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نظامی و امنیتی

Policy Analysis on نظامی و امنیتی

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Brief Analysis
Gaza’s Future Hinges on a Clear UN Security Council Resolution
With Hamas already regrouping, U.S. officials must help craft targeted language that empowers the Board of Peace to oversee a technocratic administration and stabilization force, with the goal of quickly filling the territory’s governance and security vacuum.
۳۱ اکتبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
China’s Push for Satellite Cooperation in the Middle East
By investing in relationships with scientists in the region, Beijing is seeking to fortify its own BeiDou system and drive growth, offering potential lessons for Washington.
۲۰ اکتبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Henry Tugendhat
Ships of the US Navy's Fifth Fleet on exercise in the Persian Gulf
Articles & Testimony
No Real Alternative: Why the Gulf Will Rely on the U.S.
Gulf leaders know that neither China, Russia, nor a “Mideast NATO” can replace the scale, capability, and strategic commitments that Washington brings, though they are still looking to recalibrate the partnership somewhat following Israel’s Qatar strike.
October 2025
◆
  • James Jeffrey
  • Elizabeth Dent
Protesters wave Palestinian flags in Gaza City - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Ceasefire in Gaza: Views on Security, Palestinian Governance, and Regional Dynamics
A compilation of Washington Institute insights on the profoundly complex tasks ahead—from preventing a Hamas resurgence to promoting Palestinian political reform—and the states and mechanisms likely to carry them out.
۱۴ اکتبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • Ehud Yaari
  • Dana Stroul
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • James Jeffrey
A Palestinian man in Gaza releases pigeons
Articles & Testimony
How to End the War in Gaza for Good
The momentum created by phase one of the peace plan will eventually fade, so the Trump administration must work quickly with its partners to establish clarity on complex issues like disarming Hamas and securing Gaza, and on identifying the actors to implement them.
۱۰ اکتبر ۲۰۲۵
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  • Dennis Ross
Nuclear centrifuges in Iran
Brief Analysis
Four Keys for Iran Snapback Implementation
Inevitable attempts by Tehran to rebuild its nuclear and missile programs will require a U.S.-led campaign to track the regime’s proliferation activities and block transfers of related materials.
۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Richard Nephew
Photo of a woman walking in front of a mural that shows missiles being launched from Iran.
Articles & Testimony
The Risk and Reward of Preventive Strikes Against Iran
Understanding the background of the twelve-day war and the considerations that shaped Iran’s past nuclear calculus can help illuminate the factors most likely to influence its future proliferation choices.
۳۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۵
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Israeli and US flags - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Assessing Israel-U.S. Alignment on the Gaza Framework
Prime Minister Netanyahu will likely accentuate the positive in his response to President Trump’s initiative to end the war, but key details—let alone Hamas’s response—could decide whether the plan ultimately succeeds or falls prey to another “yes but” cycle.
۲۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۵
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Trump Holds the Levers to Move Gaza Toward Peace
The 21-point U.S. plan offers an alternative to Hamas governance, but the president will have to ensure an interim administration meets its disarmament commitments—and support Israeli responses if Hamas reemerges.
۲۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
A U.S. Army soldier on patrol in Iraq
Brief Analysis
After Operation Inherent Resolve: The Future of U.S.-Iraq Security Relations
Whether Washington opts for complete withdrawal, a smaller, Kurdistan-based presence, or a 180-degree shift to business and energy initiatives, it needs to be mindful of the risks and keep the focus on America’s paramount strategic interests.
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • James Jeffrey
UN peacekeeping troops serving with the MINURSO mission in Western Sahara - source: United Nations
Brief Analysis
Time to Pull the Plug on MINURSO? Not Quite
Despite Morocco’s growing diplomatic momentum and recent U.S. cuts to the UN peacekeeping budget, prematurely ending the Western Sahara mission would be a mistake given the important practical role it plays in maintaining the de facto ceasefire.
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Souhire Medini
  • Sabina Henneberg
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif embrace each other on the day they sign a defence agreement, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, September 17, 2025 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Will Saudi Arabia’s New Defense Agreement with Pakistan Have Proliferation Consequences?
The deal seems mostly symbolic given that Riyadh is a major trading partner with India—Pakistan’s main adversary—but the implications may nevertheless be significant for regional proliferation concerns, nuclear energy ambitions, and related U.S. diplomacy.
۱۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
How Washington’s Drone Policy Is Catching Up to Reality
To balance competition and global responsibility, the Trump administration should combine its welcome reinterpretation of the MTCR with updated nonproliferation standards and robust safeguards.
Sep 16, 2025
◆
  • Elizabeth Dent
  • Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
Toward a More Comprehensive (and Effective) U.S. Policy on Yemen
The Houthis pose even more of a risk to U.S. and Gulf interests than they did before the Gaza war, so Washington and its regional partners need to develop an approach that is more fit for purpose.
۱۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • April Longley Alley
Brief Analysis
After Snapback, Washington Needs to Prepare for Iranian Escalation in the Gulf
Given Tehran’s long record of using maritime provocations to counter increased international pressure, the United States and its partners must be ready to respond swiftly and forcefully against ship seizures, mine warfare, suicide drones, and more.
۱۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Photo of smoke rising over Doha following an Israeli strike in September 2025.
Brief Analysis
Israel Strikes Qatar: Implications for Gaza Diplomacy, Gulf Relations, and U.S. Policy
A compilation of Washington Institute views on the fallout of the targeted strike on Hamas leaders in Doha, including what the United States and its partners can do to translate this latest Israeli military surprise into beneficial political achievements.
۱۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Robert Satloff
  • Elizabeth Dent
  • Simon Henderson
  • David Makovsky
A Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) soldier
Brief Analysis
Without a Hezbollah Disarmament Deadline, Lebanon Should Face Repercussions
The government and military’s decision to seize the group’s weapons is unprecedented and welcome—but it won’t mean anything without a clear and viable timeline for implementation, especially as political maneuvering for next year’s election begins.
۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Photo of a Houthi funeral in Yemen following an Israeli strike that killed multiple government officials.
Brief Analysis
Israel and the Houthis Are Entering a Dangerous Escalation Cycle
Despite their confident saber rattling, both sides face real constraints that could impede their operational goals, and their actions increase the risks to maritime security, energy exports, and broader regional stability.
۵ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • April Longley Alley
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Nuclear Reconstitution Options
Iran’s leaders have several paths to restoring or reconfiguring their nuclear program—some more realistic or risky than others—so Washington should focus on shaping which route they choose rather than discounting the possibility altogether.
۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Richard Nephew
An IDF display of weapons seized from a Hezbollah cache in southern Lebanon - source: Reuters
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
Disarming Hezbollah: Much Talk, Little Action
President Aoun has promised Washington that he will begin confiscating Hezbollah’s weapons soon, but he is delivering a different message to the group and its political allies.
August 2025
◆
  • Ehud Yaari

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Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
مایکل آیزنستات
مایکل آیزنستات هموند دیوید کان و داگلاس کان و مدیر برنامه مطالعات امنیتی و نظامی انستیو واشنگتن است.
Grant Rumley
گرانت راملی
گرانت راملی هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن و مشاور سابق سیاست‌گذاری خاورمیانه در دفتر وزیر دفاع است.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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