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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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An Islamic State fighter waves an ISIS flag while brandishing an automatic rifle in Raqaa, Syria - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Attacks the New Syrian Government
Even before a high-profile new attack in the east, shifting trends in the number, nature, and location of plots showed why the United States isn’t quite ready to take a victory lap in the battle against IS in Syria.
۱۹ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Syria's acting president Sharaa greets U.S. President Trump in Riyadh in May 2025 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Trump Meets Sharaa: Writing a New Chapter in U.S.-Syria Relations
The two leaders raised a wide array of crucial proposals, giving Secretary Rubio and the rest of the Trump team unprecedented room to set the terms for a mutually beneficial post-sanctions relationship.
۱۴ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Photo of a Syrian soldier clearing landmines in Idlib province.
Video
Brief Analysis
Syria Trip Report: Next Steps for U.S. Policy
Watch or read an in-depth conversation with three experts who have spent weeks on the ground in Syria and met with the interim authorities who toppled the Assad regime.
۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Caroline Rose
  • Gareth Browne
Photo of an Israeli tank crossing the Golan ceasefire line with Syria, December 2024.
Articles & Testimony
The Coming Clash Over Syria: Israel and Turkey Are on a Collision Course
After a stunning blow to their mutual Iranian enemy, Israel and Turkey should use close defense and intelligence dialogue to navigate Syria’s extraordinary period of flux and craft a new regional order.
۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Makovsky
  • Simone Saidmehr
Sharaa_wanted
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Sudani's Invitation to Ahmed al-Sharaa Triggers Militia Backlash
Iraq's self-styled "resistance" had an allergic reaction to the idea of Syria's new president setting foot on Iraqi soil, putting Prime Minister Sudani at odds with some of his terrorist supporters.
۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Ameer al-Kaabi
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham chief Abu Mohammed al-Jolani speaks to reporters in Damascus in December 2024 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Curbing China’s Influence on the New Syrian Government
Amid fears of Uyghur militancy and hopes of expanding business ties with Syria, Beijing has been rapidly adapting to the new reality in Damascus.
۱۷ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Grant Rumley
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Syria's interim president Ahmed al-Sharaa meets with Turkey's president Erdogan in Ankara in 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Between Israel and Turkey, Implications for the New Syria (Part 2)
A former Israeli military official and a Turkey expert discuss what each government wants from Syria, how they can address their most glaring friction points, and what the Trump administration can do to mediate the process.
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Assaf Orion
Photo of an Israeli tank crossing the Golan ceasefire line with Syria, December 2024.
Video
Brief Analysis
Between Israel and Turkey, Implications for the New Syria (Part 1)
A regional media bureau chief explains how continued Israeli military incursions in Syria are complicating efforts to stabilize the country, and why multilateral foreign assistance is a must.
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Maya Gebeily
A UNIFIL peacekeeper on duty in Lebanon - source: United Nations
Brief Analysis
Lebanon-Syria Border Talks Can Restrain Hezbollah and Boost Security
By encouraging the new Saudi-mediated talks with Damascus, Washington and its partners can help secure Beirut’s sovereignty, contain Hezbollah smuggling, and stabilize Lebanon’s other border with Israel.
۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Fighters of Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), walk together near Baghouz, Deir Al Zor province - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Facilitating the New SDF Agreement Is Key to Stabilizing Syria
The Kurdish-led group has reached important understandings with the new leadership in Damascus, but finalizing and implementing them while resolving points of contention will require further help from the United States and its partners.
۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Wladimir van Wilgenburg
A rebel fighter belonging to the Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham gestures while riding a vehicle near Aleppo in November 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The New Syrian Government’s Fight Against the Islamic State, Hezbollah, and Captagon
An in-depth look at how the new rulers tackled these counterterrorism issues in Idlib province for years prior to Assad’s fall, and what steps they are taking at the national level today.
March 2025
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Screenshot from MarineTraffic shows tracks of the Marina between Cyprus and Syria on March 28, 2025.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah-Linked LPG Tanker Sails to East Mediterranean
Past ties between the Marina and the Lebanese terrorist group, along with the ship’s deceptive practices at sea, merit U.S. scrutiny.
۲۸ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Noam Raydan
◆ Maritime Spotlight
Flags of Gulf Cooperation Council countries and Turkey on display in Riyadh
Articles & Testimony
Lessons from the Middle East’s Unfinished War
Definitive conclusions about the post-October 7 environment remain elusive, but it is not too early to draw lessons and consider the problems and opportunities that may arise from the recent upheaval in 2025.
۲۵ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Singh
Map of nothern Israel and Israel's borders with Lebanon, Syria, and Jordan. Source: Wikimedia Commons
Brief Analysis
Avoiding an Israel-Syria Showdown (Part 2): An Opening for New Negotiations
Direct Israeli dialogue with Syria’s transitional government could produce a new framework for bilateral relations—one that includes effectively ending the perpetual state of belligerency, accepting Israel’s special relationship with the Druze, agreeing on spheres of coordination throughout the south, and cooperating against Iran and Hezbollah’s comeback attempts in Syria and Lebanon.
۲۱ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Avoiding an Israel-Syria Showdown (Part 1): The Risks of “Occupation”
Israel’s cross-border incursion is understandable but may have gone too far, raising the need for U.S. intercession on merging Syria’s disparate forces, easing sanctions, deconflicting with Turkey, and other urgent stabilization tasks.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Schenker
The Syria Breakdown Series Title Card
Video
Articles & Testimony
Hope for al-Hol? The Syria Breakdown, Episode Six
Does Syria's transition away from Assad regime tyranny offer hope for closing detention camps, which have been home to thousands of internally displaced persons and Islamic State supporters?
۱۳ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
◆ The Syria Breakdown
Syria's interim leader, Ahmed al-Sharaa, addresses soldiers loyal to the new regime - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Enough with the Hand-Wringing: Al-Sharaa Is Better Than Assad
Despite well-founded worries about the rise of an Islamist government in Syria, the new rulers cannot be any worse than the previous regime—especially now that they are largely disarmed and disinclined to partner with U.S. adversaries like Iran and Russia.
۱۱ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Schenker
A Syrian man points at bullet holes in a window of a hospital in Jableh town, 25 km south of Latakia, following a spate of violence between Syrian security forces and insurgents loyal to deposed president Bashar al-Assad - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Transitional Honeymoon Is Over After Massacres and Disinformation
Amid mounting civilian deaths and rampant disinformation, the conduct of Syria’s fact-finding committee will either make or break the new government’s legitimacy and the prospects for a stable transition.
۱۰ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Uli al-Baas cover 1
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Uli al-Baas (Part 2): Key Analytic Findings
Uli al-Baas certainly looks and feels like an Iran-supported militia info-ops platform, designed to give the impression (possibly accurate) that a pantheon of armed groups are activating to fight Israel and the new Syrian government.
۹ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
  • Sary Mumayiz
◆ Militia Spotlight
Uli al-Baas-Syria
Maps & Graphics
Uli al-Baas (Part 1): A New Islamic Resistance Front in Syria?
A newly formed "resistance" group emerged online in January, vowing to confront Israel's presence and Syria’s interim president.
۹ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Sary Mumayiz
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight

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