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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Fighters of Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), walk together near Baghouz, Deir Al Zor province - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
After the SDF: What Comes Next for Northeast Syria and U.S. Policy
If done astutely, absorbing SDF personnel into the central government can preserve years of U.S. relationship-building and institutional knowledge while giving Washington a unique channel to build trust with Damascus.
۳۱ اوت ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Managing the Muhajirin: The Future of Syria’s Foreign Fighters
Congress has sought to condition U.S. support on fighter headcounts, but this approach alone won’t address the threats that are actually materializing in post-Assad Syria—in fact, it may wind up repeating mistakes made with past jihadist mobilizations.
August 2026
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Photo of Syrians holding a memorial protest for family members killed by the former Assad regime.
Brief Analysis
Assad’s Speech Laws Are Putting Syria’s Security and Reconstruction at Risk
With Assad-era laws increasingly triggered by private complaints and enforced unevenly, U.S. officials can no longer relegate these issues to secondary tracks or assume that core administration objectives will remain unaffected.
۲۸ اوت ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
A man holds his child and a flag of the new Syrian regime in Damascus after the fall of the Assad government in 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
A Visit to a Syria Reborn
The author’s return to a post-Assad Syria revealed grounds for hope—but also sobering reminders of how far the country has to go in shoring up its economy, governance, and internal security.
۱۷ اوت ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Russia Is Not Leaving Syria
While it no longer enjoys primacy in Damascus, the Kremlin has proven itself able to adapt to the new reality, and Washington must play the long game in response.
۲۷ ژوئیه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Syrian Army recruits attend their graduation ceremony from special forces training - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Why Siccing Syria’s Army on Hezbollah Is So Dangerous
The potential upsides of implementing the Trump administration’s poorly conceived idea are negligible at best, while the downsides would be legion, including further damage to Middle East stability and American interests.
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • David Schenker
President Sharaa of Syria in Damascus in 2025 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Should Not Encourage Syria to Enter Lebanon
A young government working to secure its own territory is poorly positioned to open new fronts outside its borders, and Hezbollah would quickly exploit such a move to its advantage.
Jun 12, 2026
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Photo of workers at a natural gas pipeline in Syria.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Pipeline Dream Meets Hard Realities
Asian market realities and the ongoing risks to energy investments inside Syria may put a damper on any large-scale infrastructure plans, though Damascus can better its prospects through further stabilization and reform efforts.
۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Photo of Syrians holding a memorial protest for family members killed by the former Assad regime.
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Protest Wave: A Governance Stress Test
Washington should treat the recent public discontent not as a sign that Syria’s transition is failing, but as an opportunity to help ensure that Damascus does not repeat the mistakes of previous governments.
۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Oil wells sit idle in Syria - source: Syrian Petroleum Company
Brief Analysis
The Politics Blocking Syria’s Energy Recovery
Washington’s message to Syrian officials should be simple: foreign energy capital is unlikely to flow quickly as long as the outside world sees their government as an opaque regime with unclear authority, factional infighting, uncertain legal protections, and unresolved military tensions with powerful neighbors.
۲۷ مه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa places his signature at a cabinet meeting in Damascus, October 12, 2025.
Brief Analysis
Syria’s New Government Appointments: More Continuity Than Change
The years that President Sharaa’s circle spent managing Idlib province now look less like improvised wartime governance and more like a deliberate long-term project to build the cadres of a future state.
۲۲ مه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
AlhawlsyriarefugeesISIS
Articles & Testimony
The Collapse of Indefinite Detention in Northeast Syria: Implications Seven Years Later for Syria and Beyond
An in-depth look at the swift and dramatic changes that have occurred in Syria’s vulnerable network of Islamic State detention sites, and why the international community can't just “move on” from the issue.
April 2026
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
Syrian Army recruits attend their graduation ceremony from special forces training - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Syria Is Not Ready to Wage War Beyond Its Borders
The U.S. metric for effective cooperation shouldn’t be whether Syria is willing to fight Iran’s proxies in Lebanon or Iraq, but whether it continues advancing regional stability by securing its borders, limiting the flow of Iranian weapons and fighters, and coordinating politically with neighbors.
۲۴ مارس ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Protesters wave a Syrian opposition flag during a demonstration at a Roman ruin in Deraa Province in 2016 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Syria Is Feeling the Fallout from the Iran Crisis
The war’s effects on Syria have largely fallen below the radar, yet no one should forget how much has changed there since 2024, nor how important it is to preserve the government’s accomplishments against Iran and its partners while acknowledging the conflict’s local economic consequences.
۱۸ مارس ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
What the Islamic Republic Learned About Repression From Syria
Tehran helped the Assad regime crush unarmed protests with staggering violence; now it has turned those same tactics on its own people.
۱۸ مارس ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Holly Dagres
US Army troops board transport helicopters
Articles & Testimony
Alternative Security Models for Syria Amid U.S. Pullout
By using Syria’s newfound resources as a coalition member and negotiating military assignments at the U.S. embassy, the two governments could offset many of the concerns raised by the withdrawal of American combat units.
Mar 7, 2026
◆
  • James Jeffrey
A woman at the Al-Hawl (or Al-Hol) detention camp in Syria - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
From SNAFU to FUBAR in Northeast Syria
Some 20,000 Islamic State-affiliated individuals are now unaccounted for, and no one has a plan for what to do about this mix of committed radicals, at-risk victims, and other escapees.
۲۵ فوریه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Joana Cook
Video
Articles & Testimony
Syria at a Crossroads: U.S. Policy Challenges Post-Assad
Damascus will not take the difficult steps to reconcile internal animosities and rebuild destroyed infrastructure unless outside supporters—led by the United States—speak with one voice about their expectations and red lines.
۱۰ فوریه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Video
Articles & Testimony
Cutting Through the Fog of War (and Peace) in Syria
Clear-eyed recounting and a detailed roadmap can give U.S. officials and the American public a better view of what security and governance measures the new Syrian government has taken so far, and what gaps and pitfalls remain in the path of lasting stability.
۱۰ فوریه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Protesters wave a Syrian opposition flag during a demonstration at a Roman ruin in Deraa Province in 2016 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Unifying Syria Without Reigniting War
Full Kurdish integration in Syria is one of the most important projects in the Middle East, but Washington must ensure it is accomplished without further violence, and without blowing the activities of various foreign players out of proportion.
Jan 30, 2026
◆
  • James Jeffrey

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