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ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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The national flags of China and Iran fly in Tiananmen Square during Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi's visit to Beijing, China, February 14, 2023 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Is There a China Strategy Behind the Iran War?
The Trump administration’s inconsistent China policy is undermining efforts to parlay the conflict into a geopolitical win.
۴ مه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Michael Sobolik
  • Grant Rumley
Screenshot from MarineTraffic showing the route of the Idemitsu Maru.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Why Iran’s Navigational Order Will Be Difficult to Overturn
Tehran has upended traditional maritime arrangements in the Strait of Hormuz and remains in the driver’s seat despite U.S. pressure, so authorities cannot expect to reverse this shift quickly even if the war ends soon.
۱ مه ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Noam Raydan
Iranians shop in a Tehran market ahead of Nowruz celelbrations in 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Self-Destruct Mode: Why Government Incompetence Means Even Immediate Peace with the U.S. Would Not Save Iran
Tehran’s ongoing failures in critical areas such as fiscal responsibility, energy, and infrastructure repair are doing even more damage to the country’s economic position than the war itself.
۳۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Mojtaba Khamenei - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Let Iran Defeat Itself
Bailing out the regime’s new batch of hardline leaders would only help them remain a regional menace, so Washington should be very selective about whatever peace deal it signs, leaving room for the Iranian people to seek change themselves.
۲۸ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Richard Nephew
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi greets Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov and Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi in Beijing in March 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Wartime Support to Iran: Implications for the Middle East and Beyond
Three experts explore the regional and global implications of Russian and Chinese support for Tehran, including how much this assistance actually affects U.S. efforts to weaken the regime’s capabilities and bring the crisis to an end.
۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Hasan Alhasan
  • Nicole Grajewski
  • Matthew Tavares
A British sailor salutes the Royal Navy flag - source: Department of Defense
Brief Analysis
Encouraging European Military Efforts to Reopen the Strait of Hormuz
Although the new European-led military initiative signals a divergence from the current U.S. approach, Washington could still harness Paris and London’s ability to mobilize international action on the shared goal of preventing Tehran from flexing its leverage over global energy markets.
۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Souhire Medini
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Support for Russia and Lessons Learned from Ukraine
By taking urgent steps to institutionalize the wartime partnerships formed with (and between) Ukraine, the Gulf states, and Syria, Congress can strike heavy long-term blows against hostile Russian influence in the Middle East.
۲۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
He Dreamed of Regime Change
The diplomat Uri Lubrani was renowned for his persistent assertion that such an outcome in Iran was not only feasible but inevitable.
۱۷ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Martin Kramer
Vice President Vance arrives in Pakistan for talks with Iranian counterparts in April 2026 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Moving from War to Diplomacy: What’s Next for Iran, Lebanon, and Gaza?
Amid major diplomatic milestones and major international security threats, three experts explore what it will take to achieve success on multiple negotiating tracks at once.
۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Michael Herzog
  • Robert Satloff
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Jordanian flag
Brief Analysis
Jordan’s Wartime Balancing Act
The economic, political, and diplomatic fallout of the Iran crisis is bending the kingdom in multiple directions, but Washington can do much to ease the domestic stress, avoid bilateral friction, and address Amman’s growing rift with Israel.
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Egypt’s Gulf-Iran Dilemma
Cairo has put a premium on de-escalation in order to end the war as soon as possible and lessen the economic and energy shocks afterward, but this approach could backfire with its longtime benefactors in the Gulf states.
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
In Iran Negotiations, the White House’s Military Options Are Dwindling
Rather than pushing for the unrealistic goal of reaching a comprehensive deal in two weeks, the Trump administration should take the necessarily more patient approach of working through America’s strong network of allies to strengthen its hand.
۱۴ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Dana Stroul
Russian President Vladimir Putin meets Chinese President Xi Jinping at a summit in Beijing - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Tracking Chinese and Russian Statements on the Iran War
A regularly updated compendium of Beijing and Moscow’s reactions to the fighting in Iran, Lebanon, and beyond, including analysis of the similarities and differences in their respective diplomatic approaches to the crisis.
April 2026
◆
  • Grant Rumley
  • Shivane Anand
An Iranian woman walks by the scene of a U.S. airstrike in Tehran - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
In the Dark and in Danger: Iran’s Internet Shutdown and Wartime Repression
Human rights experts diagnose the current public mood in Iran and discuss how foreign governments can help counter the regime’s growing use of internet blackouts and other digital repression tools.
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Mahsa Alimardani
  • Nazanin Boniadi
  • Roya Boroumand
A photo illustration depicts chess pieces and the Iranian and U.S. flags - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How Trump Could Still Get a Strategic Win from the Iran War
As long as the Strait of Hormuz is fully reopened and enriched uranium is shipped out, ending the war quickly may be Washington’s best bet, since Tehran would be left to deal with dire domestic problems it has no answer for.
۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Dennis Ross
A man walks by a mural of international currencies
Articles & Testimony
How the Iran War Will Upend the Global Economy
Beyond the widely discussed risk of energy shocks, the war also seems likely to spark a prolonged debt crisis, especially for the world’s poorest nations.
۸ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Henry Tugendhat
Iraqi protesters display Iranian and Popular Mobilization Forces militia flags at a demonstration in Baghdad following the killing of Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Iraq Is at Another Crossroads with Iran-Backed Militias—and Washington
Although U.S. officials should keep pushing Baghdad to move against these groups, the Iran war has demonstrated the need to seek other avenues of pressure and recalibrate the bilateral relationship.
۸ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • David Schenker
Armed members of the Iraqi Shiite militia Asaib Ahl al-Haq demonstrate at a funeral in Iraq - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
What an “Iranian Proxies” Agreement Should Encompass
As wider peace negotiations continue, U.S. officials should carefully consider the many moving parts needed for a proxies deal to succeed—and what Washington would do if Tehran starts flagrantly violating its terms.
۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Michael Jacobson
Articles & Testimony
War with Iran Tests Gulf-US Economic Model
The longstanding balance of Gulf security—in which states quietly maintained ties with Tehran while relying on Washington as the ultimate guarantor—is now under strain, making the future of their investment flows into the United States difficult to judge.
۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Simon Henderson
A photo illustration depicts chess pieces and the Iranian and U.S. flags - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Diplomacy During War: Priorities for the Trump Administration
Three former U.S. policy practitioners experienced in negotiating with Iran discuss what kind of agreement is possible, what each side may require to make it happen, and how officials in Washington, Israel, the Gulf states, and Europe should address emerging differences in their objectives.
۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۶
◆
  • Emily Harding
  • Richard Nephew
  • Michael Singh
  • Nancy A. Youssef

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