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اسرائیل

Policy Analysis on اسرائیل

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Brief Analysis
Will Israel’s New “Chariots” Plan Trample or Strengthen Hamas?
Israel sees its next operation in Gaza as a means to decisively damage Hamas’s military and governance capabilities while freeing the rest of the hostages, but the plan might also produce a lengthy occupation and expanded guerrilla warfare.
۱۴ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
Photo of an Israeli tank crossing the Golan ceasefire line with Syria, December 2024.
Articles & Testimony
The Coming Clash Over Syria: Israel and Turkey Are on a Collision Course
After a stunning blow to their mutual Iranian enemy, Israel and Turkey should use close defense and intelligence dialogue to navigate Syria’s extraordinary period of flux and craft a new regional order.
۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Makovsky
  • Simone Saidmehr
Photo of an Israeli soldier in the ruins of a kibbutz following the October 2023 Hamas attack.
Articles & Testimony
The Benefits of Disarming Hamas Are Clear. What About the Price?
Even if Washington were willing to support indefinite military occupation, escalating in Gaza would increase the risk to hostages, the strain on the IDF’s reserves, and the discord Israel has faced at home and abroad.
۲۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Makovsky
  • Simone Saidmehr
Photo of an Israeli soldier entering a tunnel under al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza.
Articles & Testimony
Live by the Sword or Die: Israel’s Post-October 7 Strategic Environment
A year and a half of multifront warfare holds lessons for Israel's approach to regional security, peacemaking, and U.S. relations.
۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Ido Levy
Oscar-winning Palestinian Director Basel Adra checks a damaged car after Israeli settlers' attack in Susiya in the Israeli-occupied West Bank - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Settler Violence Is Turning the West Bank Into a Tinderbox
The West Bank has been a relatively minor front in Israel’s post-October 7 war, but if violence by far-right settlers continues to increase, the fallout could be substantial.
۱۸ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
Syria's interim president Ahmed al-Sharaa meets with Turkey's president Erdogan in Ankara in 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Between Israel and Turkey, Implications for the New Syria (Part 2)
A former Israeli military official and a Turkey expert discuss what each government wants from Syria, how they can address their most glaring friction points, and what the Trump administration can do to mediate the process.
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Assaf Orion
Photo of an Israeli tank crossing the Golan ceasefire line with Syria, December 2024.
Video
Brief Analysis
Between Israel and Turkey, Implications for the New Syria (Part 1)
A regional media bureau chief explains how continued Israeli military incursions in Syria are complicating efforts to stabilize the country, and why multilateral foreign assistance is a must.
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Maya Gebeily
A photo illustration depicts Israeli and Palestinian flags - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Surprisingly, the Lebanon-Israel Cease-Fire Is Holding
The agreement has withstood all challenges so far, thanks in large part to the mechanism that Israel and the United States set up to ensure Hezbollah's southern assets are addressed—one way or another.
۴ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Schenker
The Mari-B and Tamar gas platforms in the Mediterranean Sea off the coast of Israel - source: The Washington Institute
Brief Analysis
New Gas Licenses Go Ahead on the Israel-Lebanon Maritime Border
Hezbollah’s recent military defeat and the 2022 Israel-Lebanon maritime agreement mediated by Washington have enabled exploration in a distant corner of Israel’s exclusive economic zone.
۲۴ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Map of nothern Israel and Israel's borders with Lebanon, Syria, and Jordan. Source: Wikimedia Commons
Brief Analysis
Avoiding an Israel-Syria Showdown (Part 2): An Opening for New Negotiations
Direct Israeli dialogue with Syria’s transitional government could produce a new framework for bilateral relations—one that includes effectively ending the perpetual state of belligerency, accepting Israel’s special relationship with the Druze, agreeing on spheres of coordination throughout the south, and cooperating against Iran and Hezbollah’s comeback attempts in Syria and Lebanon.
۲۱ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Avoiding an Israel-Syria Showdown (Part 1): The Risks of “Occupation”
Israel’s cross-border incursion is understandable but may have gone too far, raising the need for U.S. intercession on merging Syria’s disparate forces, easing sanctions, deconflicting with Turkey, and other urgent stabilization tasks.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Schenker
A United Nations peacepeeker scans the terrain in southern Lebanon - source: Untied Nations
Brief Analysis
Moving Past “Wait and See” in South Lebanon: The U.S.-French Role
The announcement of "working groups" between Israel and Lebanon comes at a key juncture in the ceasefire, and complementary action by the United States and France can facilitate full implementation.
۱۸ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Souhire Medini
Photo showing Gaza residents spinning sparklers at the start of Ramadan, March 2025.
Video
Brief Analysis
Gaza Phase 2: Sorting Out the Political and Security Scenarios
What do Palestinians, Israelis, and external players see as the best option for Gaza and its people now that the first phase of the ceasefire is complete?
۱۴ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
  • Harel Chorev
  • Tamar Hermann
  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • David Schenker
U.S. and Israeli flags
Brief Analysis
Short-Lived U.S.-Hamas Talks Are a Cautionary Tale for Washington and Jerusalem
To maintain pressure on Hamas and preserve U.S. deterrence at a sensitive point in Gaza discussions, the Trump administration needs to lock in its diplomatic coordination and public messaging with Israel.
۱۱ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Makovsky
An F35A fighter on a night-training mission at dusk
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Attacking Iran's Nuclear Program:
The Complex Calculus of Preventive Action
Should a negotiated deal prove elusive, policymakers will need to consider how to define a successful strike, Iran’s potential responses, and whether a strategy of prevention can be sustained.
۱۱ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Gaza: From Red to Blue
A “four-zone” reconstruction plan could win Arab, Israeli, and U.S. support while avoiding mass relocations out of Gaza.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Assaf Orion
A Palestinian man in Gaza releases pigeons
Articles & Testimony
Why Israel Should Keep Open the Possibility of Palestinian Statehood
The supposed “status quo” that some commentators are pushing Israel to embrace is so disfigured and hollowed out that it no longer meets the definition of the phrase.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Syrian men attempt to repair electrical lines damaged by forces loyal to the Assad regime in 2013 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Does Syria’s Electricity Crisis Have an Israeli Solution?
Whether authorities call it “Egyptian gas” or “Jordanian gas,” the simple fact is that Israeli offshore supplies could help with Syria’s major power shortage if the necessary arrangements are ironed out.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Photo of Shia women returning to their war-damaged village in south Lebanon.
Video
Brief Analysis
Next Steps in Lebanon: From Ceasefire Extensions to Government Formation
Former military officials and experts from Lebanon and Israel discuss how Beirut’s unsettled political dynamics might affect ongoing implementation of the ceasefire and future peacebuilding efforts.
۱۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Fadi Daoud
  • Makram Rabah
  • Efraim Defrin
  • Assaf Orion
Protesters in New York City demand the release of U.S. citizens held hostage by Hamas in Gaza - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Trump Gives a Green Light to Resume Fighting in Gaza—But Does Netanyahu Want to Do It Now?
A hostage ultimatum from Washington seemed to provide Netanyahu with the freedom of action he wanted, but Israeli domestic realities may not allow him to break the ceasefire just yet.
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Makovsky

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