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نظامی و امنیتی

Policy Analysis on نظامی و امنیتی

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A poster at a Pentagon briefing depicts the U.S. bombing attack on Iran's Fordow uranium enrichment facility in July 2025 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
After the Bombing: Iran’s Nuclear Options
While the recent military strikes against its nuclear program may further incentivize Tehran to go for the bomb, they may also complicate such efforts and give Washington more leverage to dissuade it.
۲۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Bedouin fighters stopped at a government checkpoint near Suwayda in July 2025 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Making Sure Damascus Learns the Right Lessons from the Suwayda Clashes
The deep problems within the transitional government’s security ranks have once again been tragically exposed, so the Trump administration should increase pressure on the foreign fighter issue and related matters—for the sake of Syria’s minorities and U.S. regional interests alike.
۲۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
MS-UABProfile-Cover
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Uli al-Baas
An Iran-linked propaganda and paramilitary formation with stated ambitions to form a new anti-government insurgent and political structure in Syria.
۲۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Sary Mumayiz
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Moqtada al-Sadr poster, Baghdad, 2022
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Game On: Sadr and the Iraqi "Resistance" Clash Over State Control of Arms
A prevalent theme in this year's election could be the need to bring militia arms under control, and the latest back-and-forth on the issue nearly led to major fighting in Baghdad.
۱۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Ameer al-Kaabi
◆ Militia Spotlight
A Houthi helicopter approaches a civilian cargo ship in the Red Sea in 2023 - source: Reuters
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Lethal Attacks Show Strengthened Houthi Control over Red Sea Transit
The latest attacks make clear that the international community must guarantee the freedom and safety of all ships transiting the Red Sea, combining a permanent military mission with assistance from regional countries and private security firms.
۱۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Noam Raydan
  • Farzin Nadimi
◆ Maritime Spotlight
Photo showing Gaza residents spinning sparklers at the start of Ramadan, March 2025.
Brief Analysis
Israel’s “Tribal” Approach in Gaza: A Short-Term Response to a Long-Term Challenge
Tribal militias in Gaza can offer limited tactical help if they are carefully monitored and managed, but relying on them would just be another way of delaying the more important work of formulating postwar political arrangements.
۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
Brief Analysis
Leveraging Iran’s Defeat to Strengthen U.S.-Iraq Security Relations
Tehran’s Iraqi proxies mostly sat out the twelve-day war, but this pragmatic restraint will not forestall growing U.S.-Iran competition over Iraq’s airspace, economic partnerships, and other sectors.
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Knights
MS-Cover-HMusawi-Grave
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Israeli Strike Kills Head of Security for Iraqi Militia KSS
Haider al-Musawi may have been (unsuccessfully) securing the move of a senior Lebanese Hezbollah operative through Iraq into Iran.
۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Two Iranian women hug each other while a country's flag and a portrait of an Iran-Israel war victim are projected on the Azadi (Freedom) Monument in western Tehran, Iran, on June 25, 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran on Day 13: Gauging Regime Choices and Public Attitudes After the War
Two human rights experts discuss the chances that Iran’s domestic crackdown will escalate under the ceasefire, while a former CIA manager explains why the clock is rapidly ticking away on key elements needed to effectively monitor the damaged nuclear program.
۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Holly Dagres
  • Roya Boroumand
  • Norman Roule
A photo illustration shows US and Iranian flags and an atomic symbol - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Back to the Table? Recommendations for Negotiations with Iran
A compilation of views on the next round of prospective talks with Iran, sanctions relief options, military and technical considerations, the international role, and more.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Richard Nephew
  • Farzin Nadimi
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Michael Singh
  • Grant Rumley
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Video
Brief Analysis
Energy and Economic Implications of the Iran-Israel Conflict
Three experts explore the war’s impact on global energy markets, Iran-Gulf relations, President Trump’s oil price calculations, and more.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Homayoun Falakshahi
  • Jennifer Gnana
  • Gregory Brew
MS-Khazali-Walking-Cover
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Qais al-Khazali Tries, Fails to Tone Down Militant Bluster
Khazali finally reacted to the Iran-Israel conflict to avoid further embarrassing his militant base, underlining the difficulties of being a surface politician and a closet terrorist.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Nuclear centrifuges in Iran
Articles & Testimony
Did the Attacks on Iran Succeed?
Israel and the United States bought themselves time on the nuclear issue, but the decision to take the military path raises a host of other risks and questions.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Richard Nephew
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Retaliation: Choreography, Escalation Management, and the Mirage of “All-Out” War
Fears of an “all-out” war with Iran have been greatly overstated, and they fail to account for the Islamic Republic’s overriding desire to avoid such an outcome and the diverse repertoire it has developed to prevent one.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
A USAF B-2 Spirit bomber refuels in flight - source: Department of Defense
Video
Brief Analysis
U.S. Attacks Iranian Nuclear Sites: Implications for Israel, the Middle East, and U.S. Policy
Two veteran U.S. officials join a former Israeli ambassador to discuss the effects and future consequences of the Trump administration’s decision to strike Iran’s nuclear program.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dana Stroul
  • Michael Herzog
  • Dennis Ross
  • Robert Satloff
Israeli firefighters work at the site of in Iranian missile strike on a residential building in Tel Aviv in June 2025 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How Iran Could Escalate
In the wake of retaliatory strikes on U.S. targets, a former Pentagon official assesses Tehran’s bad options and Washington’s best response.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
How the Iran-Israel Conflict Is Affecting Gulf Energy and Maritime Security
For regional countries seeking to transform their economies and partner with the United States in areas including AI, the current war poses risks that could reverberate in the global economy.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Noam Raydan
A highway bridge in Tehran displays images of nuclear scientists killed during Israeli strikes against Iran in June 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
The Bigger Picture in the Iran-Israel Conflict: Russia, Missiles, Militias, and More
Four experts assess how outside players might respond to the showdown, and whether Tehran will switch up its calculus on procurement, attack tactics, and other military matters as the fight goes on.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Michael Knights
  • Farzin Nadimi
  • Assaf Orion
Nuclear centrifuges in Iran
Articles & Testimony
The United States May Destroy the Fordow Enrichment Plant. It Won’t Make the Iranian Nuclear Threat Go Away.
The risk of nuclear breakout is probably greater today than before Israel’s military campaign, and simply taking out Fordow would not stop the regime from using suspected secret sites to produce nuclear weapons.
Jun 17, 2025
◆
  • Richard Nephew
MS-Sabereen-WarGraphic-Cover
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militias Show Cohesion and Restraint During Iran-Israel War
The self-styled "resistance" is probably being held in reserve in case the United States joins the war, with militias noticeably restraining themselves so far.
۱۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight

