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اسرائیل

Policy Analysis on اسرائیل

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A Houthi helicopter approaches a civilian cargo ship in the Red Sea in 2023 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Despite the Houthi Pledge to Limit Attacks, the Red Sea Remains Highly Volatile
The Houthis have shown little willingness or ability to accurately distinguish between the ships they target, leaving Washington and its partners with no choice but to doubt the group’s supposed “ceasefire” and keep up the pressure.
۲۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Noam Raydan
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Hamas May Be Cheering, But It Is Writhing in Pain
All the talk of Hamas emerging from the war with the upper hand contradicts the realities on the ground, where the group has lost its military capabilities, has no hope of substantial outside help, and has failed to ignite the West Bank.
۲۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Opening the Floodgates: The Gaza Deal and Trump’s Presidency
The ceasefire is already shaking up Israel’s politics and high command; prompt, well-coordinated action with Washington could help counter threats on several external fronts as well.
۲۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Assaf Orion
A photo of Palestinians watching President Biden's announcement of the Gaza ceasefire deal, January 2025.
Video
Brief Analysis
Gaza Ceasefire: Implications for Israel, Hamas, and U.S. Policy
Former Israeli and U.S. officials discuss the deal’s timing, provisions, and near-term prospects, outlining the Trump administration’s practical options for advancing peace in Gaza and beyond.
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Neomi Neumann
A Palestinian views a building reduced to rubble in Gaza - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
What the Israel-Hamas Ceasefire in Gaza Means for the Middle East
Netanyahu likely wanted to start off on a good foot with Trump—not just out of fear, but because Israel has its eyes on a much wider allied agenda in the region.
۱۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Makovsky
A police officer loyal to the Palestinian Authority stands guard on a wall at PA headquarters in Ramallah in 2007 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
PA Reform Is Key to West Bank Stability—and Possible Rule in Gaza
Although the Palestinian Authority’s increased governance activities may not indicate deep change, they could help stabilize the security situation in the West Bank and, perhaps, pave the way for PA rule in postwar Gaza.
۱۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
Brief Analysis
Replacing UNRWA Is an Opportunity Trump Should Not Miss
The incoming U.S. administration has no intention of strong-arming Israel into working with such a problematic organization, so officials should focus on pressing other UN agencies to take on its job in Gaza—or risk cuts to their own funding.
۱۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Video
Brief Analysis
Lebanon Ceasefire: Status and Prospects of the Israel-Hezbollah Truce
Watch or read remarks from a former LAF general, the IDF’s former head of strategic planning, and an expert Lebanon analyst during a new series of virtual panels held by The Washington Institute.
۱۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Khalil Helou
  • Tal Kelman
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
The Current and Future Houthi Threat to the Middle East
An effective response to the group's persistent aggression should include strengthening the United Nations verification and inspection mechanism, preparing sanctions against actors who violate UN resolutions, and taking steps to interdict arms transfers.
۲۹ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Michael Knights
An Iraqi member of a Shia PMF militia
Articles & Testimony
While Israel Now Wants to Go After Iraqi Militias, Trump May Not
The Hashd may already be deterred somewhat by recent events, but Trump will likely seek to maintain the pressure by withholding annual military assistance to Baghdad.
۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • David Schenker
An Iranian soldier wearing an IRGC uniform salutes in front of an Iranin flag - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Two “Axes” Converging in Iran
Iran’s Middle East “axis of resistance” and the Eurasian axis it shares with China, Russia, and North Korea are increasingly challenging the global and regional order, highlighting the need for more partnerships and a comprehensive counterstrategy with special efforts focusing on Tehran.
۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
Israel and the Fall of Assad: Rejoice, Repel, Reach Out, Reload
Prompt military action is helping Israel counter the immediate security risks of Syria’s sudden upheaval, but additional efforts will be needed to seize the broader opportunities of this new era.
۱۸ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Assaf Orion
Security forces the Iraqi-Syrian border, after it has been reopened for trade and travel, in Al Qaim, Iraq in 2019 - source: Reuters
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Nujaba Projects Paranoia Over Domestic Security
Nujaba's immediate allergic reaction to regime change in Syria is a bellwether of how vulnerable Coordination Framework militias feel as pro-Iran hierarchies come tumbling down.
۱۶ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Ameer al-Kaabi
◆ Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
For Israel, a Strategic Win and New Headaches
Despite the welcome blow to Iran's axis, Israel’s must now protect its border communities in the Golan and ensure that the Assad regime's strategic weapons don't end up in the wrong hands.
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
With Assad Gone—What’s Next?
In addition to carefully managing moves on the Golan, Israel should focus on facilitating humanitarian assistance to the Druze, mending relations with Turkey, and convincing Trump to maintain America’s military presence in Syria.
۹ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Members of the Israeli delegation at the Tripartite Conference in 2006 - source: Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
Back to the Future in Lebanon? Ceasefire Lessons from 2006
The former head of Israel’s “tripartite” delegation reflects on the slow-rolling failures that followed the 2006 ceasefire—lessons that can help authorities overcome similar obstacles to the new agreement.
۶ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Assaf Orion
An Israeli border guard secures the gate at a crossing with Lebanon in 2007 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Lebanon Ceasefire: Managing Israeli Public Expectations and U.S. Coordination
In addition to assuaging public fears about the agreement, officials will need to reach a shared understanding with Washington about how to enforce its terms and respond to Hezbollah violations.
۵ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • David Makovsky
Photo showing smoke clearing from Beirut during the 2024 Hezbollah-Israel war.
Video
Brief Analysis
The Hezbollah-Israel Ceasefire and U.S. Leadership: What Comes Next
Four experts discuss the agreement’s detailed security provisions, the prospects for successful implementation, and the potential impact on other regional players.
۴ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Assaf Orion
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
How to End the War in Gaza: Lessons from Lebanon
The Lebanon deal shows how Washington and Israel can use their newly gained leverage to resolve the Palestinian crisis.
۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Stuart Eizenstat
  • Dennis Ross
President Donald Trump meeting with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How the Trump Factor Pushed Israel Towards Lebanon Ceasefire
The Biden White House brokered the deal, but Trump’s return is significantly influencing Binyamin Netanyahu’s actions.
۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Dennis Ross

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