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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Chinese engineers pose in front of a sign announcing a Belt and Road Project construction project - source: China State Engineering Corp (Middle East) LLC
Brief Analysis
Trump’s First Steps on Syria Were Good, But Now He Must Keep China from Taking Advantage
Beijing specializes in exactly the type of infrastructure reconstruction assistance that Syria so urgently needs and may look to exploit any further delays or prohibitions stemming from U.S. export controls.
۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Grant Rumley
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Strategy Toward Post-Assad Syria
To keep Moscow from simply reestablishing control in Syria, Washington needs to employ a carrot and stick approach with Damascus, facilitate Ukrainian commercial opportunities in the region, and tackle Russia’s so-called “ghost fleet,” among other initiatives.
۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
After Assad: The Future of Syria
A former Trump administration official outlines the most important steps Washington can take to encourage Syria’s new government while systematically verifying that Damascus is living up to its commitments.
۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Schenker
Washington Institute logo, white on blue - source: The Washington Institute
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Funding Cuts Risk Jeopardizing Counter-Islamic State Operations
The Trump administration claims it is prioritizing efforts to combat the organization, but funding cuts threaten to undermine vital operations.
Jun 4, 2025
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
Brief Analysis
Reducing the U.S. Presence in Syria Too Quickly Could Help the Islamic State
Besides testing Syria’s new authorities on a mission they are not yet ready to handle by themselves, Washington also has an unprecedented chance to curtail the group in areas that were difficult to reach under the old regime.
۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Ido Levy
Harakat al-Abdal armored vehicles and flags
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Harakat al-Abdal
An inveterate opponent of the United States and Israel, the enigmatic Harakat al-Abdal may have become an entirely Qods Force-operated, Syria-based entity years ago, posing questions about where its fighters now reside and what became of its PMF status in Iraq.
۲ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Sary Mumayiz
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
An Islamic State fighter waves an ISIS flag while brandishing an automatic rifle in Raqaa, Syria - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Everyday Life in the Islamic State’s Wilayat al-Raqqah
An in-depth study of how the Islamic State’s administrative apparatus and activities in its Syrian “capital” affected local residents, and how it sought to instrumentalize the populace in a quest to sustain its wider international state-building project for the long term.
May 2025
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Syria's acting president Sharaa greets U.S. President Trump in Riyadh in May 2025 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Setting Expectations with Syria on Countering the Islamic State
After an encouraging Trump-Sharaa meeting, Washington and its partners must now facilitate the complex work of creating timelines and implementing new security arrangements to constrain the jihadist group.
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad Hassan al-Shibani attends the ceremony of the new Syrian government flag being raised for the first time, outside United Nations Headquarters in New York, U.S., April 25, 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Seizing the Moment of Opportunity in Syria: Guidelines for U.S. Action
Four experts discuss what the Trump administration needs to do to follow through on the landmark talks with President Sharaa, from sorting through the complex web of sanctions to managing allied expectations and safely handing over the counter-IS mission.
۲۲ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Souhire Medini
  • David Schenker
An Islamic State fighter waves an ISIS flag while brandishing an automatic rifle in Raqaa, Syria - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Attacks the New Syrian Government
Even before a high-profile new attack in the east, shifting trends in the number, nature, and location of plots showed why the United States isn’t quite ready to take a victory lap in the battle against IS in Syria.
۱۹ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Syria's acting president Sharaa greets U.S. President Trump in Riyadh in May 2025 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Trump Meets Sharaa: Writing a New Chapter in U.S.-Syria Relations
The two leaders raised a wide array of crucial proposals, giving Secretary Rubio and the rest of the Trump team unprecedented room to set the terms for a mutually beneficial post-sanctions relationship.
۱۴ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Photo of a Syrian soldier clearing landmines in Idlib province.
Video
Brief Analysis
Syria Trip Report: Next Steps for U.S. Policy
Watch or read an in-depth conversation with three experts who have spent weeks on the ground in Syria and met with the interim authorities who toppled the Assad regime.
۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Caroline Rose
  • Gareth Browne
Photo of an Israeli tank crossing the Golan ceasefire line with Syria, December 2024.
Articles & Testimony
The Coming Clash Over Syria: Israel and Turkey Are on a Collision Course
After a stunning blow to their mutual Iranian enemy, Israel and Turkey should use close defense and intelligence dialogue to navigate Syria’s extraordinary period of flux and craft a new regional order.
۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Makovsky
  • Simone Saidmehr
Sharaa_wanted
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Sudani's Invitation to Ahmed al-Sharaa Triggers Militia Backlash
Iraq's self-styled "resistance" had an allergic reaction to the idea of Syria's new president setting foot on Iraqi soil, putting Prime Minister Sudani at odds with some of his terrorist supporters.
۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Ameer al-Kaabi
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham chief Abu Mohammed al-Jolani speaks to reporters in Damascus in December 2024 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Curbing China’s Influence on the New Syrian Government
Amid fears of Uyghur militancy and hopes of expanding business ties with Syria, Beijing has been rapidly adapting to the new reality in Damascus.
۱۷ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Grant Rumley
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Syria's interim president Ahmed al-Sharaa meets with Turkey's president Erdogan in Ankara in 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Between Israel and Turkey, Implications for the New Syria (Part 2)
A former Israeli military official and a Turkey expert discuss what each government wants from Syria, how they can address their most glaring friction points, and what the Trump administration can do to mediate the process.
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Assaf Orion
Photo of an Israeli tank crossing the Golan ceasefire line with Syria, December 2024.
Video
Brief Analysis
Between Israel and Turkey, Implications for the New Syria (Part 1)
A regional media bureau chief explains how continued Israeli military incursions in Syria are complicating efforts to stabilize the country, and why multilateral foreign assistance is a must.
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Maya Gebeily
A UNIFIL peacekeeper on duty in Lebanon - source: United Nations
Brief Analysis
Lebanon-Syria Border Talks Can Restrain Hezbollah and Boost Security
By encouraging the new Saudi-mediated talks with Damascus, Washington and its partners can help secure Beirut’s sovereignty, contain Hezbollah smuggling, and stabilize Lebanon’s other border with Israel.
۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Fighters of Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), walk together near Baghouz, Deir Al Zor province - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Facilitating the New SDF Agreement Is Key to Stabilizing Syria
The Kurdish-led group has reached important understandings with the new leadership in Damascus, but finalizing and implementing them while resolving points of contention will require further help from the United States and its partners.
۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Wladimir van Wilgenburg
A rebel fighter belonging to the Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham gestures while riding a vehicle near Aleppo in November 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The New Syrian Government’s Fight Against the Islamic State, Hezbollah, and Captagon
An in-depth look at how the new rulers tackled these counterterrorism issues in Idlib province for years prior to Assad’s fall, and what steps they are taking at the national level today.
March 2025
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin

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