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نظامی و امنیتی

Policy Analysis on نظامی و امنیتی

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A photo illustration shows US and Iranian flags and an atomic symbol - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Back to the Table? Recommendations for Negotiations with Iran
A compilation of views on the next round of prospective talks with Iran, sanctions relief options, military and technical considerations, the international role, and more.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Richard Nephew
  • Farzin Nadimi
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Michael Singh
  • Grant Rumley
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Video
Brief Analysis
Energy and Economic Implications of the Iran-Israel Conflict
Three experts explore the war’s impact on global energy markets, Iran-Gulf relations, President Trump’s oil price calculations, and more.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Homayoun Falakshahi
  • Jennifer Gnana
  • Gregory Brew
MS-Khazali-Walking-Cover
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Qais al-Khazali Tries, Fails to Tone Down Militant Bluster
Khazali finally reacted to the Iran-Israel conflict to avoid further embarrassing his militant base, underlining the difficulties of being a surface politician and a closet terrorist.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Retaliation: Choreography, Escalation Management, and the Mirage of “All-Out” War
Fears of an “all-out” war with Iran have been greatly overstated, and they fail to account for the Islamic Republic’s overriding desire to avoid such an outcome and the diverse repertoire it has developed to prevent one.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
A USAF B-2 Spirit bomber refuels in flight - source: Department of Defense
Video
Brief Analysis
U.S. Attacks Iranian Nuclear Sites: Implications for Israel, the Middle East, and U.S. Policy
Two veteran U.S. officials join a former Israeli ambassador to discuss the effects and future consequences of the Trump administration’s decision to strike Iran’s nuclear program.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dana Stroul
  • Michael Herzog
  • Dennis Ross
  • Robert Satloff
Israeli firefighters work at the site of in Iranian missile strike on a residential building in Tel Aviv in June 2025 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How Iran Could Escalate
In the wake of retaliatory strikes on U.S. targets, a former Pentagon official assesses Tehran’s bad options and Washington’s best response.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
How the Iran-Israel Conflict Is Affecting Gulf Energy and Maritime Security
For regional countries seeking to transform their economies and partner with the United States in areas including AI, the current war poses risks that could reverberate in the global economy.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Noam Raydan
A highway bridge in Tehran displays images of nuclear scientists killed during Israeli strikes against Iran in June 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
The Bigger Picture in the Iran-Israel Conflict: Russia, Missiles, Militias, and More
Four experts assess how outside players might respond to the showdown, and whether Tehran will switch up its calculus on procurement, attack tactics, and other military matters as the fight goes on.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Michael Knights
  • Farzin Nadimi
  • Assaf Orion
Nuclear centrifuges in Iran
Articles & Testimony
The United States May Destroy the Fordow Enrichment Plant. It Won’t Make the Iranian Nuclear Threat Go Away.
The risk of nuclear breakout is probably greater today than before Israel’s military campaign, and simply taking out Fordow would not stop the regime from using suspected secret sites to produce nuclear weapons.
Jun 17, 2025
◆
  • Richard Nephew
MS-Sabereen-WarGraphic-Cover
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militias Show Cohesion and Restraint During Iran-Israel War
The self-styled "resistance" is probably being held in reserve in case the United States joins the war, with militias noticeably restraining themselves so far.
۱۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Key Outside Actors in the Iran-Israel Showdown:
A Compilation of Washington Institute Assessments
Experts assess the roles that various actors may seek to play during and after conflict, including Hezbollah, the Houthis, Iraqi militias, Palestinian factions, and international powers such as China, Russia, and the EU.
۱۸ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Noam Raydan
  • Michael Knights
  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • Grant Rumley
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Souhire Medini
Articles & Testimony
Why Israel’s Attack on Iran Has Been a Success
Just as with the Hezbollah missile threat in Lebanon, completely eliminating the Iranian nuclear threat is not the best yardstick for Israel’s current campaign.
۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Emergency crews work at the scene of an Israeli air strike in Tehran in June 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
From Diplomacy to Military Force: The Future of Iran’s Nuclear Program
U.S. and Israeli experts assess the quickly evolving situation as the IDF continues striking targets across the country, Tehran retaliates with missile salvos, and the international community mulls how best to contain the crisis.
۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Zohar Palti
  • Dennis Ross
  • Dana Stroul
A sign in Tehran displays images of officials in Iran's nuclear program killed in Israeli airstrikes in June 2025 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Can Israel Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Program?
A closer look at the technical indicators that experts and officials will be looking for to determine whether Israel’s campaign is setting the program back, and how much.
۱۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Richard Nephew
Brief Analysis
Israel Strikes Iran: Initial Assessments from Washington Institute Experts
A compilation of analyses on the military and nuclear impact of Israel’s initial strikes, Tehran’s response options, the Trump administration’s next steps, public reactions inside Iran, and more.
۱۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Dana Stroul
  • Holly Dagres
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Why the Right Hates the National Security State: The Historical Roots of Trump’s Assault on the NSC
The breaking of the national security state is indeed a crisis, but it also represents an opportunity to build a compromise approach tailored to the world’s present-day threats, similar to the situation policymakers faced immediately after World War II.
۱۱ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Singh
MS-UAB-cover
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
New Evidence of Real-World Attacks by Uli al-Baas
The group's name has been making the rounds for months, but videos and other actual evidence of its claimed attacks against Israel are only now beginning to emerge.
۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Newly elected Lebanese president Joseph Aoun reviews soldiers at the presidential palace in Beirut - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
The Next Era of Israel-Lebanon Relations? Ceasefire Status and Political Prospects
Three experts examine the security and political situation six months after the ceasefire agreement was signed, including the implications for next year’s Lebanese election, Palestinian refugee camps, and eventual normalization with Israel.
۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Assaf Orion
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Qais al-Khazali's declassified interrogation file
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Qais al-Khazali Praises His “Honorable” Role in Murder of Americans
The senior political and "resistance" figure is still trying to legitimize the cold-blooded murder of unarmed Americans in the 2007 Karbala raid.
۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Defense Ties in the Middle East Poised to Rebound
Demand for Russian weapons has hardly disappeared—MENA officials would see even a limited or temporary Ukraine deal as a green light to quickly take advantage of Moscow’s new supply chains, so Washington should prepare accordingly.
June 2025
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Matt Tavares

