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اسرائیل

Policy Analysis on اسرائیل

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Nuclear centrifuges in Iran
Articles & Testimony
Did the Attacks on Iran Succeed?
Israel and the United States bought themselves time on the nuclear issue, but the decision to take the military path raises a host of other risks and questions.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Richard Nephew
US and Israeli military planes participate in the 2023 Juniper Oak joint exercise - source: IDF
Articles & Testimony
Why War? Why Now? Assessing Iranian Intentions and Capabilities
Israeli and American intelligence reached different conclusions while looking at the same information, so understanding what Jerusalem and Tehran were thinking before the war is crucial to forecasting what could come next.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
A USAF B-2 Spirit bomber refuels in flight - source: Department of Defense
Video
Brief Analysis
U.S. Attacks Iranian Nuclear Sites: Implications for Israel, the Middle East, and U.S. Policy
Two veteran U.S. officials join a former Israeli ambassador to discuss the effects and future consequences of the Trump administration’s decision to strike Iran’s nuclear program.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dana Stroul
  • Michael Herzog
  • Dennis Ross
  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
How the Iran-Israel Conflict Is Affecting Gulf Energy and Maritime Security
For regional countries seeking to transform their economies and partner with the United States in areas including AI, the current war poses risks that could reverberate in the global economy.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Noam Raydan
A highway bridge in Tehran displays images of nuclear scientists killed during Israeli strikes against Iran in June 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
The Bigger Picture in the Iran-Israel Conflict: Russia, Missiles, Militias, and More
Four experts assess how outside players might respond to the showdown, and whether Tehran will switch up its calculus on procurement, attack tactics, and other military matters as the fight goes on.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Michael Knights
  • Farzin Nadimi
  • Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
What Nuclear Restrictions Would Be Required for a Viable Iran-Israel Ceasefire?
The most important restrictions include measures like permanently dismantling enrichment infrastructure and properly disposing of key materials and equipment, but policymakers need to be clear-eyed about the inherent limitations of even the strictest verification agreement.
۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Richard Nephew
  • Patrick Clawson
MS-Sabereen-WarGraphic-Cover
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militias Show Cohesion and Restraint During Iran-Israel War
The self-styled "resistance" is probably being held in reserve in case the United States joins the war, with militias noticeably restraining themselves so far.
۱۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Key Outside Actors in the Iran-Israel Showdown:
A Compilation of Washington Institute Assessments
Experts assess the roles that various actors may seek to play during and after conflict, including Hezbollah, the Houthis, Iraqi militias, Palestinian factions, and international powers such as China, Russia, and the EU.
۱۸ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Noam Raydan
  • Michael Knights
  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • Grant Rumley
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Souhire Medini
Emergency crews work at the scene of an Israeli air strike in Tehran in June 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
From Diplomacy to Military Force: The Future of Iran’s Nuclear Program
U.S. and Israeli experts assess the quickly evolving situation as the IDF continues striking targets across the country, Tehran retaliates with missile salvos, and the international community mulls how best to contain the crisis.
۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Zohar Palti
  • Dennis Ross
  • Dana Stroul
A sign in Tehran displays images of officials in Iran's nuclear program killed in Israeli airstrikes in June 2025 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Can Israel Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Program?
A closer look at the technical indicators that experts and officials will be looking for to determine whether Israel’s campaign is setting the program back, and how much.
۱۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Richard Nephew
Brief Analysis
Israel Strikes Iran: Initial Assessments from Washington Institute Experts
A compilation of analyses on the military and nuclear impact of Israel’s initial strikes, Tehran’s response options, the Trump administration’s next steps, public reactions inside Iran, and more.
۱۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Dana Stroul
  • Holly Dagres
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Ambiguity Shouldn’t Stop Work on a Two-State Solution
Despite the Iran-Israel showdown, if European and Arab states prove they are willing to do the diplomatic and financial heavy lifting required for progress with the Palestinians, the reticent Trump administration might be encouraged to engage.
۱۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Schenker
Newly elected Lebanese president Joseph Aoun reviews soldiers at the presidential palace in Beirut - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
The Next Era of Israel-Lebanon Relations? Ceasefire Status and Political Prospects
Three experts examine the security and political situation six months after the ceasefire agreement was signed, including the implications for next year’s Lebanese election, Palestinian refugee camps, and eventual normalization with Israel.
۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Assaf Orion
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
While Other Countries Push for a Palestinian State, Israel Is Increasing Its West Bank Presence
Dramatic changes have been taking place in the West Bank, driven mainly by Israeli actions that have reduced terrorism but are simultaneously striving to prevent the establishment of a Palestinian state.
۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
A police officer loyal to the Palestinian Authority stands guard on a wall at PA headquarters in Ramallah in 2007 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Twilight of Palestinian “Armed Struggle”?
Militant groups are under growing pressure, and large-scale armed struggle seems far-fetched, yet it remains unclear if Palestinians are finally ready to give up their old battle cry.
June 2025
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
An IDF tank flies the Israeli flag while on operation inside Gaza in 2025 - source: IDF
Articles & Testimony
Israel’s Dangerous Escalation in Gaza
The IDF’s former head of strategic planning describes how politics and ideology are sidelining national security and creating a forever war.
Jun 3, 2025
◆
  • Assaf Orion
A United Nations peacepeeker scans the terrain in southern Lebanon - source: Untied Nations
Brief Analysis
UNIFIL’s Fork in the Road
The time for inertia is over—this summer, Security Council members will have a rare and urgent chance to break the spell of illusory “peacekeeping” and advance a model that actually helps keep the peace between Israel and Lebanon.
۲۹ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Assaf Orion
President Donald Trump meeting with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Will Trump Dump Netanyahu? Here's When Israel Will Find Out
A ten-year memorandum of understanding lapses during the president’s term, and he will have to decide whether negotiating a new deal serves American interests.
۲۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Smoke from an explosion across the Israeli border in Gaza, May 2025.
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Assessing the Gaza Death Toll After Eighteen Months of War
Health officials have compiled a largely comprehensive list, but questions remain about the Gaza ministry’s opaque revision process and vetting of family reports—along with unknown deaths and missing persons.
۲۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Gabriel Epstein
Brief Analysis
Will Israel’s New “Chariots” Plan Trample or Strengthen Hamas?
Israel sees its next operation in Gaza as a means to decisively damage Hamas’s military and governance capabilities while freeing the rest of the hostages, but the plan might also produce a lengthy occupation and expanded guerrilla warfare.
۱۴ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Neomi Neumann

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