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ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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A poster at a Pentagon briefing depicts the U.S. bombing attack on Iran's Fordow uranium enrichment facility in July 2025 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
After the Bombing: Iran’s Nuclear Options
While the recent military strikes against its nuclear program may further incentivize Tehran to go for the bomb, they may also complicate such efforts and give Washington more leverage to dissuade it.
۲۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Leveraging Iran’s Defeat to Strengthen U.S.-Iraq Security Relations
Tehran’s Iraqi proxies mostly sat out the twelve-day war, but this pragmatic restraint will not forestall growing U.S.-Iran competition over Iraq’s airspace, economic partnerships, and other sectors.
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Knights
Iranian women display their national flag at a soccer game - source: Reuters
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How Iran’s Turn to Nationalism Affects U.S. Policy
The Supreme Leader and his domestic echo chambers have shown a remarkable shift in emphasis from religious authority to full-throated pre-revolutionary nationalism, and Washington should adjust its messaging accordingly.
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Turkish president Erdogan - Source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
How Turkey Views the Iran-Israel Confrontation
Despite long opposing Tehran’s nuclear ambitions, Ankara has a strong national security interest in avoiding moves that result in either direct Turkish hostilities with Iran or the collapse of the Islamic Republic.
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
An Opportunity Not to Be Missed: Agenda for the Trump-Netanyahu Meeting
The two leaders should focus on articulating a vision for a diplomatic agreement with Iran, sketching a common roadmap on Gaza, setting the stage for further Arab-Israeli normalization, and updating the parameters of bilateral strategic cooperation for a new regional reality.
۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dana Stroul
  • Robert Satloff
Two Iranian women hug each other while a country's flag and a portrait of an Iran-Israel war victim are projected on the Azadi (Freedom) Monument in western Tehran, Iran, on June 25, 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran on Day 13: Gauging Regime Choices and Public Attitudes After the War
Two human rights experts discuss the chances that Iran’s domestic crackdown will escalate under the ceasefire, while a former CIA manager explains why the clock is rapidly ticking away on key elements needed to effectively monitor the damaged nuclear program.
۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Holly Dagres
  • Roya Boroumand
  • Norman Roule
Video
Brief Analysis
After the "Hammer": Postwar Opportunities and Risks for U.S. Policy in the Middle East
The objectives of Operation Midnight Hammer aligned with the broader U.S. goals of curbing Iranian threats and stabilizing the Middle East—but military force alone will not produce those outcomes.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Robert Satloff
  • Mona Yacoubian
  • Richard Nephew
A photo illustration shows US and Iranian flags and an atomic symbol - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Iran Talks Are Still Necessary—Here’s What They Should Focus On
From insisting on zero enrichment to making the ceasefire conditional, officials should ensure that any post-conflict negotiations with Tehran fully address U.S. policy imperatives, including the need to prevent reconstitution of the nuclear program.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Why Putin Won’t Come to Iran’s Rescue Against Israel
Although Tehran’s current vulnerability presents important opportunities to counter Russia’s strategic ambitions, Moscow has long retained its influence in the region by purposefully avoiding overcommitment to any one partner.
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
A photo illustration shows US and Iranian flags and an atomic symbol - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Back to the Table? Recommendations for Negotiations with Iran
A compilation of views on the next round of prospective talks with Iran, sanctions relief options, military and technical considerations, the international role, and more.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Richard Nephew
  • Farzin Nadimi
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Michael Singh
  • Grant Rumley
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Video
Brief Analysis
Energy and Economic Implications of the Iran-Israel Conflict
Three experts explore the war’s impact on global energy markets, Iran-Gulf relations, President Trump’s oil price calculations, and more.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Homayoun Falakshahi
  • Jennifer Gnana
  • Gregory Brew
Nuclear centrifuges in Iran
Articles & Testimony
Did the Attacks on Iran Succeed?
Israel and the United States bought themselves time on the nuclear issue, but the decision to take the military path raises a host of other risks and questions.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Richard Nephew
US and Israeli military planes participate in the 2023 Juniper Oak joint exercise - source: IDF
Articles & Testimony
Why War? Why Now? Assessing Iranian Intentions and Capabilities
Israeli and American intelligence reached different conclusions while looking at the same information, so understanding what Jerusalem and Tehran were thinking before the war is crucial to forecasting what could come next.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Retaliation: Choreography, Escalation Management, and the Mirage of “All-Out” War
Fears of an “all-out” war with Iran have been greatly overstated, and they fail to account for the Islamic Republic’s overriding desire to avoid such an outcome and the diverse repertoire it has developed to prevent one.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
A USAF B-2 Spirit bomber refuels in flight - source: Department of Defense
Video
Brief Analysis
U.S. Attacks Iranian Nuclear Sites: Implications for Israel, the Middle East, and U.S. Policy
Two veteran U.S. officials join a former Israeli ambassador to discuss the effects and future consequences of the Trump administration’s decision to strike Iran’s nuclear program.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dana Stroul
  • Michael Herzog
  • Dennis Ross
  • Robert Satloff
An Iranian soldier wearing an IRGC uniform salutes in front of an Iranin flag - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Is the Islamic Republic Starting to Crack? The Signs to Watch
Although the crisis has not yet checked all the boxes that would signal fatal regime vulnerability, the situation could change quickly due to shifting conditions on the battlefield, on the streets, or within the halls of power in Tehran.
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Holly Dagres
Israeli firefighters work at the site of in Iranian missile strike on a residential building in Tel Aviv in June 2025 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How Iran Could Escalate
In the wake of retaliatory strikes on U.S. targets, a former Pentagon official assesses Tehran’s bad options and Washington’s best response.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
How the Iran-Israel Conflict Is Affecting Gulf Energy and Maritime Security
For regional countries seeking to transform their economies and partner with the United States in areas including AI, the current war poses risks that could reverberate in the global economy.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Noam Raydan
A highway bridge in Tehran displays images of nuclear scientists killed during Israeli strikes against Iran in June 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
The Bigger Picture in the Iran-Israel Conflict: Russia, Missiles, Militias, and More
Four experts assess how outside players might respond to the showdown, and whether Tehran will switch up its calculus on procurement, attack tactics, and other military matters as the fight goes on.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Michael Knights
  • Farzin Nadimi
  • Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
What Nuclear Restrictions Would Be Required for a Viable Iran-Israel Ceasefire?
The most important restrictions include measures like permanently dismantling enrichment infrastructure and properly disposing of key materials and equipment, but policymakers need to be clear-eyed about the inherent limitations of even the strictest verification agreement.
۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Richard Nephew
  • Patrick Clawson

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