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Supported by the

Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
مایکل آیزنستات
مایکل آیزنستات هموند دیوید کان و داگلاس کان و مدیر برنامه مطالعات امنیتی و نظامی انستیو واشنگتن است.
Michael Knights
مایکل نایتز

مایکل نایتز هموند جیل و جی برنشتاین در انستیتو واشنگتن و کارشناس امور نظامی و امنیتی عراق، ایران و کشورهای خلیج فارس است. او مقیم بوستون است و یکی از بنیانگذاران پلتفرم «شبه‌نظامیان زیر ذره‌‌بین» که تحلیل‌های عمیق از تحولات مربوط به شبه‌نظامیان تحت حمایت ایران در عراق و سوریه ارائه می‌کند.

دکتر نایتز بارها به عراق، یمن و کشورهای خلیج فارس سفر کرده و به طور منظم در خصوص سیاست‌گذاری‌های دولت ایالات متحده، کمیته‌های کنگره و افسران نظامی آمریکا در امور امنیتی منطقه،‌ سازمان‌های نظامی و امنیتی محلی در عراق، کشورهای خلیج فارس و یمن فعالیت داشته است.

او دکترای خود را از کالج کینگ لندن دریافت کرده و

Grant Rumley
گرانت راملی
گرانت راملی هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن و مشاور سابق سیاست‌گذاری خاورمیانه در دفتر وزیر دفاع است.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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