may take following the war, Russia is well positioned for the aftermath.
Summer 2026
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
France's President Macron greets the UAE's President Mohamed bin Zayed at the 2026 G-7 summit - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
An Emerging International Partnership Is Succeeding
By incorporating Ukraine and other like-minded states from the Middle East and Asia, the G7 Summit highlighted the net progress made on countering Iranian, Russian, and Chinese threats to the American-led global security and economic system.
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Egyptian troops cross a makeshift bridge over the Suez Canal in 1956 - source: Wikimedia Commons
Articles & Testimony
Is Iran America’s Suez Crisis? Not to Xi Jinping
Some may read Xi’s approach as a strategy to make America expend its strength far from Chinese shores, but Beijing increasingly looks more like a regional power than a global superpower.
۲۶ مه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Michael Singh
Turkish president Erdogan at NATO headquarters in Brussels
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Limited Role in the Iran War
Power parity informs the view from Ankara, which has a strong interest in preventing Iran from going nuclear or alternatively falling into chaos—even as the war’s outcome will be largely outside Turkish control.
۲۶ مه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Drone Strategy (Part 2): Preventing Postwar Rebuilding and Advancements
Tehran’s drone ecosystem has been hit hard, but not at its roots—with help from Russia and China, the regime could restore many of the program’s capabilities within months while steadily working toward more dangerous next-generation models.
۲۲ مه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Chinese president Xi walks with U.S. president Trump in Beijing in 2017 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Trump’s China Trip: Implications for the Middle East and Beyond
The first presidential visit to China in nearly a decade will cover trade, technology, and a range of other bilateral topics, including frank conversations on Middle East subjects such as Beijing’s support to Iran and the wider global repercussions of the Strait of Hormuz crisis.
۱۳ مه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Grant Rumley
  • Henry Tugendhat
  • Elizabeth Dent
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Souhire Medini
The national flags of China and Iran fly in Tiananmen Square during Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi's visit to Beijing, China, February 14, 2023 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Is There a China Strategy Behind the Iran War?
The Trump administration’s inconsistent China policy is undermining efforts to parlay the conflict into a geopolitical win.
۴ مه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Michael Sobolik
  • Grant Rumley
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi greets Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov and Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi in Beijing in March 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Wartime Support to Iran: Implications for the Middle East and Beyond
Three experts explore the regional and global implications of Russian and Chinese support for Tehran, including how much this assistance actually affects U.S. efforts to weaken the regime’s capabilities and bring the crisis to an end.
۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Hasan Alhasan
  • Nicole Grajewski
  • Matthew Tavares
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Support for Russia and Lessons Learned from Ukraine
By taking urgent steps to institutionalize the wartime partnerships formed with (and between) Ukraine, the Gulf states, and Syria, Congress can strike heavy long-term blows against hostile Russian influence in the Middle East.
۲۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Russian President Vladimir Putin meets Chinese President Xi Jinping at a summit in Beijing - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Tracking Chinese and Russian Statements on the Iran War
A regularly updated compendium of Beijing and Moscow’s reactions to the fighting in Iran, Lebanon, and beyond, including analysis of the similarities and differences in their respective diplomatic approaches to the crisis.
April 2026
◆
  • Grant Rumley
  • Shivane Anand
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East After the Iran War: Lessons and Outcomes
However the conflict ends, it has already delivered pivotal lessons on U.S. military innovation and political strategy, the continued dominance of hydrocarbons, the future posture of regional and external powers, and more.
Mar 2026
◆
  • James Jeffrey

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Supported by the

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East focuses on the region as a setting for heightened competition between the United States and other world powers, such as China and Russia.

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Featured experts

Grant Rumley
گرانت راملی
گرانت راملی هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن و مشاور سابق سیاست‌گذاری خاورمیانه در دفتر وزیر دفاع است.
Anna Borshchevskaya
آنا بورشچفسکایا

آنا بورشچِفسکایا هموند ارشد انستیتو واشگنتن برای سیاست شرق نزدیک و هموند «بنیاد اروپایی دموکراسی» است. او قبلا با «شورای آتلانتیک» و «انستیتو پیترسون برای اقتصاد بین‌المللی»، و نیز به عنوان تحلیلگر برای یک پیمانکار نظامی آمریکایی در افغانستان کار کرده است.

Michael Singh
مایکل سینگ
مایکل سینگ هموند پژوهشی ارشد لین-سویگ (Lane-Swig) و مدیرعامل انستیتو واشنگتن ‌است
Henry Tugendhat
Henry Tugendhat
Henry Tugendhat is a Senior Fellow in the Institute's Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great-Power Competition and the Middle East.
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