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رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

Policy Analysis on رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

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Israeli Prime Minister Golda Meir meets with U.S. President Richard Nixon and Secretary of State Henry Kissinger at the White House in 1973. Source: Library of Congress
Articles & Testimony
A Tormented Search for Balance
A powerful new documentary on Henry Kissinger would have benefited much from a deeper assessment of how his overarching foreign policy strategy affected generation-spanning conflicts in the Middle East, Asia, and elsewhere.
November 2025
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Newspapers at a shop in Tehran display headlines about the China-brokered Iran-Saudi deal in March 2023 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
China’s Global Initiatives Are Worth Taking Seriously
Beijing’s latest policy initiative is vague, but this same quality could yield diplomatic clout and unite countries whose interests may otherwise diverge from China’s.
۳۰ اکتبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Henry Tugendhat
Articles & Testimony
The Window to Counter Russia in Syria Is Closing
By enticing Damascus with “no strings attached” deals, Moscow is once again trying to use Syria as a long-term strategic cudgel against U.S. interests, making it all the more urgent for Western governments to make fuller use of their current economic leverage.
۲۰ اکتبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
China’s Push for Satellite Cooperation in the Middle East
By investing in relationships with scientists in the region, Beijing is seeking to fortify its own BeiDou system and drive growth, offering potential lessons for Washington.
۲۰ اکتبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Henry Tugendhat
Ships of the US Navy's Fifth Fleet on exercise in the Persian Gulf
Articles & Testimony
No Real Alternative: Why the Gulf Will Rely on the U.S.
Gulf leaders know that neither China, Russia, nor a “Mideast NATO” can replace the scale, capability, and strategic commitments that Washington brings, though they are still looking to recalibrate the partnership somewhat following Israel’s Qatar strike.
October 2025
◆
  • James Jeffrey
  • Elizabeth Dent
A worker inspects oil pipes near Turkey's Mediterranean Coast - source: Reuters
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How Renewed Oil Flows from the ITP Could Benefit U.S.-Iraq-Turkey Relations
The potential economic and strategic benefits of reopening the northern Iraqi pipeline are clear, but the agreement still faces bureaucratic, political, and security challenges before exports can resume in earnest.
۷ اکتبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Noam Raydan
  • Soner Cagaptay
Russian fighters with the Wagner Group pay tribute to colleagues killed in Mali in 2023 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
External Non-State Actors as a Source of Instability in West Africa: Hezbollah and Wagner/Africa Corps
An in-depth report on the corrosive role that Russian and Hezbollah elements are playing in Mali, Burkina Faso, Cote d’Ivoire, and other West African states.
October 2025
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • John Lechner
Turkish President Erdogan at a summit with Russian President Putin in Sochi in 2021 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Erdogan vs. the CHP: What’s Next in Turkey’s Political Battle?
The Turkish president has shown he will use harsh tactics to suppress the popular opposition party, but his future decisions could still be swayed by domestic protests, economic factors, and geopolitics.
۲۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How Washington’s Drone Policy Is Catching Up to Reality
To balance competition and global responsibility, the Trump administration should combine its welcome reinterpretation of the MTCR with updated nonproliferation standards and robust safeguards.
Sep 16, 2025
◆
  • Elizabeth Dent
  • Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
What Russian Oil Flows Reveal About Syria and Lebanon’s Energy Sectors
Greater U.S. attention to oil and trade dynamics in Syria and Lebanon can help prevent adversarial states like Russia and illicit networks from exploiting weaknesses there.
۱۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Noam Raydan
Men stand next to exhibits at the International Defence Exhibition in Abu Dhabi - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Arms Sales and the Middle East: Another Arena for Great Power Competition?
Security experts discuss Russia and China’s varying approaches to expanding their weapons exports and broader influence in the region and beyond.
۱۵ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Samuel Bendett
  • Ionela Ciolan
  • Laura Cressey
  • Jake Rinaldi
Articles & Testimony
