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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Syrians celebrate the fall of the Assad regime in Majdal Shams - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Building a Post-Assad Syria: How to Ensure the Process Reflects the Will of the People
Syrian civil society figures join a former U.S. official to discuss local sentiments on the ground and assess the daunting challenges of building a better state.
۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Ibrahim Al-Assil
  • Farouq Habib
  • Rafif Jouejati
  • Mahmoud Meslat
The Syria Breakdown Series Title Card
Video
Articles & Testimony
The Syria Breakdown, Episode One: Why Assad Fell
In the first episode of the Institute’s Syria Breakdown series, Syria analyst Andrew Tabler explains the domestic and foreign factors that led to the Assad government’s rapid demise.
۱۹ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
◆ The Syria Breakdown
Brief Analysis
Israel and the Fall of Assad: Rejoice, Repel, Reach Out, Reload
Prompt military action is helping Israel counter the immediate security risks of Syria’s sudden upheaval, but additional efforts will be needed to seize the broader opportunities of this new era.
۱۸ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
Did Assad’s Fall in Syria Really Weaken Russia?
Moscow is already taking steps to ensure that it can continue confounding U.S. interests in Ukraine and Syria even if the outcomes on these fronts wind up differently than expected.
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Workers package Syrian pound currency notes at the Syrian Central Bank in Damascus following the fall of the Assad regime in December 2024 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
How Hayat Tahrir al-Sham Landed on U.S. Terrorist Lists—and Why It Should Stay There for Now
Although some near-term waivers should be issued to help untangle the complicated web of designations and facilitate humanitarian aid, any broader delisting of HTS, Jolani, and others needs to be earned, not gifted.
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Map showing areas of control in post-Assad Syria.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Supporting the SDF in Post-Assad Syria
To preserve its only reliable and capable partner in the fight against the Islamic State, the United States must help the SDF deter HTS and fend off Turkey-backed militias.
۱۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Ido Levy
A rebel fighter belonging to the Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham gestures while riding a vehicle near Aleppo in November 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Should Not Yet Trust Syria’s New Regime
Even as they celebrate the demise of Assad’s dictatorship, U.S. officials should take a “verify, don’t trust” approach to HTS, judging the group by its actions on the ground before considering the removal of sanctions.
۱۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The US Must Push Putin Out the Syrian Door
To prevent Russia from cutting permanent deals with the rebels or otherwise salvaging its defeat, Washington must take the reins of the coming transition process.
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Don’t Assume Iran’s Supply Lines to Hezbollah Are Cut
Tehran’s past efforts to reconstitute the group have passed through more difficult environments than post-Assad Syria, but an economical U.S.-led effort can complicate future smuggling efforts and further other counterterrorism goals in the process.
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Emergence of Two Distinct Jihadist Ways of War
Comparing the offensive that toppled Assad with the Islamic State's 2014 campaign in Iraq shows how HTS has innovated its approach by mixing old and new tactics.
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Ido Levy
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham chief Abu Mohammed al-Jolani speaks to reporters in Damascus in December 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
What to Know About the Man Who Toppled Assad
Abu Mohammad al-Jolani has worked for years to rebrand himself, but has he truly broken from his extremist past?
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
For Israel, a Strategic Win and New Headaches
Despite the welcome blow to Iran's axis, Israel’s must now protect its border communities in the Golan and ensure that the Assad regime's strategic weapons don't end up in the wrong hands.
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Assaf Orion
President Donald Trump speaks about Syria
Articles & Testimony
Trump Can’t Sit This One Out
Despite his latest tweets about staying out of the Syria crisis, Trump has a history of working with Turkey on these issues and has several carrots to offer HTS as well.
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Syria Is the First Major Aftershock of October 7—With More to Come?
From stability in Jordan to the future of Kurdish autonomy, Lebanese sovereignty, and Iranian nuclear proliferation, officials must prepare quickly to prevent or manage—and in some cases even encourage—further shocks in the Middle East.
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Zohar Palti
Articles & Testimony
Why Al-Assad Fell
The dictator’s rigidity at the negotiating table and within Syrian society left him with scant support when he needed it most, giving Washington a window for pushing a Syrian-led transition and cutting Iran’s axis for good.
۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Syria Crisis Leaves Islamic State Prisons and Detention Camps Vulnerable
Even as global attention is turned toward major transition questions in Damascus, the international community cannot lose focus on the fight against the Islamic State—an essential part of which is ensuring the security of northeastern detention facilities.
۹ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
Articles & Testimony
With Assad Gone—What’s Next?
In addition to carefully managing moves on the Golan, Israel should focus on facilitating humanitarian assistance to the Druze, mending relations with Turkey, and convincing Trump to maintain America’s military presence in Syria.
۹ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Photo showing Syrian rebels outside Aleppo International Airport.
Video
Brief Analysis
The (Next) Battle for Northwest Syria: U.S. Policy Implications
The director of the Syrian Emergency Task Force joins three Washington Institute experts to discuss the stunning rebel advances in the west.
۶ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Mouaz Moustafa
Articles & Testimony
Remaining, Waiting for Expansion (Again): The Islamic State’s Operations in Iraq and Syria
Despite the group's expansion in other parts of the world, its original base in Iraq and Syria remains relevant due to the area's uncertain status quo and the looming prospect of U.S. military withdrawals.
۵ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
People queue for bread in rebel-occupied Aleppo in December 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How Syria’s ‘Diversity-Friendly’ Jihadists Plan on Building a State
As the group consolidates control in newly seized Aleppo, its leader is seeking to allay fears among minorities, pro-Assad residents, and skeptical Western officials alike.
۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin

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