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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Illustration of chess pieces and the Russian and Ukrainian flags - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Ukraine Can Help Dismantle Russia’s Influence in the Middle East
With strategic Western support on grain deliveries, embassy staffing, counter-messaging, and other initiatives, Ukraine can contribute much to rolling back Moscow’s malign influence in the region.
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
The Syria Breakdown Series Title Card
Video
Articles & Testimony
The Syria Breakdown, Episode Four: Revolutionary Rebuilding and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)
What are the risks and potential rewards for Washington and its partners working with the new government of Syria, which is led by members of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)?
۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
A local resident walks in front of a sign promoting a USAID-funded project in Hebron - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Trump’s Foreign Assistance Review Prioritizes Funding Over Policy
Cutting aid programs is not inherently wrong—but making those cuts before assessing their specific impact on regional allies and American lives could be disastrous for U.S. policy in the Middle East.
۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Sudani Iran 2
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
PMF Non-Deployment to Save Assad: Sudani’s View Contradicted by Iran
The Iraqi prime minister portrayed Baghdad's non-intervention in Syria as a sovereign decision, but Iranian leaders gave a different explanation.
۲۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
In Syria, America Should Be Ruthlessly Focused on the Islamic State
With the U.S. military presence on a potentially short timetable, officials should prioritize policies that ensure the continued security of Islamic State detention facilities, such as brokering local ceasefire agreements and alleviating Turkish concerns.
۱۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Joseph Votel
  • Elizabeth Dent
The Syria Breakdown Series Title Card
Video
Articles & Testimony
The Syria Breakdown, Episode Three: Turkey Turns an Enemy into an Ally
In this episode of the Institute’s Syria Breakdown series, Turkey analyst Soner Cagaptay traces the revolutionary transformation of Ankara's relationship with Damascus from heated enemies to the closest of allies.
۱۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
◆ The Syria Breakdown
Articles & Testimony
In Syria, the U.S. Can Help Rebuild While Supplanting Russian Influence
Moscow’s position has weakened, but not for long, raising the need for quick U.S. action on sanctions, investments, and broader economic assistance.
۱۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Chinese and U.S. flags flutter at a trade meeting in Shanghai
Articles & Testimony
Assad’s Fall Is an Opportunity for a U.S. Win Over China
Beijing consistently supported the regime’s brutal repressive measures, so cozying up to the rebel-led transition government may be more difficult than it expects.
۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Grant Rumley
The Syria Breakdown Series Title Card
Video
Articles & Testimony
The Syria Breakdown, Episode Two: Putin's Playground
In this episode of the Institute’s Syria Breakdown series, Russia analyst Anna Borshchevskaya explains why Russia's long military intervention in Syria failed to protect the regime of its local ally, Bashar al-Assad, from collapse in the face of a stunning rebel advance.
۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
◆ The Syria Breakdown
A fighter from Syria's de-facto post-Assad government checks a civilian's identity documents after a curfew was imposed in the Alawite-majority city of Homs in December 2024 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Alawites Under Threat in Syria?
At a time when Westerners are questioning the Islamist takeover in Damascus, Sunni Arab treatment of the Assad family’s broader Alawite base will offer insights into the nascent government’s true stance on religious tolerance, transitional justice, and state-building.
۳۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Syrian rebel leader Abu Mohammed al-Jolana speaks on the phone during the campaign to take Damascus in December 2024 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Washington Returns to Damascus with High Stakes for Syria’s Transition
The delegation’s findings on key political and security issues will have a major impact on future U.S. engagement with Syria’s new leaders, including the decision on whether or not to remove sanctions.
۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Syrians celebrate the fall of the Assad regime in Majdal Shams - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Building a Post-Assad Syria: How to Ensure the Process Reflects the Will of the People
Syrian civil society figures join a former U.S. official to discuss local sentiments on the ground and assess the daunting challenges of building a better state.
۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Ibrahim Al-Assil
  • Farouq Habib
  • Rafif Jouejati
  • Mahmoud Meslat
The Syria Breakdown Series Title Card
Video
Articles & Testimony
The Syria Breakdown, Episode One: Why Assad Fell
In the first episode of the Institute’s Syria Breakdown series, Syria analyst Andrew Tabler explains the domestic and foreign factors that led to the Assad government’s rapid demise.
۱۹ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
◆ The Syria Breakdown
Brief Analysis
Israel and the Fall of Assad: Rejoice, Repel, Reach Out, Reload
Prompt military action is helping Israel counter the immediate security risks of Syria’s sudden upheaval, but additional efforts will be needed to seize the broader opportunities of this new era.
۱۸ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
Did Assad’s Fall in Syria Really Weaken Russia?
Moscow is already taking steps to ensure that it can continue confounding U.S. interests in Ukraine and Syria even if the outcomes on these fronts wind up differently than expected.
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Workers package Syrian pound currency notes at the Syrian Central Bank in Damascus following the fall of the Assad regime in December 2024 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
How Hayat Tahrir al-Sham Landed on U.S. Terrorist Lists—and Why It Should Stay There for Now
Although some near-term waivers should be issued to help untangle the complicated web of designations and facilitate humanitarian aid, any broader delisting of HTS, Jolani, and others needs to be earned, not gifted.
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Map showing areas of control in post-Assad Syria.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Supporting the SDF in Post-Assad Syria
To preserve its only reliable and capable partner in the fight against the Islamic State, the United States must help the SDF deter HTS and fend off Turkey-backed militias.
۱۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Ido Levy
A rebel fighter belonging to the Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham gestures while riding a vehicle near Aleppo in November 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Should Not Yet Trust Syria’s New Regime
Even as they celebrate the demise of Assad’s dictatorship, U.S. officials should take a “verify, don’t trust” approach to HTS, judging the group by its actions on the ground before considering the removal of sanctions.
۱۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The US Must Push Putin Out the Syrian Door
To prevent Russia from cutting permanent deals with the rebels or otherwise salvaging its defeat, Washington must take the reins of the coming transition process.
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Don’t Assume Iran’s Supply Lines to Hezbollah Are Cut
Tehran’s past efforts to reconstitute the group have passed through more difficult environments than post-Assad Syria, but an economical U.S.-led effort can complicate future smuggling efforts and further other counterterrorism goals in the process.
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Michael Knights

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