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ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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Flowers and a portrait of Hassan Nasrallah at a memorial to the slain Hezbollah leader in Beirut - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How the Death of Hezbollah’s Nasrallah Brings a Renewed Opportunity for Mideast Peace
Netanyahu must translate Israel’s military achievements in Lebanon into political outcomes while also preventing far-right nationalists in his coalition from defining what is possible with the Palestinians.
۲۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Jeffrey Sonnenfeld
  • Dennis Ross
  • Steven Tian
Nasrallah
Brief Analysis
What Nasrallah’s Death Could Mean for the Hezbollah Network
Iran’s proxy faces steep challenges on the leadership and military fronts, and the international community can now act vigorously to free Lebanon from its grip.
۲۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Boosting Military Support to Ukraine Can Help Deter Iran
From facilitating a no-fly zone over Ukraine to interdicting Iranian missile transfers, Washington and its allies have various means of answering the latest strategic shift in the war.
۲۵ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Street in Tehran
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran's Debate about Weekends Highlights Tehran's Ideological Constraints
The debate over making Saturday the official second day of the weekend nationwide instead of Thursday has become a hot topic in Iran in recent months, highlighting the clash between the the regime’s ideology and the country’s economic reality.
۱۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Saeid Golkar
Brief Analysis
Middle East Developments Overshadow the IAEA Conference
Iranian missiles for Russia, Houthi attacks on Israel, and North Korea’s surprise display of centrifuges have quickly changed the atmosphere of the nuclear agency’s annual meeting.
۱۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Hezbollah fighters parade with flags in Lebanon in 2019 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Israel and the Coming Long War
To defeat Iran’s "resistance" axis, the IDF needs a new strategy—and a unified country.
۱۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
Netanyahu Is Playing Into Khamenei’s Hands
Iran’s leaders are playing a long game; Israel’s leaders are not.
۱۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Easier Said than Done: Renewing Maximum Pressure on Iran
New strategic realities and the ever-present challenge of enforcement would make it difficult to reinvigorate the heavy international sanctions regimes seen in past years.
August 2024
◆
  • Richard Nephew
Brief Analysis
Another One-Day War? What the Latest Hezbollah-Israel Clash Reveals About Deterrence and Escalation
Israeli and Lebanese experts join two former U.S. officials to discuss what each party was thinking before, during, and after this weekend’s exchange of strikes—and whether war in the north has become inevitable regardless of near-term de-escalation.
۲۷ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Ben Fishman
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Assaf Orion
  • Dennis Ross
Iran's president-elect Pezeshkian speaks in Tehran - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Pezeshkian’s Cabinet Reflects Iran’s Institutional Stagnation
The regime’s preference for ideological commitment over expertise has compromised its bureaucratic hiring processes and led to massive institutional decay, making it unlikely that the new president will be able to fulfill his campaign promises or otherwise govern effectively.
۱۹ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Saeid Golkar
Asad attack
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militias Signal De-Escalation with the U.S., Return to Cosmetic Israel Strikes
The self-styled Iraqi "resistance" has hinted at a desire to end the tit-for-tat sequence of strikes with the United States and return to cost-free counter-Israel operations.
۱۸ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Countering Iran in East Syria Means Moderating the SDF
Groups supported by Iran and the Assad regime have found some local traction due in part to grievances against the Kurdish-led SDF’s governance strategy in Arab tribal areas.
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
President Joe Biden gestures while speaking - source: White House
Articles & Testimony
There Is Still Time to Stop a Wider War in the Middle East
Because the landscape has shifted since April, the Biden administration’s previous script for preventing irreversible escalation may no longer work.
۱۵ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Dana Stroul
◆ Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
The US Navy carrier Abraham Lincoln sails alongside an escort destroyer - source: U.S. Navy
تحلیل کوتاه
تنها یک تهدید تهاجمی معتبر می‌تواند ایران را از بالا رفتن از نردبان تنش باز دارد
در میان موجی از تحرکات دیپلماتیک و استقرار توانایی‌های نظامی ایالات متحده در منطقه، مشخص نیست که ایران شرمسار از کشته شدن اسماعیل هنیه در پایتخت خود به اسراییل حمله خواهد کرد یا خیر، اما یک نکته روشن است: اگر به ایران اجازه داده شود که حمله مستقیم به اسراییل را بدون پیامدهای معنی‌دار تکرار کند، سابقه خطرناکی ایجاد خواهد شد.
۱۵ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • فرزین ندیمی
Photo of a woman walking in front of a mural that shows missiles being launched from Iran.
Video
Brief Analysis
On the Brink? The Potential for a Broader Conflict in the Middle East
An Israeli general and two former U.S. officials discuss the prospects of an imminent Iranian attack and what can be done to deter it.
۱۴ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Amir Eshel
  • David M. Satterfield
  • Dana Stroul
A poster depicts former Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh alongside the Iranian flag in Tehran following Haniyeh's killing in Iran - source: Reuters
تحلیل کوتاه
آیا دو حمله‌ی اخیر مذاکرات غزه و قدرت بازدارندگی در برابر ایران-حزب‌الله را از بین می‌برد؟
چهار کارشناس انستیتو واشینگتن در مطلب زیر به بررسی محاسبات اسراییل در پشت انجام چنین حملات پر سر و صدایی در این برهه زمانی، تأثیرات احتمالی آنها بر روی مذاکرات آزادسازی گروگان‌های غزه، نیاز احتمالی ایران به پاسخ نظامی برای حفظ آبرو، و موارد دیگر پرداخته‌اند.
۹ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • دنیس راس
  • دیوید ماکوفسکی
  • نئومی نیومن
  • فرزین ندیمی
Screenshot from the Iran External Operations interactive map and timeline
Video
Brief Analysis
Mapping Iranian External Operations Worldwide
Three counterterrorism experts and former officials discuss a powerful new interactive tool and its implications for mobilizing international pressure on Iran and its proxies.
۹ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Magnus Ranstorp
  • Norman Roule
Screenshot of the Iran External Operations interactive map
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
Iranian External Operations Interactive Map and Timeline
Access this powerful tool, which maps over forty-five years of Iranian clandestine operations around the globe.
۶ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Rocket truck used to attack US forces at Al-Asad, Iraq, Aug 5, 2024
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
What to Make of Recent Attacks on Coalition Bases in Iraq and Syria?
The strikes are not yet numerous enough to form a definitive pattern, but they probably reflect deep militia divisions over whether to renew anti-coalition attacks in earnest amid the Gaza war.
۵ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
Almustafa uni
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Al-Mustafa International University-Iraq
Far from a normal educational institution, al-Mustafa is the Iraqi branch of a U.S.-sanctioned Iranian entity that seeks to groom the next generation of Iraqi clerics, missionaries, pro-Iran political representatives, and pro-Iran militia members.
۵ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles

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