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اسرائیل

Policy Analysis on اسرائیل

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Brief Analysis
Why Israel Should Focus on Iranian Military and Security Targets, Not Oil Infrastructure
Despite significant vulnerabilities, the redundancies in Iran’s energy production would limit the effects of any strike, while the consequences for Israeli, Gulf, and global energy markets could be significant.
۱۱ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
A Roadmap to an Enduring Ceasefire in Lebanon
Border security is chiefly a matter of state sovereignty, so the international community must pressure Lebanese officials to take essential political and security steps even before attempting to negotiate ceasefire terms with Israel.
۹ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Israeli flag
Articles & Testimony
How Israel Can Leverage Its Successes (Yes, Successes)
Despite massive failures leading up to the Gaza war and numerous controversies since then, Israel has made important achievements—now it must connect them to a clearly stated set of realistic strategic goals.
۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
In Lebanon, a Rare Moment of Opportunity
Israel’s campaign has greatly diminished Hezbollah, presenting a chance for Beirut to end the war and push back against the group and its Iranian sponsors—if Lebanese elites are up to the task.
۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • David Schenker
Unarmed UN staff from the United Nations Truce Supervision Organization stand near a Blue Line marker on the Israel-Lebanon borner - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Capitalizing on the Weakening of Hamas and Hezbollah
The massive losses suffered by two key members of Iran’s “axis of resistance” create an opening to transform more than just Gaza and Lebanon.
۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Secretary of State Antony Blinken places a tile that reads "Light in the darkness" on a wall at the Abrahamic Family House in Abu Dhabi, October 14, 2023.
Video
Brief Analysis
U.S. Policy in the Post-October 7 Middle East: Looking Back, Looking Forward
Three former U.S. officials discuss the challenges—and opportunities—that will greet the next administration in year two of the post-October 7 era.
۷ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Dana Stroul
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The Gaza War Has Jump-Started a Weakened al-Qaeda
Although the former jihadist standard-bearer has failed to inspire attacks during the Gaza war, its efforts to exploit rising anti-Israel sentiment and train a new generation of terrorists in Afghanistan should not be taken lightly.
۴ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah Is Weakened, But Still Dangerous
The group’s ability to reconstitute its military power will depend on Iran restocking its arsenal; in the meantime, it will likely attempt more terrorist attacks abroad.
۲ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
After Hezbollah’s Miscalculations, It Has Lost Much of Its Power
The group’s false assessment of Israel’s wartime fragility is proving more costly by the day.
۱ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Photo of Lebanese Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah onscreen while addressing a 2017 event.
Articles & Testimony
6 Consequences of Israel Killing Hezbollah’s Hassan Nasrallah
By building on the death of an Iran-backed terrorist leader, President Biden has the opportunity to leave the Middle East better today than it was on October 8, which is no small achievement.
۳۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Nasrallah
Brief Analysis
What Nasrallah’s Death Could Mean for the Hezbollah Network
Iran’s proxy faces steep challenges on the leadership and military fronts, and the international community can now act vigorously to free Lebanon from its grip.
۲۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Men watch as smoke rises after an Israeli bombing of Hezbollah sites in southern Lebanon in September 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Israel Dead Set on Beating Hezbollah Back
With prospects low for a near-term diplomatic breakthrough, the Lebanese group can decide how far this conflict escalates.
۲۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Improving Egypt-Israel Relations in the Shadow of Gaza
In addition to addressing each country’s concerns about border sovereignty, smuggling, and other irritants, Washington should emphasize the longer-term need to return to the peace treaty’s military limitations after the Gaza war.
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Assaf Orion
Israelis protest demanding the release of hostages held by Hamas - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Reminder: The Hostages (or: Why an ‘All for All’ Deal Doesn’t Help Them)
The impasse in negotiations boils down to a choice between getting the hostages out or staying in Gaza—and Netanyahu has seemingly picked the latter.
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • David Makovsky
Men watch as smoke rises after an Israeli bombing of Hezbollah sites in southern Lebanon in September 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Israel and Hezbollah Are Escalating Toward Catastrophe
Both sides have major incentives to avoid a wider conflict, but they’ll need help escaping the traps they laid for themselves.
۲۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
Will Hezbollah Choose to Keep Its Word—or Its Arsenal?
The group must decide between walking back its threat to northern Israel or risking the loss of its advanced missile capabilities, which Iran regards as a crucial insurance policy.
۲۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
A Hezbollah fighter has his picture taken alongside a mural depicting deceased Hezbollah military leader Ibrahim Aqil at Aquil's funeral in September 2024 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Death of (Another) Hezbollah Lifer
Like his recently killed predecessor, Ibrahim Aqil had a long history of murdering Americans, Europeans, Israelis, Lebanese, and others perceived as obstacles to Hezbollah’s ambitions, and his experience as a military and terrorist commander will be difficult to replace.
۲۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
One of the pagers destroyed by remotely triggered explosion in Lebanon on September 17, 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How Exploding Pagers Can Lead to Calm Along Israel-Lebanon Border
Washington should push to negotiate limited border understandings now—it makes little sense to open a larger, more catastrophically destructive conflict if the outcome is likely to end up at the same place.
۲۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Israel Sends Hezbollah Twin Messages
Israel’s cloak-and-dagger pager ploy was extraordinary, but will it change the group’s calculus?
۲۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Hezbollah fighters parade with flags in Lebanon in 2019 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Israel and the Coming Long War
To defeat Iran’s "resistance" axis, the IDF needs a new strategy—and a unified country.
۱۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Assaf Orion

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