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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Brief Analysis
Understanding Syria:
Decisionmaking in the Assad Regime
Hafez al-Assad's decision to join the peace process in 1991 was perhaps one of the most difficult decisions of his entire political career. Many analysts do not see this as a strategic decision, however it does reflect a major change in Assad's policy toward Israel. The mere fact that Assad
۲ ژوئیه ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
The Arab Summit:
Syria's Qualified Success
In its first summit in nearly six years -- and first since the Madrid process began -- the Arab League responded to the election of Binyamin Netanyahu by laying down firm peace process markers for Israel and, implicitly, the Clinton Administration. While calling for a resumption of negotiations on all
۲۵ ژوئن ۱۹۹۶
◆
  • Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Hizballah Operations:
Past Patterns, Future Prospects
An attack by Hizballah on an outpost of the South Lebanon Army last week underscores both the positive and negative outcomes of the written "understanding" negotiated by Secretary of State Warren Christopher -- namely, while northern Israel and Lebanese civilian targets should be spared further attacks, armed conflict between Israel
۷ مه ۱۹۹۶
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Changing Assad's Incentive Structure:
Christopher in the 'Lion's Den'
As foreign ministers of seven countries descended upon Damascus and Operation Grapes of Wrath shifted into low gear, katyushas continued to fall on northern Israel over the weekend, bringing the count to nearly 500 over the past twelve days. Apparently, none of the seven -- American, French, Russian, Italian, Spanish
۲۲ آوریل ۱۹۹۶
◆
  • Robert Satloff
  • Alan Makovsky
In-Depth Reports
Partner or Pariah?
Attitudes toward Israel in Syria, Lebanon, and Jordan
The Arab-Israeli conflict is generally considered a political and military confrontation between Israeli and neighboring Arab countries. Negotiations and agreements between the two sides therefore tend to concentrate on official matters such as diplomatic recognition, security measures, and other formal aspects of interstate relations. Unlike their Israeli counterparts, Arab citizens
۱ آوریل ۱۹۹۶
◆
  • Hilal Khashan
In-Depth Reports
Syria Beyond the Peace Process
While the pursuit of Arab-Israeli peace justly remains the dominant U.S. interest in the Levant, it is important to assess Syrian politics through a wider political lens. Since coming to power in 1970, Assad has imposed a brutal, authoritarian police state that has brought an unprecedented measure of stability to
۱ فوریه ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
Beyond the Golan:
Prospects for Syrian-Turkish Confrontation
Even as attention is focused on the outcome of Syrian-Israeli talks at Wye Plantation, potentially ominous developments are taking place on Syria's northern border, where the regime of Hafiz al-Assad has upped its challenge to Turkey. While tensions between the two states go back a half century, simmering largely beyond
۲۵ ژانویه ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Autumn Chill on the Syrian Track
As Secretary Christopher meets Syrian Foreign Minister Shar'a in New York, it is clear that a deep chill has descended over Syrian-Israeli peacemaking in just the few weeks since the chorus of calls, at the Oslo B signing ceremonies, for President Assad to join the expanding "circle of peace." Encouraging
۲۳ اکتبر ۱۹۹۵
◆
  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
The Arab-Israeli Peace Process:
Politics, Policy, and Public Opinion
On, July 10, 1995, Samuel Lewis, counselor to the Washington Institute, and Robert Satloff, executive director of the Washington Institute, addressed a session of the The Washington Institute's Policy Forum on the status of the peace process and its future development. The following is a rapporteur's summary of their remarks
۱۰ ژوئیه ۱۹۹۵
◆
  • Samuel Lewis
  • Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
Supporting Peace:
America's Role in an Israel-Syria Peace Agreement
۱ نوامبر ۱۹۹۴
In-Depth Reports
Tourism Cooperation in the Levant
