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دمکراسی و اصلاح

Policy Analysis on دمکراسی و اصلاح

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Photo of Syrian medics evacuating injured troops after violent clashes in Suwayda province..
Video
Brief Analysis
Violence in Suwayda: No “Plan B” for Syria?
Join us for an expert webcast examining the recent sectarian bloodshed in southern Syria and what steps the new government in Damascus can take to protect minorities during the transition to a stable post-Assad regime. Watch live starting at 11:00 a.m. (1500 GMT) on Monday, July 28, 2025.
July 28, 2025, starting at 11:00 a.m. (1500 GMT)
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Sawsan Abou Zainedin
  • Mazen Ezzi
Bedouin fighters stopped at a government checkpoint near Suwayda in July 2025 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Making Sure Damascus Learns the Right Lessons from the Suwayda Clashes
The deep problems within the transitional government’s security ranks have once again been tragically exposed, so the Trump administration should increase pressure on the foreign fighter issue and related matters—for the sake of Syria’s minorities and U.S. regional interests alike.
۲۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
U.S. flag and Algerian flag; silhouettes of oil rig, migrant families
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Strategic U.S. Engagement with Algeria:
A Pathway amid Shifting Global Dynamics
Washington should help Algiers embrace greater openness, both to promote stability in North Africa and to advance U.S. interests like counterterrorism and economic competition with China.
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
Hezbollah March
Brief Analysis
Now Is Not the Time to Ease Up on Hezbollah—or Beirut
After giving Lebanese officials a much-needed ultimatum for disarming Hezbollah and implementing financial reforms, Washington is now in danger of letting them once again punt these all-important tasks.
۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Schenker
Iranian women display their national flag at a soccer game - source: Reuters
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How Iran’s Turn to Nationalism Affects U.S. Policy
The Supreme Leader and his domestic echo chambers have shown a remarkable shift in emphasis from religious authority to full-throated pre-revolutionary nationalism, and Washington should adjust its messaging accordingly.
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Here’s How State Department Cuts Would Impede U.S. Policy in the Middle East
The Trump administration’s budget cuts, intended to make America “safer, stronger, and more prosperous,” could wind up harming U.S. interests in the region while strengthening Russian and Chinese media warfare.
۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Ben Fishman
  • Elizabeth Surman
Two Iranian women hug each other while a country's flag and a portrait of an Iran-Israel war victim are projected on the Azadi (Freedom) Monument in western Tehran, Iran, on June 25, 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran on Day 13: Gauging Regime Choices and Public Attitudes After the War
Two human rights experts discuss the chances that Iran’s domestic crackdown will escalate under the ceasefire, while a former CIA manager explains why the clock is rapidly ticking away on key elements needed to effectively monitor the damaged nuclear program.
۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Holly Dagres
  • Roya Boroumand
  • Norman Roule
A Sudanese protester against military rule
Brief Analysis
To Resolve Sudan’s Conflict, Merge the Jeddah and Quad Tracks
The best way to bolster the Trump administration’s new “Quad” initiative is by combining it with a previous Saudi-American platform that already has significant buy-in from the warring parties.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Areig Elhag
Syrian Christians demonstrate in Damascus following the suicide bombing of the Mar Elias church - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Damascus Church Attack: Who Is Saraya Ansar al-Sunnah?
Although definitively identifying the group responsible for the bombing may take more time, authorities in Damascus and Washington already have more than enough information to beef up their security cooperation and reassure Syrian minorities that they won’t be targeted.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
An Iranian soldier wearing an IRGC uniform salutes in front of an Iranin flag - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Is the Islamic Republic Starting to Crack? The Signs to Watch
Although the crisis has not yet checked all the boxes that would signal fatal regime vulnerability, the situation could change quickly due to shifting conditions on the battlefield, on the streets, or within the halls of power in Tehran.
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Holly Dagres
A Syrian woman holds a portrait of her missing son during a protest against the Assad regime in 2012 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Without Accountability, Syria’s Sectarian Violence Will Only Worsen
The government’s plans for (and capacity to carry out) amnesties and transitional justice remain uncertain, spurring some Sunnis and Alawites to take matters into their own hands and contribute to a rising wave of intercommunal violence.
۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Kayla Koontz
  • Gregory Waters
An Islamic State fighter waves an ISIS flag while brandishing an automatic rifle in Raqaa, Syria - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Everyday Life in the Islamic State’s Wilayat al-Raqqah
An in-depth study of how the Islamic State’s administrative apparatus and activities in its Syrian “capital” affected local residents, and how it sought to instrumentalize the populace in a quest to sustain its wider international state-building project for the long term.
May 2025
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Libya Is At Its Lowest Point Since 2020
Now that Libya has become an outright kleptocracy—with billions missing from the public treasury and national politics frozen—the Trump administration may need to throw a sanctions “grenade” into the mix.
۹ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Photo of a Syrian soldier clearing landmines in Idlib province.
Video
Brief Analysis
Syria Trip Report: Next Steps for U.S. Policy
Watch or read an in-depth conversation with three experts who have spent weeks on the ground in Syria and met with the interim authorities who toppled the Assad regime.
۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Caroline Rose
  • Gareth Browne
Iranian presidential candidate Masoud Pezeshkian poses in front of a poster of Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei prior to Iran's 2024 presidential elections - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Pragmatists Open a Window in Tehran—But for How Long?
Regime officials and the Supreme Leader himself have signaled a willingness to make unprecedented concessions, but taking advantage of this opening will require careful U.S. messaging on counterterrorism, regional deterrence, and human rights.
۷ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
Brief Analysis
How to Ensure the PLO Meeting Goes Beyond Token Reforms
Although President Abbas seems more focused on meeting diplomatic expectations abroad than dealing with burning issues at home, officials should still push him to propose something beyond cosmetic change—both to address the reality in the West Bank and, perhaps, to legitimize the PA’s eventual return to Gaza.
۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
A member of Jordan's Muslim Brotherhood speaks - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Brotherhood May Have Pushed Jordan Too Far This Time
As revelations continue to unfold about the group’s involvement in militant plots, weapons smuggling, and coordination with foreign accomplices, Amman will likely feel obligated to crack down—the question is how much?
۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Iranian women display their national flag at a soccer game - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Trump Shouldn’t Forget the Iranian People
As nuclear talks proceed, the president should recall his past acknowledgement that respect for human rights and democracy is “an integral component of U.S. national security.”
۱۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Holly Dagres
  • Azadeh Pourzand
  • Kelly Shannon
Syria's interim president Ahmed al-Sharaa meets with Turkey's president Erdogan in Ankara in 2025 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Between Israel and Turkey, Implications for the New Syria (Part 2)
A former Israeli military official and a Turkey expert discuss what each government wants from Syria, how they can address their most glaring friction points, and what the Trump administration can do to mediate the process.
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Assaf Orion
An Iraqi member of a Shia PMF militia
Brief Analysis
The Danger of Letting Iraq’s PMF Authority Law Pass
The Trump administration needs to quietly but firmly signal Baghdad that enshrining the militia umbrella group as a de facto “Iraqi IRGC” would pose an unacceptable threat to U.S. interests.
۸ آوریل ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Knights

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Supported by the

Project Fikra: Defeating Extremism through the Power of Ideas

Fikra n. [Arabic] "Idea"

The Washington Institute's Project Fikra is a multiyear program of research, publication, and network-building designed to generate policy ideas for promoting positive change and countering the spread of extremism in the Middle East.

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