Freedom of Religion in Turkey: Foreign Policy Implications
The director of the Institute’s Turkish Research Program testifies on why Ankara remains vitally important to U.S. policy in the Middle East and the great power arena despite its major domestic shifts in mosque-state relations under President Erdogan.
۱۴ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Montage within Saudi Arabia map, including Muhammad bin Salman, Ahmed al-Sharaa, Trump, others.
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Saudi Public Opinion in a Changing Middle East:
Great Powers, the Gaza War, Pathways for the Kingdom
China and Russia get higher marks than the United States, and Israel normalization is on hold—but respondents view Hamas negatively, want Arab involvement in the peace process, and increasingly support moderate interpretations of Islam.
۱۳ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Catherine Cleveland
Articles & Testimony
In Tunisia, U.S. Tariffs Will Be Felt Across Many Fronts
For producers, the main concern is not lost revenue or market share but instead damage to relationships they have worked hard to cultivate.
۵ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
Iranian and Russian flags on a table
Brief Analysis
Exploiting Fault Lines in Iran’s Relations with Russia and China After the Israel War
The Israeli and U.S. military campaigns revealed how far Moscow and Beijing are willing to go (or not go) in their support for Tehran, providing Washington with opportunities to keep Iran in a weakened position.
۱ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Grant Rumley
The national flags of China and Iran fly in Tiananmen Square during Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi's visit to Beijing, China, February 14, 2023 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Tehran’s Wake Up Call for Beijing
The military clash over Iran's nuclear program confirmed what Chinese strategists have long preached: in great-power contests, hard power decides outcomes.
۳۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Grant Rumley
  • Craig Singleton
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi greets Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov and Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi in Beijing in March 2025 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Big Mistake the West Is Making About Russia, China, and Iran
The axis hasn’t fallen apart—if anything, these countries appear willing to work together even more closely now than before the Iran-Israel war.
۳۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
For the UK Government, It Is Time to Take State-Sponsored Assassinations Seriously
The Iranian and Russian regimes have used a wide mix of tactics and operatives to strike at dissidents and other targets in the West, and thwarting them will require more intensive efforts on multiple fronts.
۲۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Kiril Avramov
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Luca Trenta
U.S. flag and Algerian flag; silhouettes of oil rig, migrant families
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Strategic U.S. Engagement with Algeria:
A Pathway amid Shifting Global Dynamics
Washington should help Algiers embrace greater openness, both to promote stability in North Africa and to advance U.S. interests like counterterrorism and economic competition with China.
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
Articles & Testimony
Why Putin Won’t Come to Iran’s Rescue Against Israel
Although Tehran’s current vulnerability presents important opportunities to counter Russia’s strategic ambitions, Moscow has long retained its influence in the region by purposefully avoiding overcommitment to any one partner.
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya

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Supported by the

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East focuses on the region as a setting for heightened competition between the United States and other world powers, such as China and Russia.

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Featured experts

Grant Rumley
گرانت راملی
گرانت راملی هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن و مشاور سابق سیاست‌گذاری خاورمیانه در دفتر وزیر دفاع است.
Anna Borshchevskaya
آنا بورشچفسکایا

آنا بورشچِفسکایا هموند ارشد انستیتو واشگنتن برای سیاست شرق نزدیک و هموند «بنیاد اروپایی دموکراسی» است. او قبلا با «شورای آتلانتیک» و «انستیتو پیترسون برای اقتصاد بین‌المللی»، و نیز به عنوان تحلیلگر برای یک پیمانکار نظامی آمریکایی در افغانستان کار کرده است.

Michael Singh
مایکل سینگ
مایکل سینگ هموند پژوهشی ارشد لین-سویگ (Lane-Swig) و مدیرعامل انستیتو واشنگتن ‌است
Henry Tugendhat
Henry Tugendhat
Henry Tugendhat is a Soref Fellow in the Institute's Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great-Power Competition and the Middle East.
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