Tourism offers an opportunity to promote the economic development of the Levant, demonstrate the material rewards of peace, and forge cooperation between Israel and its neighbors. To be economically sound, however, regional cooperation must generate additional tourism, rather than redistributing existing visitors. Foreign governments and international aid agencies can encourage
۱ مه ۱۹۹۴
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
Toward a Syrian-Israeli Peace Agreement:
Perspective of a Former Negotiator
Hafez al-Assad's rise to power in 1970 ended Syria's chronic instability and placed it at the forefront of the pan-Arab struggle against Israel. For many years, Syria was the most militant of the front-line Arab states and rejected any notion of peaceful co-existence with Israel. Yet, despite its radical posture
۳۰ آوریل ۱۹۹۴
Brief Analysis
Prospects for the Clinton-Assad Meeting:
Lessons from the Past
On January 13, 1994, Dr. Joseph Sisco, undersecretary of state for political affairs in the Nixon and Ford administrations; Dr. William Quandt, member of the National Security Council staff during the Nixon and Carter administrations; and Dr. Richard Haass, senior director for Near East and South Asian affairs at the
۲۶ ژانویه ۱۹۹۴
In-Depth Reports
Radical Middle East States and U.S. Policy
The challenge posed to the United States by the radical regimes in the Middle East -- Libya, Iraq, Iran, and Syria -- is one of the most important foreign policy issues facing Washington today. These regimes, although weakened by the demise of the USSR, have by no means been disabled
۱ ژوئن ۱۹۹۳
◆
  • Barry Rubin
In-Depth Reports
Peace with Security:
Israel's Minimal Security Requirements in Negotiations with Syria
Although the uncertain status of the Palestinians lies at the heart of the Arab-Israeli conflict, without Syria there simply can be no progress in the peace process. In the past, Syria was satisfied with the status quo and saw little need to establish peaceful relations with Israel. With the collapse
۱ آوریل ۱۹۹۳
◆
  • Zeev Schiff
In-Depth Reports
Arming for Peace?
Syria's Elusive Quest for 'Strategic Parity'
Under the leadership of President Hafez al-Assad, Syria has emerged as the leading Arab military power. With Egypt at peace with Israel and Iraq weakened and isolated, Syria remains the only Arab state which currently poses a military threat to Israel. Future decisions concerning war or peace in the region
۱ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۲
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
Damascus Courts the West:
Syrian Politics, 1989-1991
The Syrian regime of Hafez al-Assad has in the past year seemed to change direction, first with tentative moves toward liberalization, then by siding with the American-led coalition that fought against Saddam Hussein and, perhaps most dramatically, by acceding to America’s wish to attend a peace conference with Israel. There
۱ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۱
Brief Analysis
Baker's Damascus Trip:
Is Syria America's New Iraq?
It is surprising how few Arabs and Arab states are supporting Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein. As Secretary of State James Baker's visit to Damascus on Thursday shows, the anti-Iraq coalition includes the Arab world's three other most important powers: Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Syria. This triumverate marks the Arab world's
۱۱ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۰
◆
  • Barry Rubin
In-Depth Reports
At Arm's Length:
Soviet-Syrian Relations in the Gorbachev Era
Though the impact of the Soviet Union’s “new thinking” has been less dramatic in the Middle East than in other regions of Third World conflict, its effects are nonetheless beginning to be felt. An important development in this regard has been signs of decreasing Soviet support for Syria, the Arab
۱ نوامبر ۱۹۸۹
◆
  • John Hannah
In-Depth Reports
Unaffordable Ambitions:
Syria's Military Build-Up and Economic Crisis
In the last decade, Syria has forcefully opposed U.S.-supported peace initiatives for Lebanon and the Arab-Israeli conflict. Syria’s inflexibility has persuaded many observers that little can be done to influence its president, Hafez al-Assad. In fact, much can be done once his vulnerabilities are understood. In this Policy Paper, Patrick
۱ اکتبر ۱۹۸۹
◆
  • Patrick Clawson

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