دمکراسی و اصلاح

Policy Analysis on دمکراسی و اصلاح

چشم واشنگتن به حشد شعبی که سلطه خود را در عراق تحکیم می‌کند

رویکرد بی‌سروصدا و بردبارانه دولت بایدن در قبال السودانی نخست‌وزیر عراق نتایجی مثبت در پی داشته، اما از رفتار حزب‌الله و حوثی‌ها می‌توان نتیجه گرفت که نیروهای نیابتی ایران وقتی مهار نشوند، معمولا تمایل به آن دارند که سلطه خود را بر حکومت استوار ‌کنند.

۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳

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دیوید شنکر

Fikra Forum

In Iraq, the Kurds Are Their Own Worst Enemy

Kurds were once referred to as kingmakers, a pillar of stability, and the most powerful force in the fight against ISIS. Now, the Kurdish Region of Iraq is crippled by ferocious partisanships, tribal politics, and internal splits.

۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳

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Yerevan Saeed

Fikra Forum

Media and Official Reactions to Erdoğan’s Win

Considering Turkey’s pivotal role in the region and a number of current global issues, it’s no wonder that Arab media across the Middle East closely followed Turkey’s recent elections and speculated about the impact of the election results.

۱۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳

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Mohamed Abdelaziz

Fikra Forum

Egypt: A National Dialogue or A Political Maneuver?

With key topics and figures excluded, Egypt's national dialogue is unlikely to achieve much in the way of reform.

۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳

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Dalia Ziada

Israeli Minister of Defense Benny Gantz - source: Israeli Ministry of Defense

Video

Brief Analysis

Israel's Challenges at Home and Abroad: A View from the Opposition

Opposition leader and former defense minister Benny Gantz discusses Israel’s domestic political challenges, the triggers for action against Iran’s nuclear program, the prospects of normalization with Saudi Arabia, and more.

۸ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳

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Benny Gantz
Robert Satloff
David Makovsky

A view of the 18th hole of a 2022 LIV Golf tournament in Thailand - source: Reuters

Brief Analysis

Golf Detente: Saudi Arabia’s LIV to Merge with the PGA

The deal raises questions about Riyadh’s human rights record and media double standards, but its most important outcome may be further diversification of the Saudi economy away from oil dependence.

۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳

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David Schenker

مقاله‌ها و دیدگاه‌ها

وقت دور زدن «رهبر» ایران است

سپاه پاسداران، با منافع اقتصادی خود و آسیب‌پذیری در برابر تحریم‌ها، بیشتر به توافق بر سر مسئله هسته‌ای تمایل دارد.

۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳

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مهدی خلجی

Articles & Testimony

Iraq Is Quietly Falling Apart

While Washington focuses on great power competition, Iran’s proxies have seized power in Baghdad and are gutting the state.

۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳

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Michael Knights

Articles & Testimony

US Foreign Policy in Tunisia: Dilemmas and Prospects

By standing up for human rights and taking concrete steps to support a receptive Tunisian public, Washington can help overcome its reputation for putting security and economic interests ahead of democratic ideals.

۱ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳

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Sabina Henneberg

A bread seller in Cairo walks past a sign promoting President Sisi - source: Reuters

Brief Analysis

Bread in Egypt: Politics, Social Unrest, and State Stability

The global rise in wheat prices since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has renewed questions about Egypt’s bread subsidies and the government’s broader legitimacy.

۳۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Aaron Rock-Singer

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan delivers a speech

Articles & Testimony

Erdogan’s Russian Victory

His months-long efforts to neuter the opposition ahead of this weekend’s win suggest that Turkey is shifting closer to a Putin-style autocracy than an illiberal European democracy.

۲۹ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Soner Cagaptay

Supporters of Turkish president Erdogan display a large flag - source: Reuters

Video

Brief Analysis

Turkey's Presidential Runoff: What to Expect May 28 and After

A panel of journalists and scholars discuss the policy implications of various scenarios that might emerge from the final round of Turkey’s election.

۲۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Elcin Poyrazlar
Emre Peker
Humeyra Pamuk
Soner Cagaptay

Supporters of Iraqi Shia cleric Moqtada al-Sadr gather during a sit-in, inside the parliament building in Baghdad - source: Reuters

Fikra Forum

What Are Sadr’s Plans for the Elections in Iraq?

Although the Sadrist Movement withdrew from politics, participating in the upcoming provincial elections would provide them with critical momentum that they don't want to miss out on.

۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Feyzullah Tuna Aygün

Fikra Forum

Political Settlement in Yemen: Challenges and Future Prospects

In order to reach a sustainable political settlement in Yemen, all parties must be involved in negotiating the geographic and military dimensions of the country's future.

۲۳ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Adel Dashela

Articles & Testimony

The Palestinian Succession Crisis

Over nearly two decades, President Abbas has consolidated power and scorned a consensus-based approach to governance, making a smooth eventual leadership handover unlikely.

۱۷ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Ghaith al-Omari

Photo of Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu standing alone in parliament.

Brief Analysis

After Gaza Operation, Netanyahu Seeks to Recover Ground

The Israeli prime minister appears to have avoided a wider military conflict and received a boost in opinion polls, but minefields await.

۱۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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David Makovsky

Tunisia's King Mohammed VI addresses the Tunisian parliament

Articles & Testimony

Tunisia Can “Bounce Back” from Authoritarianism with Proper Support

Other countries that have restored democratic norms in recent years have seen progress in five distinct areas.

۱۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Sabina Henneberg
Sarah Yerkes

Maps & Graphics

تحلیل کوتاه

حقوق سیاسی و آزادی‌های مدنی در خاورمیانه: روندها از سال ۲۰۱۰، بر اساس داده‌های خانه آزادی

جدیدترین گزارش «خانه آزادی» حاکی از سیر قهقرایی در سال گذشته و از زمان بهار عربی است، همراه با افول چشمگیر حقوق سیاسی و مدنی در چند کشور و حاوی هشدارهایی درباره افول بیشتر در سال آتی.

۱۳ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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کامیله یابلونسکی

Fikra Forum

Turkey’s Elections: a Referendum on the Future of the Republic

Though the Turkish opposition has a serious shot at unseating Erdogan, their success is far from guaranteed—even if they win in the polls.

۱۲ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Magnus Norell
Kurdo Baksi

Candidates Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Kemal Kilicdarolgu, May 2023 Turkish elections

Articles & Testimony

Even If Erdogan Is Defeated, Turkey Is Still Up for Grabs

Western gestures on trade and defense could reinforce a pro-democratic outcome and counter interference by Vladimir Putin.

۱۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Soner Cagaptay

Supported by the

Project Fikra: Defeating Extremism through the Power of Ideas

Fikra n. [Arabic] "Idea"

The Washington Institute's Project Fikra is a multiyear program of research, publication, and network-building designed to generate policy ideas for promoting positive change and countering the spread of extremism in the Middle East.

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