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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Washington Institute logo, white on blue - source: The Washington Institute
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Pipeline Dream Meets Hard Realities
Asian market realities and the ongoing risks to energy investments inside Syria may put a damper on any large-scale infrastructure plans, though Damascus can better its prospects through further stabilization and reform efforts.
۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Photo of Syrians holding a memorial protest for family members killed by the former Assad regime.
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Protest Wave: A Governance Stress Test
Washington should treat the recent public discontent not as a sign that Syria’s transition is failing, but as an opportunity to help ensure that Damascus does not repeat the mistakes of previous governments.
۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Oil wells sit idle in Syria - source: Syrian Petroleum Company
Brief Analysis
The Politics Blocking Syria’s Energy Recovery
Washington’s message to Syrian officials should be simple: foreign energy capital is unlikely to flow quickly as long as the outside world sees their government as an opaque regime with unclear authority, factional infighting, uncertain legal protections, and unresolved military tensions with powerful neighbors.
۲۷ مه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa places his signature at a cabinet meeting in Damascus, October 12, 2025.
Brief Analysis
Syria’s New Government Appointments: More Continuity Than Change
The years that President Sharaa’s circle spent managing Idlib province now look less like improvised wartime governance and more like a deliberate long-term project to build the cadres of a future state.
۲۲ مه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
AlhawlsyriarefugeesISIS
Articles & Testimony
The Collapse of Indefinite Detention in Northeast Syria: Implications Seven Years Later for Syria and Beyond
An in-depth look at the swift and dramatic changes that have occurred in Syria’s vulnerable network of Islamic State detention sites, and why the international community can't just “move on” from the issue.
April 2026
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  • Devorah Margolin
Syrian Army recruits attend their graduation ceremony from special forces training - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Syria Is Not Ready to Wage War Beyond Its Borders
The U.S. metric for effective cooperation shouldn’t be whether Syria is willing to fight Iran’s proxies in Lebanon or Iraq, but whether it continues advancing regional stability by securing its borders, limiting the flow of Iranian weapons and fighters, and coordinating politically with neighbors.
۲۴ مارس ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Protesters wave a Syrian opposition flag during a demonstration at a Roman ruin in Deraa Province in 2016 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Syria Is Feeling the Fallout from the Iran Crisis
The war’s effects on Syria have largely fallen below the radar, yet no one should forget how much has changed there since 2024, nor how important it is to preserve the government’s accomplishments against Iran and its partners while acknowledging the conflict’s local economic consequences.
۱۸ مارس ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
What the Islamic Republic Learned About Repression From Syria
Tehran helped the Assad regime crush unarmed protests with staggering violence; now it has turned those same tactics on its own people.
۱۸ مارس ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Holly Dagres
US Army troops board transport helicopters
Articles & Testimony
Alternative Security Models for Syria Amid U.S. Pullout
By using Syria’s newfound resources as a coalition member and negotiating military assignments at the U.S. embassy, the two governments could offset many of the concerns raised by the withdrawal of American combat units.
Mar 7, 2026
◆
  • James Jeffrey
A woman at the Al-Hawl (or Al-Hol) detention camp in Syria - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
From SNAFU to FUBAR in Northeast Syria
Some 20,000 Islamic State-affiliated individuals are now unaccounted for, and no one has a plan for what to do about this mix of committed radicals, at-risk victims, and other escapees.
۲۵ فوریه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Joana Cook
Video
Articles & Testimony
Syria at a Crossroads: U.S. Policy Challenges Post-Assad
Damascus will not take the difficult steps to reconcile internal animosities and rebuild destroyed infrastructure unless outside supporters—led by the United States—speak with one voice about their expectations and red lines.
۱۰ فوریه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Video
Articles & Testimony
Cutting Through the Fog of War (and Peace) in Syria
Clear-eyed recounting and a detailed roadmap can give U.S. officials and the American public a better view of what security and governance measures the new Syrian government has taken so far, and what gaps and pitfalls remain in the path of lasting stability.
۱۰ فوریه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Protesters wave a Syrian opposition flag during a demonstration at a Roman ruin in Deraa Province in 2016 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Unifying Syria Without Reigniting War
Full Kurdish integration in Syria is one of the most important projects in the Middle East, but Washington must ensure it is accomplished without further violence, and without blowing the activities of various foreign players out of proportion.
Jan 30, 2026
◆
  • James Jeffrey
The Ford House Office Building in Washington, DC - source: Architect of the Capitol
Video
Articles & Testimony
Securing Syria’s Transformation by Diminishing Russia’s Influence
Russia has been quietly reconsolidating its military patronage, energy ties, and future business prospects in Syria for more than a year, but Washington has multiple options for countering Moscow’s long game.
۳ فوریه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
A woman at the Al-Hawl (or Al-Hol) detention camp in Syria - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Caught in the Crossfire: Islamic State Detention Sites at Risk
With rival forces openly warring in northeast Syria, the long-deferred challenges of identifying, securing, and repatriating IS detainees have come to a head, forcing Washington to prioritize several urgent actions and put more pressure on its partners.
۲۲ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
Brief Analysis
Kurdish Collapse in Northeast Syria? Key Things to Watch
Washington Institute experts assess the immediate fallout of the Syrian government’s advance into SDF-held parts of the northeast, including mutual disinformation campaigns, implications for the Islamic State threat, the terms of new agreements with the Kurds, and the calculus of outside actors like the United States, Israel, and Turkey.
۲۱ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • James Jeffrey
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Zohar Palti
  • Assaf Orion
The oil tanker Aether, IMO no. 9328170
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran-Linked Tanker Delivers Russian Crude to Syria: Assessing the Risks
The incident points to the myriad ways that U.S. adversaries might exploit Moscow’s efforts to claim a permanent stake in Syria’s needy postwar energy sector.
۹ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Noam Raydan
Articles & Testimony
Prospects for Syria-Israel Relations
Israel may believe the tense status quo is sustainable, but Washington is frustrated about the potential implications for Arab normalization, Turkish military friction, and near-term economic plans.
January 2026
◆
  • David Schenker
The LPG Tanker GAS AURORA, IMO 9050187
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
What One LPG Tanker Reveals About the Reliability of AIS Data in Hot Spots
The vessel's tracked activities and suspicious data transmissions should be investigated for potential illicit transactions with Iran and the former Assad regime.
۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Noam Raydan
◆ Maritime Spotlight
Syrian Christians demonstrate in Damascus following the suicide bombing of the Mar Elias church - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Christians in the New Syria: Accepted, But At-Risk
Although some Christians have been targeted post-Assad, these incidents are hardly an attempted "genocide," but rather part of the broader internal security challenge affecting all communities in Syria, including the majority population.
۹ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin

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