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اسرائیل

Policy Analysis on اسرائیل

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President Trump and Middle Eastern leaders sign documents relating to the Gaza Ceasefire - source: The White House
Brief Analysis
Hamas Accepts the Gaza Roadmap: Political Breakthrough, Implementation Uncertainty
Despite the group’s assent, major gaps remain with Israel over sequencing, disarmament, and oversight, casting doubt on the agreement’s feasibility.
۷ اوت ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
Brief Analysis
Bridging the Verification Gap on PA Prisoner Payments
Amid mounting economic and security pressures in the West Bank, only a U.S.-led mechanism can credibly determine Palestinian compliance with the Taylor Force Act and help promote wider stability.
۳ اوت ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • David Makovsky
  • Nava Goldstein
A dignitary lies in state with an honor guard at the U.S. Capitol Rotunda - source: Architect of the Capitol
Articles & Testimony
Lindsey Graham’s Last Gift to the U.S.-Israel Alliance
A White House meeting facilitated by the senator’s funeral could let Trump and Netanyahu avoid the appearance of a wartime rift.
۲۵ ژوئیه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • David Makovsky
Newly elected Lebanese president Joseph Aoun reviews soldiers at the presidential palace in Beirut - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Previewing the Trump-Aoun Meeting: A Make-or-Break Moment for the Israel-Lebanon Agreement
Circumstances are ripe for a successful visit, but both presidents are looking for more than bonhomie—Aoun needs practical U.S. commitments of operational and financial support, while Trump needs additional evidence of Beirut’s seriousness on disarming Hezbollah.
۱۶ ژوئیه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Lebanon's President, Joseph Aoun, meets with his Cabinet in November 2025 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
14 Points on the 14 Points: Assessing the Israel-Lebanon Framework Agreement
This landmark document offers a once-in-a-generation opportunity to build real peace between Beirut and Jerusalem, but progress needs to be swift and visible given the threat of violent opposition from Iran and its local allies.
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Robert Satloff
U.S. and Israeli cabinet members meet at the White House - source: The White House
Articles & Testimony
Don’t Mistake Friction for a Broken Alliance with Israel
Presidential spats with Israeli prime ministers are nothing new, and scapegoating America’s most capable ally in the Middle East would mean more work for U.S. forces, not less.
۱۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Michael Singh
A sailor directs the launch of an F-18 from the flight deck of the carrier USS Harry S Truman - source: Department of Defense
Video
Brief Analysis
Back to Bombs or Driving to a Deal? Assessing the U.S.-Iran State of Play
Three experts discuss the fallout from the latest military strikes, along with the potential contours and implications of a newly announced agreement to halt the fighting and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
۱۲ ژوئن ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Dana Stroul
  • Robert Satloff
  • Michael Singh
A sign and barrier along the Israel-Lebanon border - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Israel-Lebanon Talks, Round 4: The Pentagon Takes a Seat
U.S. and Israeli experts discuss the potential obstacles to progress in upcoming rounds of negotiations, and explain why keeping the Lebanon track separate from the Iran talks would be wise.
۲۹ مه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Assaf Orion
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Turkish president Erdogan at NATO headquarters in Brussels
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Limited Role in the Iran War
Power parity informs the view from Ankara, which has a strong interest in preventing Iran from going nuclear or alternatively falling into chaos—even as the war’s outcome will be largely outside Turkish control.
۲۶ مه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Palestinain refugees wait for IDF permission to gather their belongings while benig expelled from a camp near Jenin - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Rebuilding West Bank Refugee Camps: A Shared Interest for Palestinians and Israelis
If coordinated properly, reconstructing—and rethinking—the northern camps destroyed during Operation Iron Wall could help improve refugees’ lives, reduce militant activity, and create a rare shared interest and perceptual shift between Israel and the Palestinian Authority.
۳۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
A UNIFIL peacekeeper on duty in Lebanon - source: United Nations
Brief Analysis
Lebanon After UNIFIL: Good Riddance, Not a “Vacuum”
Whether the UN and Europe agree to align with a limited, U.S.-led mechanism or insist on their own separate missions, Washington and Jerusalem need to contain and closely coordinate any outside involvement in order to safeguard the core goal of disarming Hezbollah.
۲۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Assaf Orion
Flags of Israel and Lebanon painted on hands outstretched to each other, overlaying map of Israel-Lebanon border and beyond.
Articles & Testimony
Round 2: Lebanon-Israel Talks Inch Forward
Given Hezbollah coup threats, Beirut may seek to proceed incrementally toward establishing a state monopoly on weapons, but Washington and Israel will expect quicker results this time.
۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
He Dreamed of Regime Change
The diplomat Uri Lubrani was renowned for his persistent assertion that such an outcome in Iran was not only feasible but inevitable.
۱۷ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Martin Kramer
LAF soldiers study a map - source: Lebanese Armed Forces
Brief Analysis
Lebanon-Israel Talks: Defining Zones of Possible Agreement
With Washington’s help, there is a path forward for Beirut and Jerusalem to agree on something that is more limited than a full ceasefire, and that enables them to launch negotiations to advance both the disarmament of Hezbollah and the achievement of bilateral peace.
۱۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Lebanon's Parliament Speaker Nabih Berry - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Israel-Lebanon Peace: Will Berri Remain a Hindrance?
The two governments have agreed to direct talks that could (and should) turn into a wider U.S.-brokered peace process, but only if officials are prepared to counter potential spoilers like Hezbollah ally Nabih Berri.
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
A sign and barrier along the Israel-Lebanon border - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
“Once and for All” Again? The Contours of Israel’s Latest Campaign in Lebanon
The military and diplomatic risks of reentering south Lebanon are weighty, but Israel can mitigate them by publicly clarifying its security objectives, pursuing a bilateral political horizon, focusing its military efforts, and (finally) holding officials in Beirut accountable.
۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Assaf Orion
News headlines on Gaza war, emphasis on use of anonymous sources by Washington Post
Articles & Testimony
How to Prevent a Repeat of the Gaza Narrative in Lebanon
As seen with Hamas during the Gaza war, media outlets and international officials are spreading untruths about Israel’s latest campaign against Hezbollah; thankfully, the playbook for countering them is clear this time.
۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Houthi fighters rally in Sanaa, Yemen
Brief Analysis
The Houthis Join the War
Why did the group strike now, what might they do next, and how could it affect the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran?
۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • April Longley Alley
A man speaks on his phone in Beirut, Lebanon, in front of posters depicting the U.S. flag - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
How Middle East Societies Grapple with War
A trio of leading regional journalists discuss how Emiratis, Israelis, and Jordanians are weathering the Iran crisis, what outcomes they are rooting for, and how their relations with Washington and each other might evolve as a result.
۲۴ مارس ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Yonit Levi
  • Nadim Koteich
  • Amer Al Sabaileh
Flags of Israel and Lebanon painted on hands outstretched to each other, overlaying map of Israel-Lebanon border and beyond.
Articles & Testimony
Let’s Not Miss the Huge Opportunity for Peace Between Lebanon and Israel
If President Trump gave the Lebanon front just a fraction of the attention he has directed toward Iran and Gaza, he could wind up with the newest Arab member of the Abraham Accords—and a Nobel Peace Prize.
۸ مارس ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Robert Satloff

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