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Supported by the

Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
مایکل آیزنستات
مایکل آیزنستات هموند دیوید کان و داگلاس کان و مدیر برنامه مطالعات امنیتی و نظامی انستیو واشنگتن است.
Michael Knights
مایکل نایتز

مایکل نایتز هموند جیل و جی برنشتاین در انستیتو واشنگتن و کارشناس امور نظامی و امنیتی عراق، ایران و کشورهای خلیج فارس است. او مقیم بوستون است و یکی از بنیانگذاران پلتفرم «شبه‌نظامیان زیر ذره‌‌بین» که تحلیل‌های عمیق از تحولات مربوط به شبه‌نظامیان تحت حمایت ایران در عراق و سوریه ارائه می‌کند.

دکتر نایتز بارها به عراق، یمن و کشورهای خلیج فارس سفر کرده و به طور منظم در خصوص سیاست‌گذاری‌های دولت ایالات متحده، کمیته‌های کنگره و افسران نظامی آمریکا در امور امنیتی منطقه،‌ سازمان‌های نظامی و امنیتی محلی در عراق، کشورهای خلیج فارس و یمن فعالیت داشته است.

او دکترای خود را از کالج کینگ لندن دریافت کرده و

Grant Rumley
گرانت راملی
گرانت راملی هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن و مشاور سابق سیاست‌گذاری خاورمیانه در دفتر وزیر دفاع است.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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