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اسرائیل

Policy Analysis on اسرائیل

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A Palestinian man in Gaza releases pigeons
Brief Analysis
What the New Gaza Administrative Committee Needs to Succeed
The NCAG’s viability will depend on producing quick, tangible deliverables, so the Trump administration, the Board of Peace, and the High Representative should stand ready to provide the requisite support on staving off Hamas and PA obstructionism and cutting through Israeli red tape.
۵ فوریه ۲۰۲۶
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
Peace Through Leverage in Gaza: How to Limit Hamas’s Influence and Ensure Israel’s Compliance
The Trump administration needs to exert pressure on each of the “two Gazas,” pushing Hamas and its regional interlocutors on disarmament while pressing Israel to play a more constructive role and conduct phased withdrawals when merited.
Feb 2, 2026
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Kurdish Collapse in Northeast Syria? Key Things to Watch
Washington Institute experts assess the immediate fallout of the Syrian government’s advance into SDF-held parts of the northeast, including mutual disinformation campaigns, implications for the Islamic State threat, the terms of new agreements with the Kurds, and the calculus of outside actors like the United States, Israel, and Turkey.
۲۱ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • James Jeffrey
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Zohar Palti
  • Assaf Orion
A man carries a Somilaland flag in a parade in Hargeisa - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Recognizing Somaliland: Israel’s Return to the Red Sea
Israel’s agreement with Somaliland will boost its security in the Red Sea Basin and may encourage the United States and other countries to follow suit, though political obstacles and complications abound.
۱۶ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
Prospects for Syria-Israel Relations
Israel may believe the tense status quo is sustainable, but Washington is frustrated about the potential implications for Arab normalization, Turkish military friction, and near-term economic plans.
January 2026
◆
  • David Schenker
Egyptian and Israeli flags along the Sinai border
Brief Analysis
Building on Egypt and Israel’s Uneasy Gas Deal
Israel’s approval of the delayed export agreement is a welcome development, but U.S. officials should view it as the start, not the end, of efforts to ease tensions between two key peace partners.
۶ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Simon Henderson
IDF soldiers operate inside Gaza in 2025 - source: IDF
Articles & Testimony
Who Won the War?
Defining victory in Gaza is hardly simple when Hamas is still armed, ruling nearly half the Strip, and flush with significant diplomatic achievements.
۲۸ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Split screen: (left) Israeli hostage Eitan Abraham Mor after his release by Hamas on October 13, 2025; right: a Hamas militant outside of Gaza City in December.
In-Depth Reports
The Hamas-Israel War: An Early Assessment
Despite rhetoric to the contrary, neither side can claim a decisive win, and an uneasy status quo could persist as long as Trump, the ceasefire guarantors, and Israeli leaders keep a lid on their frustrations.
۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Peace in the Middle East—A Major Challenge for the United States
Barring sustained U.S. efforts, Gaza’s de facto division into Hamas and Israeli zones will likely persist, and the ceasefire will be remembered as just the prelude to the next conflict.
December 2025
◆
  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
How to Stop Hamas from Derailing the Israeli-Palestinian Peace Deal
Given the group's hostile long-term goals, the Trump administration needs an empowered envoy to lead several projects in parallel, from developing a capable Palestinian security force and replacing the PA’s leadership to curtailing Israeli fringe elements and resuming Arab normalization talks.
۱۸ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Singh
A photo illustration shows Egyptian President Sisi and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Egypt-Israel Summit: A Springboard to Progress on Gaza?
If Netanyahu and Sisi meet this month, Washington should press both leaders to treat the summit as the beginning of a structured trilateral process on Gaza, not a one-off symbolic encounter.
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Haisam Hassanein
President Trump and Middle Eastern leaders sign documents relating to the Gaza Ceasefire - source: The White House
Brief Analysis
Getting to Phase 2 in Gaza: Red Lines and Recommendations
Washington Institute experts and former officials lay out the urgent need for clarity on vital questions related to U.S. oversight, the stalled International Stabilization Force, Israel’s red lines, Hamas opposition to multilateral proposals, the contours of the PA’s role, and more.
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Neomi Neumann
  • Michael Jacobson
  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • Ehud Yaari
Lebanon's President, Joseph Aoun, meets with his Cabinet in November 2025 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The U.S.-French Mechanism 2.0: Preventing Escalation Between Lebanon and Israel
Strong outside supervision over Lebanon’s implementation of the Hezbollah disarmament plan could help forestall looming Israeli military escalation and protect recent diplomatic milestones on the road toward an eventual peace treaty.
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Souhire Medini
Articles & Testimony
Israelis and Palestinians Must Confront Their Own Spoilers
For the Gaza ceasefire to survive, each side will need to address the persistent challenges of West Bank settler violence and Hamas weapons.
۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
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  • David Makovsky
Hamas leader Khalil al-Hayya, speaks during a press conference in Gaza City, on February 3, 2021 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Hamas’s “Rigid Pragmatism”: Between Tactical Flexibility and Ideological Intransigence
Gaza stabilization must include precise disarmament rules, independent monitoring, and pressure from Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey to counter Hamas’s blend of flexibility and intransigence.
۱۰ نوامبر ۲۰۲۵
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  • Neomi Neumann
Flags of Israel and Lebanon painted on hands outstretched to each other, overlaying map of Israel-Lebanon border and beyond.
Articles & Testimony
A Fragile Opening for Peace Between Lebanon and Israel
With Lebanon’s leaders hinting at reconciliation, U.S. pressure can help turn words into action.
۱۰ نوامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Robert Satloff
  • Ehud Yaari
Flags of Israel and Lebanon painted on hands outstretched to each other, overlaying map of Israel-Lebanon border and beyond.
Video
Brief Analysis
Is There a Pathway for Lebanon-Israel Peace?
A Lebanese legislator explains why disarming Hezbollah and discussing peace terms with Israel is so crucial to his country’s future, while a separate expert panel discusses the roadblocks to progress.
۷ نوامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Fouad Makhzoumi
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Eran Lerman
Articles & Testimony
“I Authorized It”: Yitzhak Rabin’s Ethos of Accountability
After a failed attempt to rescue a soldier kidnapped by Hamas, the prime minister refused to deflect blame onto other soldiers or their commanders.
۴ نوامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Makovsky
U.S., Israeli, Bahraini, and Qatari flags on a mural celebrating the Abraham Accords
Articles & Testimony
Not Final, but Forward: The Abraham Accords at a Crossroads
The Gaza ceasefire is a chance to cement Israel’s normalization with the rest of the Arab world, and perhaps reopen a path toward wider peace diplomacy with the Palestinians.
۴ نوامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Eric Alter
  • Nickolay Mladenov
Articles & Testimony
Yitzhak Rabin Knew What Netanyahu Doesn’t
Thirty years after Rabin’s assassination, Israel is ignoring the crucial Palestinian lessons handed down by its most intellectually honest statesman.
۴ نوامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross

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