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منع اشاعه

Policy Analysis on منع اشاعه

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A sign and mural in Tehran promote the Fatteh missile and threaten Israel with the slogan "400 Seconds to Tel Aviv" - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
A Potential "Interim" Iran Nuclear Deal Sounds Great, But It Isn’t
Now is the time to exert Washington's greatly expanded leverage, forcing Tehran to choose between a painful future with enrichment and other subversive tools in its arsenal or a hopeful future without them.
۲۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Iranian presidential candidate Masoud Pezeshkian poses in front of a poster of Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei prior to Iran's 2024 presidential elections - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Pragmatists Open a Window in Tehran—But for How Long?
Regime officials and the Supreme Leader himself have signaled a willingness to make unprecedented concessions, but taking advantage of this opening will require careful U.S. messaging on counterterrorism, regional deterrence, and human rights.
۷ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
An Iranian soldier wearing an IRGC uniform salutes in front of an Iranin flag - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Ending Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Program Is Not Enough
Tehran cannot enjoy the economic benefits it seeks while under sanction, but some sanctions will necessarily remain in place as long as it continues sponsoring terrorism, leaving negotiators with little choice but to address issues beyond the nuclear program.
۲۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
What a U.S.-Saudi Nuclear “Pathway” Might Mean for the Iran Talks
Rather than clearing a route to normalization with Israel, a Saudi nuclear agreement with Washington may be key to addressing Iran’s military nuclear potential and wider proliferation concerns in the region.
۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Photo of the Barakah nuclear power plant in the United Arab Emirates.
Brief Analysis
Setting Up the Next Phase of U.S.-UAE Nuclear Cooperation
With the U.S. point man on energy development touring the Gulf and Chinese and Russian nuclear initiatives on the rise, the Trump administration should consider how best to replicate the responsible Emirati model elsewhere in the region.
۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Noam Raydan
Articles & Testimony
A Return to Maximum Pressure: Comprehensively Countering the Iranian Regime’s Malign Activities
The Washington Institute’s director of research testifies on the Trump administration's best means of combining diplomatic, military, and congressional pressure to permanently block Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon or reconstituting its damaged regional threat network.
۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dana Stroul
US and Israeli military planes participate in the 2023 Juniper Oak joint exercise - source: IDF
Video
Brief Analysis
Bombing Iran's Nuclear Program: Implications of Preventive Action
Washington Institute experts discuss what challenges must be addressed in negotiating a new nuclear deal or, failing that, planning a military campaign to degrade or destroy the program.
۲۵ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dana Stroul
  • Richard Nephew
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Holly Dagres
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi greets Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov and Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi in Beijing in March 2025 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Leveraging the Gaps in Russia and China’s Complex Relations with Iran
Far from signaling a strong trilateral alliance, their history of often transactional cooperation reveals strategic gaps that Washington can leverage to help curb Iran’s nuclear ambitions.
۲۴ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Richard Nephew
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio waves from the steps of his official plan in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia - source: Department of State
Articles & Testimony
How to Match Ends and Means in the Middle East
To resolve crises like the Gaza war and Iran’s drive toward nuclear breakout, the Trump administration will need to rediscover the practice of statecraft and marshal the necessary allied help.
۱۹ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
An F35A fighter on a night-training mission at dusk
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Attacking Iran's Nuclear Program:
The Complex Calculus of Preventive Action
Should a negotiated deal prove elusive, policymakers will need to consider how to define a successful strike, Iran’s potential responses, and whether a strategy of prevention can be sustained.
۱۱ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Iranians shop in a Tehran market ahead of Nowruz celelbrations in 2024 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Sour National Mood Could Complicate U.S. Engagement
When it comes to fixing serious problems with the economy, energy, and other sectors, the reformists have been just as ineffective as the hardliners, eroding any legitimacy they might claim to reopen nuclear negotiations with Washington.
۶ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Here’s Why the U.S. Is No Longer the World’s Only Superpower
Mismatching objectives and means has repeatedly produced failure and undermined consensus, but Washington no longer has the luxury of bad statecraft on pressing issues like Iran’s nuclear program.
۴ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Aerial view of the site of an Israeli-Hamas prisoner-hostage swap in Gaza in January 2025 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Path to a Transformed Middle East: How to Keep the Peace in Gaza While Countering Iran
Very close allied coordination will be needed to strike the right balance between pursuing viable nuclear diplomacy and giving Israel the weapons and support it needs to use force against Iran if necessary.
۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
How Trump Can Remake the Middle East
If he uses his major regional leverage to curtail the Iranian nuclear threat and end the Gaza war, he will be well-placed to resume other important tasks that have been sitting on the back burner—including Israeli-Saudi normalization.
۱۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Making Iran Choose Between the Bomb and Bankruptcy
The regime’s fears of new oil restrictions, simmering domestic unrest, eroding regional deterrence, and unpredictable U.S.-Israeli military action can all be leveraged to steer Khamenei away from racing toward a nuclear weapon.
۱۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
A photo illustration shows US and Iranian flags and an atomic symbol - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
A Last Chance for Iran
The Trump administration should give nuclear diplomacy a final shot—while preparing to use military force.
۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Richard Nephew
Brief Analysis
Can Iran Restore Its Missile Mojo?
Despite questions about the utility of its huge missile arsenal—whose importance has only increased since the collapse of the “axis of resistance”—Iran will likely double down on this capability to ensure the viability of its military strategy.
۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Farzin Nadimi
Book cover with Iranian missiles, including Shahab-3
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
If Iran Gets the Bomb:
Weapons, Force Posture, Strategy
The decision would require tradeoffs affecting the security, survivability, and military credibility of Tehran's nascent arsenal.
۲۵ نوامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Nuclear warhead schematics from the Manhattan Project, 1945
Brief Analysis
With Its Conventional Deterrence Diminished, Will Iran Go for the Bomb?
Although recent military setbacks have fueled Iranian talk about a possible nuclear breakout, uncertainty about the risks, costs, and utility of weaponization may give the United States leverage to ensure that Tehran continues to hedge.
۱۵ نوامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
U.S. and Iranian flags
Brief Analysis
Before Maximum Pressure, Trump Needs an Iran Strategy
The administration should first consider how enhanced sanctions would fit into its broader regional policy before talking about how to get them going again.
۱۴ نوامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Richard Nephew

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